Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $28.7B · ISIN US1442851036
What is Carpenter Technology Corporation really worth?
Carpenter Technology Corporation
CRS · US
A solid business, but trading 361% above our fair value of $101.35.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −18.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($150.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($61.80 to $150.26) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $24.39 – $619.25 · fair‑value band $61.80 – $150.26 · the $467.48 price screens above the $101.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS) currently trades at $467.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $101.35, implying the stock looks roughly 361.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $115.58 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $467.48 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $12.16, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Carpenter Technology Corporation generated revenue of $3.0B at a net margin of 15.8%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.9%. Net debt stands at $423M. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $61.80 (bear case) to $150.26 (bull case); at $467.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −78%, CRS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $8.72 per share, which is 8.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($115.58) versus Dividend Discount ($12.16). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Carpenter Technology Corporation engages in the manufacture, fabrication, and distribution of specialty metals in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Mexico, Canada, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Specialty Alloys Operations and Performance Engineered Products.
Full company description
Carpenter Technology Corporation engages in the manufacture, fabrication, and distribution of specialty metals in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Mexico, Canada, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Specialty Alloys Operations and Performance Engineered Products. The company offers specialty alloys, including titanium alloys, powder metals, stainless steels, alloy steels, and tool steels, as well as metal powders and parts. It serves the aerospace, defense, medical, transportation, energy, industrial, and consumer markets. The company was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Carpenter Technology Corporation reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +18.2%/yr. Reported net income was $376M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +3.1 % · buybacks/dilution +0.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
CRS screens 361% overvalued. Compare with ATI Inc →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 251 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATI Inc ATI | $210.76 | $35.74 | −83% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $62.80 | $59.33 | −6% |
| Aurubis AG NDA | €178.90 | €223.43 | +25% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥8.87 | ¥3.39 | −62% |
| Commercial Metals Company CMC | $68.16 | $13.01 | −81% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥27.08 | ¥8.34 | −69% |
| Viohalco S.A VIO | €16.46 | €14.98 | −9% |
| ESAB Corporation ESAB | $86.05 | $52.40 | −39% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥104.36 | ¥44.23 | −58% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥48.83 | ¥24.43 | −50% |
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