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MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V (MFEA) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · IT · Market cap €2.0B

MM MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEA · MI
Price€2.68
Fair Value€4.57
Upside+70.5%
Quality39/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range €3.26 – €6.27 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price +12.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 71% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€3.26). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range (€3.26 to €6.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€3.19 €0.9280 Fair Value €4.57 Dec 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range €0.9280 – €3.19 · fair‑value band €3.26 – €6.27 · the €2.68 price screens below the €4.57 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V (MFEA) currently trades at €2.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.57, implying the stock looks roughly 70.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V generated revenue of €4.8B at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue grew 117.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.3%. Net debt stands at €1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €3.26 (bear case) to €6.27 (bull case); at €2.68, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at 71%, MFEA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €5.40 €7.72 €11.89 80
Residual Income €4.17 €4.50 €5.26 76
Rev-Margin DCF €2.52 €4.17 €6.34 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €5.13 €7.51 €12.20 38
Owner Earnings €2.80 €4.42 €7.64 31
5Y Revenue Exit €2.52 €3.99 €6.23 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €6.62 €10.94 €16.88 41
5Y P/E Exit €4.35 €7.10 €10.53 38
10Y Revenue Exit €3.42 €4.83 €6.36 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €5.96 €9.31 €13.08 37
10Y P/E Exit €4.60 €6.83 €9.07 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €2.92 €4.77 €5.76 54
EPV €0.2800 €0.6800 €1.02 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.93 €2.33 €2.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage €1.93 €2.53 €3.26 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €7.09 €9.46 €11.82 63
P/S Multiple €5.48 €7.31 €9.13 58
P/B Multiple €5.48 €7.31 €9.13 55
EV/EBIT €2.17 €3.65 €5.12 53
EV/EBITDA €9.14 €12.95 €16.75 54
EV/Revenue €1.10 €2.54 €3.98 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.49 €3.34 €4.98 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €5.40 €7.72 €11.89 80
Rev-Margin DCF €2.52 €4.17 €6.34 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €4.17 €4.50 €5.26 76
ROIC Compounder €0.2800 €0.6800 €1.02 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €5.00 €7.14 €9.28 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€7.31) versus Earnings-Based (€0.6800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €4.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +118%
Net margin 4.6%
Return on equity 7.3%
Free cash flow €540M FY2025
P/E ratio 9.6 as of Jul 4, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 0.9%
EPS (TTM) €0.3000
EPS growth (YoY) +18.7%
Net debt €1.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 29
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V. operates in the television industry in Italy and Spain. It is involved in the content production and third-party content acquisition; and content distribution for linear and non-linear, and free-to-air and pay-per-view television across various platforms and radio content.

Full company description

MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V. operates in the television industry in Italy and Spain. It is involved in the content production and third-party content acquisition; and content distribution for linear and non-linear, and free-to-air and pay-per-view television across various platforms and radio content. The company also engages in the advertising sale for television and radio operations through its concessionaires and online; and sells advertising space on managed media with cross-media coverage. In addition, it is involved in film production and distribution, licensing and merchandising, and advertising concessions of third-party publishing houses through Digitalia and Mediamond, as well as foreign media through Publieurope. The company was formerly known as Mediaset S.p.A. and changed its name to MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V. in November 2021. MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Milan, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V reported revenue of €4.0B in FY2025 versus €2.9B in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was €301M in FY2025, compounding −5.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€4.0B
Latest YoY
+35.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Revenue +8.7%/yr
FY21 €2.9B
FY22 €2.8B
FY23 €2.8B
FY24 €2.9B
FY25 €4.0B
Net income −5.3%/yr
FY21 €374M
FY22 €217M
FY23 €209M
FY24 €138M
FY25 €301M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MFEA

Peer Group

Broadcasting · 67 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside +71% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 118% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.64× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.67× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.49× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 4.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 32
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 29 · sector 3
HEALTH 68 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nexstar Media Group NXST $185.14 $151.97 -18%
SES S.A SESG €5.43 €18.90 +248%
PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK 500.00 IDR 1,094 IDR +119%
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.10 ¥1.14 -63%
Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV ₹487.90 ₹586.58 +20%
MBC Group 4072 20.43 SAR 19.24 SAR -6%
Métropole Télévision S.A MMT €12.04 €15.96 +33%
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 ¥7.15 ¥3.64 -49%
PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA 200.00 IDR 198.19 IDR -1%
Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited ZEEL ₹97.52 ₹53.22 -45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V (MFEA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.57 versus a price of €2.68, about +71% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MFEA?
Our model-based fair value for MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V is €4.57 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €2.68.
What is the quality score of MFEA?
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V (MFEA)?
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MFEA?
The net profit margin of MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V is about 4.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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