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Shennan Circuits Co Ltd Class A (002916) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 257B CNY (≈ $38.4B) · ISIN CNE100003373

What is Shennan Circuits Co Ltd Class A really worth?

SC Shennan Circuits Co Ltd Class A 002916 · SHE
Price¥331.80
Fair Value¥106.69
Upside−67.8%
Quality49/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 211% above our fair value of ¥106.69.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 14.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 65/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +15.3 %/yr)
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Weak on dividend: 14 out of 100

For context

·0.72% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥39.81 – ¥133.91

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −0.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥133.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥39.81 to ¥133.91). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥457.90 ¥36.77 Fair Value ¥106.69 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥36.77 – ¥457.90 · fair‑value band ¥39.81 – ¥133.91 · the ¥331.80 price screens above the ¥106.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Shennan Circuits Co Ltd Class A (002916) currently trades at ¥331.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥106.69, implying the stock looks roughly 210.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥157.81 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥331.80 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥16.87, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shennan Circuits Co Ltd Class A generated revenue of 25.5B CNY at a net margin of 14.3%. Revenue grew 37.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.9%. Net debt stands at 1.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥39.81 (bear case) to ¥133.91 (bull case); at ¥331.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 263% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −68%, 002916 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥1.90 per share, which is 1.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.6100 to ¥228.05). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence ¥0.6100 ¥4.44 77
Growth DCF ¥1.02 ¥4.57 75
EPV ¥45.56 ¥54.04 ¥61.57 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence ¥0.6100 ¥4.44 77
Owner Earnings ¥25.35 ¥62.72 ¥144.67 69
5Y Revenue Exit ¥36.31 ¥79.43 ¥166.63 67
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥74.78 ¥161.14 ¥323.75 70
5Y P/E Exit ¥72.33 ¥178.85 ¥321.56 67
10Y Revenue Exit ¥24.12 ¥75.78 ¥135.02 63
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥54.27 ¥153.19 ¥349.96 62
10Y P/E Exit ¥52.49 ¥148.26 ¥326.18 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥32.70 ¥228.05 ¥320.04 63
Lynch FV ¥72.48 ¥103.54 ¥134.60 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥72.48 ¥103.54 ¥134.60 57
EPV ¥45.56 ¥54.04 ¥61.57 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥11.93 ¥26.04 ¥43.82 65
DDM Multi-Stage ¥11.93 ¥21.33 ¥27.14 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥100.99 ¥134.65 ¥168.32 63
P/S Multiple ¥61.31 ¥81.75 ¥102.19 58
P/B Multiple ¥61.31 ¥81.75 ¥102.19 55
EV/EBIT ¥93.59 ¥125.61 ¥157.63 66
EV/EBITDA ¥101.85 ¥136.63 ¥171.40 67
EV/Revenue ¥46.10 ¥66.91 ¥87.72 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥12.59 ¥16.87 ¥25.18 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.02 ¥4.57 75
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥33.39 ¥44.74 ¥199.85 64
ROIC Compounder ¥59.16 ¥93.56 ¥122.99 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥110.47 ¥157.81 ¥205.16 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥157.81) versus Growth DCF (¥1.02). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 63.6
P/S ratio 8.81 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥5.22 price ÷ EPS = P/E 63.6
Dividend yield 0.7% payout 46.0%
Net margin 13.9% FY2025
Return on equity 21.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 17.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 25.5B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +37.9% 3y avg +19.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +32.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 72.9M CNY FY2025
Net debt 1.7B CNY FY2025 · ≈ 23.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 90
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 31
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 19
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Shennan Circuits Co., Ltd. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of printed circuit boards, packaging substrates, and electronic assemblies in China and internationally. It operates through Packaging Substrates, Packaging Substrates, and Distribution Substrates segments.

Full company description

Shennan Circuits Co., Ltd. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of printed circuit boards, packaging substrates, and electronic assemblies in China and internationally. It operates through Packaging Substrates, Packaging Substrates, and Distribution Substrates segments. The company provides RF and microwave, thermal management, miniaturization, and chip package substrate solutions. It also offers schematic design, PCB / SiP design, PCB / SUB production, electronic assembly, package testing, and other value creations. The company was formerly known as CATIC Shenzhen Shennan Circuit Company and changed its name to Shennan Circuits Co., Ltd. in January 2000. The company was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China. Shennan Circuits Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of AVIC International Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shennan Circuits Co Ltd Class A reported revenue of 23.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 13.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +14.1%/yr. Reported net income was 3.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding +22.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
23.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+32.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+11.2% (10.5 + 0.7)
Revenue +14.1%/yr
FY21 13.9B CNY
FY22 14.0B CNY
FY23 13.5B CNY
FY24 17.9B CNY
FY25 23.6B CNY
Net income +22.0%/yr
FY21 1.5B CNY
FY22 1.6B CNY
FY23 1.4B CNY
FY24 1.9B CNY
FY25 3.3B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +23.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +12.7 %

of which total revenue +18.7 % · buybacks/dilution −5.1 %

EBIT margin +12.7 %
Tax rate +0.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

002916 screens 211% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shennan Circuits Co Ltd Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002916

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 638 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −68% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 38% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 63.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 14.98× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 10.09× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 526.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 45.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 40
PAST87 · sector 25
HEALTH92 · sector 95
DIVIDEND14 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $157.74 $97.19 −38%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 134.64 CHF 35.18 −74%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,750 TWD 602.37 TWD −66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 −31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW −88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 −90%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $202.66 $144.42 −29%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.80 ¥36.30 −73%
Flex Ltd FLEX $124.53 $48.10 −61%
Celestica Inc CLS $298.70 $113.54 −62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shennan Circuits Co Ltd Class A (002916) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥106.69 versus a price of ¥331.80, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002916?
Our model-based fair value for Shennan Circuits Co Ltd Class A is ¥106.69 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥331.80.
What is the quality score of 002916?
Shennan Circuits Co Ltd Class A has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shennan Circuits Co Ltd Class A (002916)?
Shennan Circuits Co Ltd Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002916?
The net profit margin of Shennan Circuits Co Ltd Class A is about 14.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shennan Circuits Co Ltd Class A pay a dividend?
Shennan Circuits Co Ltd Class A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.72% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 18, 2026).
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