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Celestica Inc. (CLS) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $40.8B · ISIN CA15101Q2071

What is Celestica Inc. really worth?

CI Celestica Inc. logo Celestica Inc. CLS · US
Price$309.84
Fair Value$113.54
Upside−63.4%
Quality72/100

A solid business, but trading 173% above our fair value of $113.54.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +17.0 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 7.0% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Moderate moat 54/100
!The models disagree: range $68.45 to $214.24
!Weak on dividend: 2 out of 100
Evidence: High Range $68.45 – $214.24

Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −16.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($214.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($68.45 to $214.24). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$472.40 $7.08 Fair Value $113.54 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.08 – $472.40 · fair‑value band $68.45 – $214.24 · the $309.84 price screens above the $113.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Celestica Inc. (CLS) currently trades at $309.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $113.54, implying the stock looks roughly 172.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $164.80 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the $309.84 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $12.89, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Celestica Inc. generated revenue of $13.8B at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 52.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 52.5%. Net debt stands at $320M. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $68.45 (bear case) to $214.24 (bull case); at $309.84, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 164% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −66% fair-value upside, at −63%, CLS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $5.58 per share, which is 4.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $41.96 $61.36 $89.08 80
Growth DCF $43.21 $61.21 $85.83 79
Owner Earnings $74.63 $108.66 $157.29 76
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $41.96 $61.36 $89.08 80
Owner Earnings $74.63 $108.66 $157.29 76
5Y Revenue Exit $65.92 $107.60 $159.54 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $97.27 $163.47 $238.13 74
5Y P/E Exit $100.74 $169.64 $238.84 70
10Y Revenue Exit $54.06 $89.63 $134.62 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $76.16 $127.43 $191.98 67
10Y P/E Exit $78.32 $131.61 $192.50 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $50.10 $118.86 $153.17 65
PEG = 1.0 $20.63 $29.47 $38.31 57
EPV $76.16 $89.08 $100.38 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.93 $6.84 $10.47 67
DDM Multi-Stage $3.93 $5.84 $7.94 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $154.72 $206.29 $257.87 63
P/S Multiple $93.94 $125.25 $156.56 58
P/B Multiple $86.59 $115.45 $144.31 55
EV/EBIT $169.16 $225.99 $282.83 66
EV/EBITDA $147.16 $196.66 $246.17 67
EV/Revenue $84.85 $121.79 $158.74 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.62 $12.89 $19.24 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $43.21 $61.21 $85.83 79
Rev-Margin DCF $65.92 $107.59 $151.99 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $62.18 $105.28 $1,778 64
ROIC Compounder $78.81 $95.44 $112.33 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $115.36 $164.80 $214.24 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($164.80) versus Dividend Discount ($5.84). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 37.0
P/S ratio 2.48 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $8.38 price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.0
Dividend yield 0.1% payout 3.7%
Net margin 6.7% FY2025
Return on equity 52.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 6.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $13.8B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +52.8% 3y avg +20.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +147%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $466M FY2025
Net debt $320M FY2025 · ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 11
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Celestica Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides supply chain solutions in Asia, North America, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Advanced Technology Solutions, and Connectivity and Cloud Solutions.

Full company description

Celestica Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides supply chain solutions in Asia, North America, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Advanced Technology Solutions, and Connectivity and Cloud Solutions. The company offers a range of product manufacturing and related supply chain services, including design and development, new product introduction, engineering services, component sourcing, electronics manufacturing and assembly, testing, mechanical assembly, systems integration, precision machining, logistics, asset management, product licensing, and after-market repair and return services. It also provides hardware platform solutions, which includes development of infrastructure platforms, and hardware and software design solutions and services, including open-source software that can be used as-is or customized for specific applications; and management of program, including design and supply chain, manufacturing, and after-market support, including IT asset disposition and asset management services. The company offers its products and services to original equipment manufacturers, and cloud-based and other service providers, including hyperscalers, and other companies in aerospace and defense, industrial, HealthTech, capital equipment, communications, and enterprise markets. The company has a strategic collaboration with Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. for the development of Helios, a rack-scale AI platform. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Celestica Inc. reported revenue of $12.6B in FY2025 versus $5.6B in FY2021, a compound +22.3%/yr. Reported net income was $847M in FY2025, compounding +69.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$12.6B
Latest YoY
+30.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+69.6% (69.5 + 0.1)
Revenue +22.3%/yr
FY21 $5.6B
FY22 $7.3B
FY23 $8.0B
FY24 $9.6B
FY25 $12.6B
Net income +69.0%/yr
FY21 $104M
FY22 $180M
FY23 $244M
FY24 $428M
FY25 $847M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +23.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.1 %

of which total revenue +6.4 % · buybacks/dilution +3.5 %

EBIT margin +12.5 %
Tax rate +0.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

CLS screens 173% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Celestica Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CLS

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 638 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −63% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 52% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 53% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.34× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 18.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.96× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 87.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 29.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.00× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 40
PAST100 · sector 25
HEALTH83 · sector 95
DIVIDEND2 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $157.74 $97.19 −38%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 134.64 CHF 35.18 −74%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,750 TWD 602.37 TWD −66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 −31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW −88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 −90%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $202.66 $144.42 −29%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.80 ¥36.30 −73%
Flex Ltd FLEX $124.53 $48.10 −61%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥392.90 ¥125.52 −68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Celestica Inc. (CLS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $113.54 versus a price of $309.84, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CLS?
Our model-based fair value for Celestica Inc. is $113.54 (as of Aug 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $309.84.
What is the quality score of CLS?
Celestica Inc. has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Celestica Inc. (CLS)?
Celestica Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CLS?
The net profit margin of Celestica Inc. is about 7.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Celestica Inc. pay a dividend?
Celestica Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.10% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 31, 2026).
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