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Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 443B CNY (≈ $66.2B) · ISIN CNE100000N79

What is Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd really worth?

SD Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd 002384 · SHE
Price¥178.67
Fair Value¥21.19
Upside−88.1%
Quality41/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Below-average quality, and trading another 743% above our fair value of ¥21.19.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.6% net margin
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Narrow moat 43/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 2 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range ¥12.91 – ¥26.49

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥15.13 to ¥21.19 (+40.1%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −0.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥26.49). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥12.91 to ¥26.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥275.80 ¥11.35 Fair Value ¥21.19 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.35 – ¥275.80 · fair‑value band ¥12.91 – ¥26.49 · the ¥178.67 price screens above the ¥21.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384) currently trades at ¥178.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.19, implying the stock looks roughly 743.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥30.69 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥178.67 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥4.12, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd generated revenue of 44.7B CNY at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue grew 52.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at 6.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥12.91 (bear case) to ¥26.49 (bull case); at ¥178.67, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −88%, 002384 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.7678 per share, which is 3.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥4.12 to ¥66.27). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥9.51 ¥9.96 ¥10.56 76
FCF DCF ¥9.55 ¥15.22 ¥33.26 75
EPV ¥12.81 ¥14.95 ¥16.85 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥9.55 ¥15.22 ¥33.26 75
5Y Revenue Exit ¥13.28 ¥25.12 ¥49.06 68
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥32.18 ¥64.90 ¥126.87 71
5Y P/E Exit ¥14.80 ¥32.74 ¥56.68 67
10Y Revenue Exit ¥11.74 ¥27.59 ¥43.55 64
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥26.14 ¥66.27 ¥146.07 62
10Y P/E Exit ¥13.42 ¥30.69 ¥62.31 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.15 ¥35.89 ¥50.36 63
Lynch FV ¥11.74 ¥16.78 ¥21.81 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥11.74 ¥16.78 ¥21.81 57
EPV ¥12.81 ¥14.95 ¥16.85 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.31 ¥5.03 ¥8.47 65
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.31 ¥4.12 ¥5.25 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥15.89 ¥21.19 ¥26.49 63
P/S Multiple ¥9.65 ¥12.86 ¥16.08 58
P/B Multiple ¥9.65 ¥12.86 ¥16.08 55
EV/EBIT ¥26.26 ¥34.79 ¥43.31 66
EV/EBITDA ¥40.00 ¥53.10 ¥66.20 67
EV/Revenue ¥13.62 ¥19.16 ¥24.70 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.86 ¥7.85 ¥11.72 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥9.07 ¥17.12 ¥33.85 74
Rev-Margin DCF ¥13.28 ¥27.92 ¥50.58 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥9.51 ¥9.96 ¥10.56 76
ROIC Compounder ¥14.00 ¥19.90 ¥25.51 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥17.72 ¥25.32 ¥32.92 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥30.69) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.12). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 158.1
P/S ratio 5.46 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥1.13 price ÷ EPS = P/E 158.1
Dividend yield 0.1% payout 17.1%
Net margin 3.5% FY2025
Return on equity 9.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 12.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 44.7B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +52.7% 3y avg +8.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +126%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 924M CNY FY2025
Net debt 6.7B CNY FY2025 · ≈ 7.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 34
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 31
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells computer, communication, and other electronic equipment components in China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Electronic Circuit, Photoelectric Display, and Precision Manufacturing.

Full company description

Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells computer, communication, and other electronic equipment components in China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Electronic Circuit, Photoelectric Display, and Precision Manufacturing. The company offers electronic circuit, including flexible circuit, flexible circuit assembly, rigid printed circuit boards, rigid-flex PCB, and PCB assembly and box build for automotive, telecom equipment, consumer electronics, high-reliability systems, telecommunications infrastructure, and consumer technologies applications. It also provides photoelectric display, such as light-emitting diode encapsulation and liquid crystal module for commercial lighting, consumer electronics, and electronics applications; and precision manufacturing products comprising communication equipment components and new energy vehicles for automotive, communication base station, and medical treatment applications. In addition, the company engages in business and investment activities. It exports its products. The company was formerly known as Suzhou Dongshan Sheet Metal Liability Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. in January 2007. Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Suzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd reported revenue of 40.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 31.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.4B CNY in FY2025, compounding −7.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
40.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+9.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−3.9% (−4.0 + 0.1)
Revenue +6.0%/yr
FY21 31.8B CNY
FY22 31.6B CNY
FY23 33.7B CNY
FY24 36.8B CNY
FY25 40.1B CNY
Net income −7.1%/yr
FY21 1.9B CNY
FY22 2.4B CNY
FY23 2.0B CNY
FY24 1.1B CNY
FY25 1.4B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +49.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +24.3 %

of which total revenue +29.2 % · buybacks/dilution −3.8 %

EBIT margin +20.9 %
Tax rate −1.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

002384 screens 743% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002384

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 638 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 53% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.30× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 158.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 20.65× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 9.92× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 71.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 83.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 40
PAST39 · sector 25
HEALTH85 · sector 95
DIVIDEND2 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $157.74 $97.19 −38%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 134.64 CHF 35.18 −74%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,750 TWD 602.37 TWD −66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 −31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW −88%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $202.66 $144.42 −29%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.80 ¥36.30 −73%
Flex Ltd FLEX $124.53 $48.10 −61%
Celestica Inc CLS $298.70 $113.54 −62%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥392.90 ¥125.52 −68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥21.19 versus a price of ¥178.67, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002384?
Our model-based fair value for Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is ¥21.19 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥178.67.
What is the quality score of 002384?
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd (002384)?
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 44.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002384?
The net profit margin of Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd is about 4.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.11% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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