Moncler SpA (MONC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IT · Market cap €13.6B · ISIN IT0004965148
What is Moncler SpA really worth?
A solid business, trading 10% below our fair value of €50.69.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −9.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (€34.87 to €63.36) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €33.95 – €65.64 · fair‑value band €34.87 – €63.36 · the €45.84 price screens below the €50.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
Analysis
Moncler SpA (MONC) currently trades at €45.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €50.69, implying the stock looks roughly 9.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €70.88 per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the €45.84 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €9.48, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Moncler SpA generated revenue of €3.1B at a net margin of 20.0%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €318M. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €34.87 (bear case) to €63.36 (bull case); at €45.84, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 11%, MONC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €0.6455 per share, which is 1.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€70.88) versus Asset-Based (€9.48). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
Notify me when MONC reaches fair value
Put MONC on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Moncler S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and distribution of garments, children's clothing, footwear, eyewear and other related accessories under the Moncler and Stone Island brands. It also provides leather goods; bags, backpacks, and accessories; and glasses.
Full company description
Moncler S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and distribution of garments, children's clothing, footwear, eyewear and other related accessories under the Moncler and Stone Island brands. It also provides leather goods; bags, backpacks, and accessories; and glasses. The company operates through directly operated stores, e-concessions, multi-brand sales outlets, shop-in-shops in luxury department stores, airport locations, and online luxury multi-brand retailers. It also sells its products through moncler.com, an online store. It operates in Italy, rest of Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and the United States. Moncler S.p.A. was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Milan, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Moncler SpA reported revenue of €3.1B in FY2025 versus €2.0B in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was €627M in FY2025, compounding +12.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +16.7 % · buybacks/dilution −0.8 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch MONC: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Moncler SpA (MONRF) H1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic Expansion
- How Subtle Analyst Shifts Are Reframing The Moncler (BIT:MONC) Investment Story
Peer Group
Apparel Manufacturing · 214 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB | kr 175.50 | kr 165.47 | −6% |
| Ralph Lauren Corporation RL | $396.35 | $220.38 | −44% |
| Gildan Activewear Inc GIL | C$75.50 | C$45.60 | −40% |
| LPP SA LPP | 21,340 PLN | 17,754 PLN | −17% |
| Levi Strauss & Co LEVI | $21.05 | $15.20 | −28% |
| V.F. Corporation VFC | $13.67 | $10.44 | −24% |
| Bosideng International Holdings 3998 | HK$4.42 | HK$5.92 | +34% |
| Youngor Fashion Co 600177 | ¥7.91 | ¥5.59 | −29% |
| Kontoor Brands, Inc KTB | $82.01 | $85.76 | +5% |
| Page Industries Limited PAGEIND | ₹35,155 | ₹12,395 | −65% |
Compare Moncler SpA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Moncler SpA (MONC) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of MONC?
What is the quality score of MONC?
What is the revenue of Moncler SpA (MONC)?
What is the net profit margin of MONC?
Does Moncler SpA pay a dividend?
Watch Moncler SpA in the live analysis
One click puts Moncler SpA on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.