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LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · GB · Market cap 4.4B GBX · ISIN GB00B4WFW713

What is LondonMetric Property Plc really worth?

LP LondonMetric Property Plc LMP · LSE
Price£1.85
Fair Value£1.37
Upside−25.8%
Quality37/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 35% above our fair value of £1.37.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 63.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 66/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +30.6 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Weak on past: 27 out of 100

For context

·6.75% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range £0.8925 – £2.18

Fair value as of: Aug 25, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price −6.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (£0.8925 to £2.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£2.22 £1.30 Fair Value £1.37 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £1.30 – £2.22 · fair‑value band £0.8925 – £2.18 · the £1.85 price screens above the £1.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

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Analysis

LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP) currently trades at £1.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.37, implying the stock looks roughly 34.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £1.86 per share, and 5 of the 16 models we run sit above the £1.85 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at £1.24, and 11 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, LondonMetric Property Plc generated revenue of £469M at a net margin of 63.0%. Revenue grew 18.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.7%. Net debt stands at £2.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.8925 (bear case) to £2.18 (bull case); at £1.85, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −26%, LMP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly £0.0024 per share, which is 0.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence £1.59 £1.66 £1.69 76
FCF DCF £0.4500 £1.32 £4.02 69
5Y EBITDA Exit £0.9700 £2.77 £6.28 68
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £0.4500 £1.32 £4.02 69
5Y Revenue Exit £0.0700 £0.9400 £2.75 62
5Y EBITDA Exit £0.9700 £2.77 £6.28 68
10Y Revenue Exit £0.1600 £1.64 £2.59 63
10Y EBITDA Exit £0.8400 £3.52 £8.36 60
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.9200 £1.83 £2.78 67
DDM Multi-Stage £0.9200 £1.58 £1.94 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple £0.9700 £1.29 £1.61 58
P/B Multiple £1.61 £2.15 £2.68 55
EV/EBIT £1.77 £2.74 £3.72 65
EV/EBITDA £1.11 £1.86 £2.62 65
EV/Revenue £0.2400 £0.6500 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £1.01 £1.35 £2.01 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £0.3500 £1.56 £3.91 68
Rev-Margin DCF £0.0700 £1.24 £3.35 62
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence £1.59 £1.66 £1.69 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (£1.86) versus Growth DCF (£1.24). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 14.2
P/S ratio 9.03 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) £0.1300 price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.2
Dividend yield 6.7% payout 95.8%
Net margin 63.6% FY2026
Return on equity 6.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 92.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) £469M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.0% 3y avg +50.5%
EPS growth (YoY) −21.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 236M GBX FY2026
Net debt 2.8B GBX FY2026 · ≈ 12.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 28
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

LondonMetric Property Plc is the UK's leading triple net lease REIT with a 7 billion pounds portfolio. It is aligned to structurally supported sectors of logistics, healthcare, convenience, entertainment and leisure.

Full company description

LondonMetric Property Plc is the UK's leading triple net lease REIT with a 7 billion pounds portfolio. It is aligned to structurally supported sectors of logistics, healthcare, convenience, entertainment and leisure. It owns and manages desirable real estate that meets occupiers' demands, delivers reliable, repetitive and growing income-led returns and outperforms over the long term. LondonMetric Property Plc was established on October 01, 2007 and incorporated in 2007 in United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

LondonMetric Property Plc reported revenue of £465M in FY2026 versus £133M in FY2022, a compound +36.7%/yr. Reported net income was £296M in FY2026, compounding −20.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
£465M
Latest YoY
+17.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+50.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+38.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−17.9% (−24.6 + 6.7)
Revenue +36.7%/yr
FY22 £133M
FY23 £136M
FY24 £178M
FY25 £397M
FY26 £465M
Net income −20.3%/yr
FY22 £735M
FY23 −£506M
FY24 £119M
FY25 £348M
FY26 £296M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) −1.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.1 %

of which total revenue +18.4 % · buybacks/dilution −11.2 %

EBIT margin +2.4 %
Tax rate +0.0 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −8.6 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

LMP screens 35% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LondonMetric Property Plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LMP

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Industrial · 56 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −26% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 63% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 92% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.60× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.27× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 12.72× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 25.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 20.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.27× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 7
FUTURE90 · sector 16
PAST27 · sector 29
HEALTH70 · sector 77
DIVIDEND100 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Prologis, Inc PLD $140.70 $61.28 −56%
Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA $311.20 $162.43 −48%
Extra Space Storage Inc EXR $140.12 $78.38 −44%
EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP $198.47 $81.41 −59%
Lineage, Inc LINE $39.32 $47.91 +22%
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U 2.44 SGD 2.00 SGD −18%
CubeSmart CUBE $39.73 $25.06 −37%
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR $62.39 $20.72 −67%
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR $36.39 $20.69 −43%
STAG Industrial, Inc STAG $37.18 $21.64 −42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.37 versus a price of £1.85, about −26% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LMP?
Our model-based fair value for LondonMetric Property Plc is £1.37 (as of Aug 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £1.85.
What is the quality score of LMP?
LondonMetric Property Plc has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of LondonMetric Property Plc (LMP)?
LondonMetric Property Plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £469M (latest available figure, as of Aug 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LMP?
The net profit margin of LondonMetric Property Plc is about 63.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 63.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does LondonMetric Property Plc pay a dividend?
LondonMetric Property Plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.75% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 25, 2026).
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