EastGroup Properties Inc (EGP) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $10.7B · ISIN US2772761019
What is EastGroup Properties Inc really worth?
EastGroup Properties Inc
EGP · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 144% above our fair value of $81.41.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated today
Share price −2.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($101.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $123.54 – $223.38 · fair‑value band $60.38 – $101.76 · the $198.47 price screens above the $81.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
EastGroup Properties Inc (EGP) currently trades at $198.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $81.41, implying the stock looks roughly 143.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $135.25 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the $198.47 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $43.58, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, EastGroup Properties Inc generated revenue of $735M at a net margin of 39.8%. Revenue grew 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $60.38 (bear case) to $101.76 (bull case); at $198.47, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −59%, EGP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($135.25) versus Asset-Based ($43.58). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
EastGroup Properties, Inc. a member of the S&P Mid-Cap 400 and Russell 2000 Indexes. It is a self-administered equity real estate investment trust focused on the development, acquisition and operation of industrial properties in high-growth markets throughout the United States with an emphasis in the states of Texas, Florida, California, Arizona and North …
Full company description
EastGroup Properties, Inc. a member of the S&P Mid-Cap 400 and Russell 2000 Indexes. It is a self-administered equity real estate investment trust focused on the development, acquisition and operation of industrial properties in high-growth markets throughout the United States with an emphasis in the states of Texas, Florida, California, Arizona and North Carolina. The Company's goal is to maximize shareholder value by being a leading provider in its markets of functional, flexible and quality business distribution space for location sensitive customers (primarily in the 20,000 to 100,000 square foot range). The Company's strategy for growth is based on ownership of premier distribution facilities generally clustered near major transportation features in supply-constrained submarkets. East Groups portfolio, including development projects and value-add acquisitions in lease-up and under construction, currently includes approximately 65.5 million square feet. EastGroup Properties, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is based in Ridgeland, United States.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
EastGroup Properties Inc reported revenue of $721M in FY2025 versus $409M in FY2021, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was $257M in FY2025, compounding +13.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +10.3 % · buybacks/dilution −3.8 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
EGP screens 144% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- EastGroup Properties (EGP) Lifts Its Dividend, Is The Stock Trading At A Discount?
- DOC vs. EGP: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
- EastGroup Properties Announces Dividend Increase
- CUZ or EGP: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
Peer Group
REIT - Industrial · 56 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prologis, Inc PLD | $140.70 | $61.28 | −56% |
| Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA | $311.20 | $162.43 | −48% |
| Extra Space Storage Inc EXR | $140.12 | $78.38 | −44% |
| Lineage, Inc LINE | $39.32 | $47.91 | +22% |
| CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U | 2.44 SGD | 2.00 SGD | −18% |
| CubeSmart CUBE | $39.73 | $25.06 | −37% |
| First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR | $62.39 | $20.72 | −67% |
| Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR | $36.39 | $20.69 | −43% |
| STAG Industrial, Inc STAG | $37.18 | $21.64 | −42% |
| Terreno Realty Corporation TRNO | $66.59 | $36.59 | −45% |
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