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Maximus Inc (MMS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $3.0B · ISIN US5779331041

What is Maximus Inc really worth?

MI Maximus Inc logo Maximus Inc MMS · US
Price$58.43
Fair Value$127.52
Upside+118.2%
Quality71/100

A solid business, trading 54% below our fair value of $127.52.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +9.4 %/yr)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/15)

Risks

!Thin margins · 7.0% net margin
!Moderate moat 57/100

For context

·2.11% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $70.88 – $162.99

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price −7.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($70.88). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range ($70.88 to $162.99) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$97.94 $52.60 Fair Value $127.52 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $52.60 – $97.94 · fair‑value band $70.88 – $162.99 · the $58.43 price screens below the $127.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Maximus Inc (MMS) currently trades at $58.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $127.52, implying the stock looks roughly 54.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $131.48 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the $58.43 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $19.78, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Maximus Inc generated revenue of $5.3B at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue declined 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.2%. Net debt stands at $1.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $70.88 (bear case) to $162.99 (bull case); at $58.43, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 118%, MMS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $4.96 per share, which is 3.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $63.99 $124.34 $223.06 77
Growth DCF $63.50 $118.99 $206.74 75
EPV $58.59 $70.91 $81.54 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $63.99 $124.34 $223.06 77
Owner Earnings $69.32 $133.51 $238.55 73
5Y Revenue Exit $73.51 $144.94 $241.45 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $88.52 $175.36 $283.45 73
5Y P/E Exit $66.62 $130.97 $203.38 69
10Y Revenue Exit $66.07 $131.48 $230.40 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $78.94 $153.07 $264.22 66
10Y P/E Exit $64.84 $121.57 $199.74 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $41.29 $180.73 $247.28 64
Lynch FV $46.63 $66.61 $86.60 61
PEG = 1.0 $46.63 $66.61 $86.60 57
EPV $58.59 $70.91 $81.54 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $11.49 $22.89 $34.66 67
DDM Multi-Stage $11.49 $19.78 $24.16 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $95.64 $127.52 $159.39 63
P/S Multiple $77.42 $103.23 $129.03 58
P/B Multiple $77.42 $103.23 $129.03 55
EV/EBIT $120.53 $167.18 $213.83 66
EV/EBITDA $112.41 $156.36 $200.30 67
EV/Revenue $80.46 $123.27 $166.08 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.93 $21.35 $31.86 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $63.50 $118.99 $206.74 75
Rev-Margin DCF $73.51 $143.06 $231.16 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $38.60 $52.00 $201.55 64
ROIC Compounder $67.02 $95.23 $131.87 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $77.11 $110.16 $143.20 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($131.48) versus Dividend Discount ($19.78). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 8.8
P/S ratio 0.52 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $6.66 price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.8
Dividend yield 2.1% payout 18.5%
Net margin 5.9% FY2025
Return on equity 22.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 11.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $5.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −4.1% 3y avg +5.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $366M FY2025
Net debt $1.2B FY2025 · ≈ 3.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Maximus, Inc. operates as a provider of government services worldwide. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Federal Services, U.S. Services, and Outside the U.S. The U.S.

Full company description

Maximus, Inc. operates as a provider of government services worldwide. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Federal Services, U.S. Services, and Outside the U.S. The U.S. Federal Services segment offers business process services, eligibility and enrollment, outreach, and other services for federal health and human services programs; clinical services; and technology solutions, such as application development and modernization services, enterprise business solutions, advanced analytics and emerging technologies, cybersecurity services, data management, and infrastructure and engineering solutions. The U.S. Services segment offers program eligibility support and enrollment; centralized multilingual customer contact centers, multichannel, and digital self-service options for enrollment; application assistance and independent health plan choice counseling; beneficiary outreach, education, eligibility, enrollment, and redeterminations; subsidized telephone services; and person-centered independent assessment services. This segment also provides employment services, such as eligibility support, case management, job-readiness preparation, job search and employer outreach, job retention and career advancement, and educational and training services; technology solutions; and system implementation project management services. The Outside the U.S. segment offers BPS and technology solutions for international governments, including health and disability assessments, program administration for employment services, wellbeing solutions and other job seeker-related services, digitally-enabled customer services, and technologies for modernization. Maximus, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Maximus Inc reported revenue of $5.4B in FY2025 versus $4.3B in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was $319M in FY2025, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.4B
Latest YoY
+2.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (29Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+12.9% (10.8 + 2.1)
Revenue +6.3%/yr
FY21 $4.3B
FY22 $4.6B
FY23 $4.9B
FY24 $5.3B
FY25 $5.4B
Net income +2.3%/yr
FY21 $291M
FY22 $204M
FY23 $162M
FY24 $307M
FY25 $319M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +7.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +12.2 %

of which total revenue +10.8 % · buybacks/dilution +1.3 %

EBIT margin −3.9 %
Tax rate +1.9 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Maximus Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MMS

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Business Services · 248 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +118% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth −4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.77× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.81× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.57× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.06× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 25
FUTURE0 · sector 27
PAST89 · sector 36
HEALTH62 · sector 92
DIVIDEND42 · sector 48

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cintas Corporation CTAS $204.15 $95.19 −53%
RELX PLC RELX $34.55 $32.24 −7%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$142.85 C$70.40 −51%
Copart, Inc CPRT $32.76 $28.59 −13%
Global Payments Inc GPN $91.05 $68.98 −24%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$119.68 C$68.30 −43%
Brambles Limited BXB A$19.47 A$17.27 −11%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $74.43 $33.62 −55%
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL €68.88 €101.27 +47%
Aramark ARMK $59.08 $13.18 −78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Maximus Inc (MMS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $127.52 versus a price of $58.43, about +118% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MMS?
Our model-based fair value for Maximus Inc is $127.52 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $58.43.
What is the quality score of MMS?
Maximus Inc has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Maximus Inc (MMS)?
Maximus Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MMS?
The net profit margin of Maximus Inc is about 7.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Maximus Inc pay a dividend?
Maximus Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.11% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 27, 2026).
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