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Muthoot Finance Limited (MUTHOOTFIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹1.3T

MF Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN · NSE
Price₹2,842
Fair Value₹3,429
Upside+20.7%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 55.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.98% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 83/100
Evidence: High Range ₹2,404 – ₹11,968 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹3,463 to ₹3,429 (−1.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −5.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 21% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (₹2,404 to ₹11,968). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹4,057 ₹865.73 Fair Value ₹3,429 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹865.73 – ₹4,057 · fair‑value band ₹2,404 – ₹11,968 · the ₹2,842 price screens below the ₹3,429 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Muthoot Finance Limited (MUTHOOTFIN) currently trades at ₹2,842, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹3,429, implying the stock looks roughly 20.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Muthoot Finance Limited generated revenue of ₹192B at a net margin of 55.2%. Revenue grew 53.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 30.4%. Net debt stands at ₹1.4T. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹2,404 (bear case) to ₹11,968 (bull case); at ₹2,842, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at 21%, MUTHOOTFIN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹3,911 ₹8,520 ₹18,237 80
Residual Income ₹2,042 ₹3,023 ₹28,971 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹1,264 ₹2,922 ₹6,028 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹3,362 ₹9,249 ₹22,160 31
5Y P/E Exit ₹2,334 ₹5,960 ₹10,812 38
10Y P/E Exit ₹2,930 ₹7,015 ₹13,527 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹1,794 ₹12,510 ₹17,555 54
Lynch FV ₹4,725 ₹6,750 ₹8,776 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹250.17 ₹546.17 ₹918.95 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹250.17 ₹447.40 ₹569.19 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹2,572 ₹3,429 ₹4,287 63
P/B Multiple ₹1,023 ₹1,365 ₹1,706 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹487.34 ₹653.04 ₹974.68 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹3,911 ₹8,520 ₹18,237 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹1,264 ₹2,922 ₹6,028 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹2,042 ₹3,023 ₹28,971 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹7,015) versus Dividend Discount (₹447.40). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹192B
Revenue growth (YoY) +53.7%
Net margin 55.2%
Return on equity 30.4%
Free cash flow ₹118B FY2026
P/E ratio 10.8
More key figures
Operating margin 78.2%
EPS (TTM) ₹263.85
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +127%
Net debt ₹1.4T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Muthoot Finance Limited, a non-banking financing company, provides gold loans in India. The company offers various loans, including personal, small and corporate business, SME, and vehicle, as well as loans against property; insurance products, such as health, home, vehicle, life, travel, shop, and group; housing and micro finance; and mutual funds.

Full company description

Muthoot Finance Limited, a non-banking financing company, provides gold loans in India. The company offers various loans, including personal, small and corporate business, SME, and vehicle, as well as loans against property; insurance products, such as health, home, vehicle, life, travel, shop, and group; housing and micro finance; and mutual funds. It also provides gold flexi credit; PAN card; money transfer; non-convertible debentures; national pension scheme; digital and cashless payments; bank mapping; and other custom offerings and milligram rewards. In addition, the company generates electric power through three windmills with a combined capacity of 3.75 MW in Tamil Nadu. Muthoot Finance Limited was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Kochi, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Muthoot Finance Limited reported revenue of ₹313B in FY2026 versus ₹122B in FY2022, a compound +26.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹106B in FY2026, compounding +27.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹313B
Latest YoY
+54.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+37.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.0%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+36.2%
Revenue +26.5%/yr
FY22 ₹122B
FY23 ₹119B
FY24 ₹151B
FY25 ₹203B
FY26 ₹313B
Net income +27.4%/yr
FY22 ₹40.2B
FY23 ₹36.1B
FY24 ₹43.2B
FY25 ₹53.3B
FY26 ₹106B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +25.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +17.8 pp

of which total revenue +17.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +4.7 pp
Tax rate +1.9 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Muthoot Finance Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MUTHOOTFIN

Peer Group

Credit Services · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside +21% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 55% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 78% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 54% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.38× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.21× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 11.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 61 · sector 35
FUTURE 100 · sector 39
PAST 100 · sector 32
HEALTH 31 · sector 58
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 49

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $359.42 $198.27 -45%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $561.44 $221.87 -60%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,094 ₹397.61 -64%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,117 ₹553.83 -50%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,918 ₹796.52 -58%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹367.05 ₹149.40 -59%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹376.50 ₹615.85 +64%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.35 ₹69.72 -21%
REC Limited RECLTD ₹346.00 ₹692.00 +100%
L&T Finance Limited LTF ₹312.60 ₹154.67 -51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Muthoot Finance Limited (MUTHOOTFIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹3,429 versus a price of ₹2,842, about +21% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MUTHOOTFIN?
Our model-based fair value for Muthoot Finance Limited is ₹3,429 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹2,842.
What is the quality score of MUTHOOTFIN?
Muthoot Finance Limited has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Muthoot Finance Limited (MUTHOOTFIN)?
Muthoot Finance Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹192B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MUTHOOTFIN?
The net profit margin of Muthoot Finance Limited is about 55.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 55.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Muthoot Finance Limited pay a dividend?
Muthoot Finance Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.95% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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