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NCC Limited (NCC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹94.5B (≈ $1.0B) · ISIN INE868B01028

What is NCC Limited really worth?

NL NCC Limited NCC · NSE
Price₹149.70
Fair Value₹207.20
Upside+38.4%
Quality35/100

Below-average quality, trading 28% below our fair value of ₹207.20.

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Strengths

Ranks above peers (8/13)

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +21.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 34/100
!Weak on future: 9 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 29 out of 100

For context

·1.47% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ₹128.84 – ₹239.27

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +4.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹128.84 to ₹239.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹351.98 ₹49.87 Fair Value ₹207.20 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹49.87 – ₹351.98 · fair‑value band ₹128.84 – ₹239.27 · the ₹149.70 price screens below the ₹207.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

NCC Limited (NCC) currently trades at ₹149.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹207.20, implying the stock looks roughly 27.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹225.88 per share, and 10 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹149.70 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹35.42, and 6 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, NCC Limited generated revenue of ₹208B at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at ₹21.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹128.84 (bear case) to ₹239.27 (bull case); at ₹149.70, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 38%, NCC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹3.68 per share, which is 1.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence ₹105.86 ₹114.73 ₹147.65 76
EPV ₹204.99 ₹239.69 ₹270.06 74
ROIC Compounder ₹227.51 ₹304.02 ₹403.65 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹73.14 ₹295.74 ₹402.35 64
Lynch FV ₹73.86 ₹105.52 ₹137.17 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹73.86 ₹105.52 ₹137.17 57
EPV ₹204.99 ₹239.69 ₹270.06 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹20.20 ₹42.00 ₹66.63 66
DDM Multi-Stage ₹20.20 ₹35.42 ₹44.08 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹169.41 ₹225.88 ₹282.35 63
P/S Multiple ₹137.14 ₹182.85 ₹228.57 58
P/B Multiple ₹137.14 ₹182.85 ₹228.57 55
EV/EBIT ₹321.87 ₹430.24 ₹538.61 66
EV/EBITDA ₹281.88 ₹376.93 ₹471.97 67
EV/Revenue ₹228.80 ₹328.24 ₹427.69 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹62.67 ₹83.97 ₹125.33 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence ₹105.86 ₹114.73 ₹147.65 76
ROIC Compounder ₹227.51 ₹304.02 ₹403.65 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹128.84 ₹184.05 ₹239.27 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹225.88) versus Dividend Discount (₹35.42). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 13.9
P/S ratio 0.45 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹10.76 price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.9
Dividend yield 1.5% payout 20.4%
Net margin 3.2% FY2026
Return on equity 9.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 9.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 7.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹208B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.7% 3y avg +10.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −18.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −₹21.3B FY2026
Net debt ₹21.7B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

NCC Limited operates in the construction business in India and internationally. It operates through the Construction, Real Estate, and Others segments.

Full company description

NCC Limited operates in the construction business in India and internationally. It operates through the Construction, Real Estate, and Others segments. The company constructs buildings, including hospitals, medical colleges, airports, sports complexes, housing projects, IT parks, and industrial and commercial buildings; transportation projects comprising access-controlled highways, road EPC projects, airstrips, metros, tunnels, bridges, and flyovers; and water and environment projects, such as water supply projects, water treatment plants, water distribution networks, underground drainage, and sewage treatment plants. It also engages in the irrigation projects, including lift irrigation schemes, dams, reservoirs, canals, tunnels, barrages, spillways, and aqueducts; mining projects that consist of overburden removal, coal excavation and transportation, and mine development and operation; railway projects, which include civil EPC, track laying, signaling and telecommunication, dedicated freight corridor, and high-speed rail; and electrical projects comprising transmission and distribution lines, substations, project electrification, and system improvements and smart meters. The company was formerly known as Nagarjuna Construction Company Limited and changed its name to NCC Limited in March 2011. NCC Limited was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

NCC Limited reported revenue of ₹208B in FY2026 versus ₹111B in FY2022, a compound +16.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.8B in FY2026, compounding +8.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹208B
Latest YoY
−6.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+15.5% (14.0 + 1.5)
Revenue +16.9%/yr
FY22 ₹111B
FY23 ₹156B
FY24 ₹208B
FY25 ₹222B
FY26 ₹208B
Net income +8.8%/yr
FY22 ₹4.8B
FY23 ₹6.1B
FY24 ₹7.1B
FY25 ₹8.2B
FY26 ₹6.8B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +27.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.2 %

of which total revenue +9.6 % · buybacks/dilution −2.2 %

EBIT margin −5.5 %
Tax rate +3.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +21.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NCC Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NCC

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 817 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +38% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.19× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.20× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.45× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.3× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE85 · sector 17
FUTURE9 · sector 12
PAST37 · sector 26
HEALTH91 · sector 94
DIVIDEND29 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $620.06 $143.92 −77%
Vinci SA DG €114.35 €185.62 +62%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,615 $519.97 −68%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,072 ₹2,196 −46%
Ferrovial N.V FER €57.28 €19.17 −67%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €426.40 €203.87 −52%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 373,000 KRW 261,411 KRW −30%
EMCOR Group EME $775.04 $549.47 −29%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $241.00 $100.00 −59%
Bouygues SA EN €46.65 €65.67 +41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NCC Limited (NCC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹207.20 versus a price of ₹149.70, about +38% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NCC?
Our model-based fair value for NCC Limited is ₹207.20 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹149.70.
What is the quality score of NCC?
NCC Limited has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NCC Limited (NCC)?
NCC Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹208B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NCC?
The net profit margin of NCC Limited is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NCC Limited pay a dividend?
NCC Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.47% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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