Mueller Industries Inc (MLI) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $13.0B · ISIN US6247561029
What is Mueller Industries Inc really worth?
Mueller Industries Inc
MLI · US
A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value of $59.33.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −7.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($40.90 to $76.81) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.03 – $70.23 · fair‑value band $40.90 – $76.81 · the $62.96 price screens above the $59.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
Mueller Industries Inc (MLI) currently trades at $62.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $59.33, implying the stock looks roughly 6.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 84/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $63.89 per share, and 8 of the 26 models we run sit above the $62.96 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $7.41, and 18 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Mueller Industries Inc generated revenue of $4.4B at a net margin of 19.4%. Revenue grew 19.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $40.90 (bear case) to $76.81 (bull case); at $62.96, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −6%, MLI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.21 per share, which is 3.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($63.89) versus Dividend Discount ($7.41). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 83 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Mueller Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells copper, brass, and aluminum products in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Asia and the Middle East, and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Piping Systems, Industrial Metals, and Climate.
Full company description
Mueller Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells copper, brass, and aluminum products in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Asia and the Middle East, and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Piping Systems, Industrial Metals, and Climate. The Piping Systems segment offers copper tubes, fittings, line sets, and pipe nipples; resells steel pipe, brass and plastic plumbing valves, malleable iron fittings, faucets, and plumbing specialties. This segment sells its products to wholesalers in the plumbing and refrigeration markets, distributors to the manufactured housing and recreational vehicle industries, building material retailers, and air-conditioning original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). The Industrial Metals segment offers brass, bronze, and copper alloy rods; brass rod, bar, and shapes; cold-form aluminum and copper products; high-volume machining of aluminum, steel, brass, and cast-iron impacts and castings for automotive applications; brass and aluminum forgings; brass, aluminum, and stainless steel valves; fluid control solutions; and gas train assembles; specialty copper, copper alloy, and aluminum tube to OEMs in the industrial, construction, plumbing, refrigeration, utility, telecommunication, and electrical transmission and distribution markets, as well as heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) markets. The Climate segment provides valves, protection devices, and brass fittings; and coaxial heat exchangers and twisted tubes to wholesalers and OEMs in the HVAC and refrigeration markets. This segment also manufactures and distributes high-pressure components and accessories, as well as insulated HVAC flexible duct systems. Mueller Industries, Inc. was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Collierville, Tennessee.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mueller Industries Inc reported revenue of $4.2B in FY2025 versus $3.8B in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was $765M in FY2025, compounding +13.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.4 % · buybacks/dilution +0.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Mueller Industries, Inc. Announces Retirement of Gary S. Gladstein from the Board of Directors Effective December 31, 2026
- Mueller Industries, Inc. Declares Cash Dividend for Third Quarter
- Mueller Industries Grew Sales 25% With Piping Up 27%. Here's the Backdrop to an Insider Filing
- Mueller's Sales Jumped 25% as Copper Climbed. Here's How to Read the CFO's Latest Insider Filing
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 251 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $490.58 | $101.35 | −79% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $210.76 | $35.74 | −83% |
| Aurubis AG NDA | €178.90 | €223.43 | +25% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥8.87 | ¥3.39 | −62% |
| Commercial Metals Company CMC | $68.16 | $13.01 | −81% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥27.08 | ¥8.34 | −69% |
| Viohalco S.A VIO | €16.46 | €14.98 | −9% |
| ESAB Corporation ESAB | $86.05 | $52.40 | −39% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥104.36 | ¥44.23 | −58% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥48.83 | ¥24.43 | −50% |
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