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Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd (NPEGF) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $2.9B · ISIN JP3733400000

What is Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd really worth?

NE Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd logo Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd NPEGF · US
Price$30.02
Fair Value$50.12
Upside+67.0%
Quality69/100

A solid business, trading 40% below our fair value of $50.12.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +5.1 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 10.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/11)

Risks

!Moderate moat 47/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 2 out of 100
!Weak on past: 28 out of 100

For context

·2.58% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $35.07 – $65.05

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −3.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($35.07). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($35.07 to $65.05) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$53.30 $12.20 Fair Value $50.12 Aug 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.20 – $53.30 · fair‑value band $35.07 – $65.05 · the $30.02 price screens below the $50.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd (NPEGF) currently trades at $30.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $50.12, implying the stock looks roughly 40.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $56.98 per share, and 19 of the 22 models we run sit above the $30.02 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $25.38, and 3 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd generated revenue of $312B at a net margin of 10.6%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $23.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $35.07 (bear case) to $65.05 (bull case); at $30.02, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at 67%, NPEGF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $25.07 $32.00 $44.86 81
Growth DCF $25.87 $32.56 $44.00 80
Owner Earnings $26.61 $34.08 $47.94 77
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $25.07 $32.00 $44.86 81
Owner Earnings $26.61 $34.08 $47.94 77
5Y Revenue Exit $28.67 $40.34 $57.56 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $50.19 $77.30 $113.63 75
5Y P/E Exit $42.65 $64.35 $90.52 71
10Y Revenue Exit $26.35 $35.26 $45.12 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $39.89 $58.13 $78.45 69
10Y P/E Exit $35.39 $50.12 $64.71 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $18.47 $25.38 $29.51 67
EPV $23.36 $26.23 $28.70 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $57.02 $76.03 $95.04 63
P/S Multiple $34.62 $46.16 $57.70 58
P/B Multiple $34.62 $46.16 $57.70 55
EV/EBIT $60.71 $79.21 $97.70 66
EV/EBITDA $76.81 $100.66 $124.52 67
EV/Revenue $33.28 $45.30 $57.32 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $22.57 $30.25 $45.14 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $25.87 $32.56 $44.00 80
Rev-Margin DCF $28.67 $40.82 $55.78 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $35.05 $35.94 $35.78 71
ROIC Compounder $23.36 $26.23 $28.70 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $39.89 $56.98 $74.08 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($56.98) versus Earnings-Based ($25.38). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.6
P/S ratio 1.20 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $2.38 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.6
Dividend yield 2.6% payout 32.5%
Net margin 9.5% FY2025
Return on equity 6.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 8.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $312B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.3% 3y avg −1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +78.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $23.1B FY2025
Net cash $23.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Nippon Electric Glass Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells specialty glass products and glass glassmaking machinery in Japan and internationally.

Full company description

Nippon Electric Glass Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells specialty glass products and glass glassmaking machinery in Japan and internationally. The company offers glass products for LCD/OLED displays and optoelectronics, chemical, and lighting; and ultra-thin glass, glass wafers for supporting semiconductors, glass substrates for probe cards, LTCC products, functional glass powders, cover glass for image sensors, and glass tubes for small electronic components. It also provides chopped strands for functional plastics reinforcement, wet chopped strands for building materials, roving for plastics reinforcement, chopped-strand mats for automobiles, and alkali-resistant glass fibers for cement reinforcement. In addition, the company offers glass tubing for pharmaceutical and medical use, radiation shielding glass, super heat-resistant glass-ceramics, fire-rated glass, glass blocks, and glass-ceramic building materials. Its products are used in televisions, displays, smartphones, automotive displays, electronic components, optical communication, buildings, civil engineering, fire-resistant glass, medical containers, and cooktop surfaces applications, as well as observation and operation windows in CT/angiography rooms. Further, the company provides solutions to healthcare, aerospace, semiconductor, infrastructure, glass engineering, automotive, information and communication, and housing equipment and building materials. Nippon Electric Glass Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1944 and is headquartered in Otsu, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd reported revenue of ¥312B in FY2025 versus ¥292B in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥29.6B in FY2025, compounding +1.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$312B
Latest YoY
+4.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+13.9% (11.3 + 2.6)
Revenue +1.6%/yr
FY21 ¥292B
FY22 ¥325B
FY23 ¥280B
FY24 ¥299B
FY25 ¥312B
Net income +1.5%/yr
FY21 ¥27.9B
FY22 ¥28.2B
FY23 −¥26.2B
FY24 ¥12.1B
FY25 ¥29.6B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +11.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.4 %

of which total revenue +2.2 % · buybacks/dilution +2.1 %

EBIT margin −1.9 %
Tax rate +1.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +7.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NPEGF

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 639 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +67% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 0
FUTURE2 · sector 40
PAST28 · sector 25
HEALTH94 · sector 95
DIVIDEND52 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $157.74 $97.19 −38%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 134.64 CHF 35.18 −74%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,750 TWD 602.37 TWD −66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 −31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW −88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 −90%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $202.66 $144.42 −29%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.80 ¥36.30 −73%
Flex Ltd FLEX $124.53 $48.10 −61%
Celestica Inc CLS $298.70 $113.54 −62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd (NPEGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $50.12 versus a price of $30.02, about +67% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NPEGF?
Our model-based fair value for Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd is $50.12 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $30.02.
What is the quality score of NPEGF?
Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd (NPEGF)?
Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $312B (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NPEGF?
The net profit margin of Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd is about 10.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
Nippon Electric Glass Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.58% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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