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Johnson Matthey Plc (JMAT) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · GB · Market cap 3.2B GBX

JM Johnson Matthey Plc JMAT · LSE
Price£21.96
Fair Value£31.16
Upside+41.9%
Quality52/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -0.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.03% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: High Range £16.32 – £50.16 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from £16.79 to £31.16 (+85.6%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price +14.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 42% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (£16.32 to £50.16). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£25.92 £10.79 Fair Value £31.16 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £10.79 – £25.92 · fair‑value band £16.32 – £50.16 · the £21.96 price screens below the £31.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Johnson Matthey Plc (JMAT) currently trades at £21.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £31.16, implying the stock looks roughly 41.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Johnson Matthey Plc generated revenue of £12.6B at a net margin of -0.8%. Revenue grew 19.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.2%. Net debt stands at £841M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £16.32 (bear case) to £50.16 (bull case); at £21.96, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -68% fair-value upside, at 42%, JMAT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £5.53 £9.58 £14.98 80
Rev-Margin DCF £9.74 £18.69 £28.49 74
ROIC Compounder £4.42 £5.83 £7.05 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £5.32 £9.80 £16.08 38
5Y Revenue Exit £9.74 £18.72 £30.02 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £10.97 £20.96 £32.34 41
10Y Revenue Exit £7.44 £15.05 £24.92 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £8.70 £16.55 £26.60 37
Earnings-Based
EPV £4.42 £5.83 £7.05 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £6.75 £13.26 £20.36 70
DDM Multi-Stage £6.75 £10.25 £13.84 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT £16.12 £23.00 £29.88 53
EV/EBITDA £16.88 £24.02 £31.15 54
EV/Revenue £13.37 £21.04 £28.70 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £6.00 £8.05 £12.01 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £5.53 £9.58 £14.98 80
Rev-Margin DCF £9.74 £18.69 £28.49 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder £4.42 £5.83 £7.05 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (£23.00) versus Earnings-Based (£5.83). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 12.6B GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.4%
Net margin -0.8%
Return on equity -4.2%
Free cash flow 159M GBX FY2026
Operating margin 2.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) £-0.5400
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +675%
Net debt 841M GBX FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Johnson Matthey Plc engages in the clean air, catalyst and hydrogen technology, and platinum group metals (PGM) service businesses in the United Kingdom, Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, rest of North America, China, rest of Asia, and internationally. It operates through Clean Air, PGM Services, and Hydrogen Technologies segments.

Full company description

Johnson Matthey Plc engages in the clean air, catalyst and hydrogen technology, and platinum group metals (PGM) service businesses in the United Kingdom, Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, rest of North America, China, rest of Asia, and internationally. It operates through Clean Air, PGM Services, and Hydrogen Technologies segments. The Clean Air segment provides catalysts for emission control after-treatment systems to reduce harmful emissions from cars, other light duty vehicles, trucks, buses, and non-road equipment powered by internal combustion engines. The PGM Services segment enables the energy transition that offers circular solutions as demand for critical materials. This segment also offers PGM refining and recycling services; engages in PGM trading activities; other precious metal products; and PGM chemicals, industrial products, and catalysts. The Hydrogen Technologies segment offers components across the value chain for fuel cells and electrolysers, including catalyst coated membranes and membrane electrode assemblies. The company was formerly known as Johnson & Cock and changed its name to Johnson Matthey Plc in 1851. Johnson Matthey Plc was founded in 1817 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Johnson Matthey Plc reported revenue of £12.6B in FY2026 versus £16.0B in FY2022, a compound −5.9%/yr. Reported net income was −£96.0M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
£12.6B
Latest YoY
+7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.1%
Revenue −5.9%/yr
FY22 £16.0B
FY23 £14.9B
FY24 £12.8B
FY25 £11.7B
FY26 £12.6B
Net income
FY22 −£101M
FY23 £276M
FY24 £108M
FY25 £373M
FY26 −£96.0M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) −4.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.3 pp

of which total revenue +1.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.9 pp

EBIT margin −3.9 pp
Tax rate −1.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Johnson Matthey Plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JMAT

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 666 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +41% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.66× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.16× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 27.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.00× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 88 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 18
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 67 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 81 · sector 25

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,756 ₹664.51 -76%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,730 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,702 ₹351.84 -79%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 2,160 IDR 2,322 IDR +8%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹559.80 ₹154.46 -72%
Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited FLUOROCHEM ₹4,566 ₹836.47 -82%
Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited HSCL ₹778.15 ₹248.63 -68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Johnson Matthey Plc (JMAT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £31.16 versus a price of £21.96, about +42% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JMAT?
Our model-based fair value for Johnson Matthey Plc is £31.16 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £21.96.
What is the quality score of JMAT?
Johnson Matthey Plc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Johnson Matthey Plc (JMAT)?
Johnson Matthey Plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £12.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JMAT?
The net profit margin of Johnson Matthey Plc is about -0.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Johnson Matthey Plc pay a dividend?
Johnson Matthey Plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.54% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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