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Berger Paints India Limited (BERGEPAINT) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹581B

BP Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT · NSE
Price₹545.10
Fair Value₹154.46
Upside-71.7%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.81% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range ₹107.23 – ₹194.09 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹164.29 to ₹154.46 (−6.0%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +11.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 72% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹194.09). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹107.23 to ₹194.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹699.27 ₹403.95 Fair Value ₹154.46 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹403.95 – ₹699.27 · fair‑value band ₹107.23 – ₹194.09 · the ₹545.10 price screens above the ₹154.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Berger Paints India Limited (BERGEPAINT) currently trades at ₹545.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹154.46, implying the stock looks roughly 71.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Berger Paints India Limited generated revenue of ₹119B at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.2%. Net debt stands at ₹3.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹107.23 (bear case) to ₹194.09 (bull case); at ₹545.10, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -72%, BERGEPAINT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹123.64 ₹219.91 ₹392.83 80
Residual Income ₹66.17 ₹85.73 ₹259.24 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹113.18 ₹194.99 ₹300.07 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹123.98 ₹226.54 ₹412.14 38
Owner Earnings ₹118.68 ₹216.77 ₹394.27 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹113.18 ₹197.07 ₹310.77 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹115.28 ₹201.39 ₹308.71 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹118.67 ₹208.33 ₹310.31 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹112.04 ₹194.10 ₹319.35 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹117.27 ₹197.33 ₹317.60 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹119.56 ₹202.52 ₹318.96 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹65.72 ₹299.55 ₹410.99 54
Lynch FV ₹78.47 ₹112.11 ₹145.74 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹78.47 ₹112.11 ₹145.74 46
EPV ₹95.20 ₹111.57 ₹126.11 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹36.55 ₹79.79 ₹134.25 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹36.55 ₹65.36 ₹83.16 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹123.22 ₹164.29 ₹205.37 63
P/S Multiple ₹114.62 ₹152.83 ₹191.04 58
P/B Multiple ₹123.22 ₹164.29 ₹205.37 55
EV/EBIT ₹132.27 ₹175.53 ₹218.79 53
EV/EBITDA ₹120.41 ₹159.71 ₹199.02 54
EV/Revenue ₹109.47 ₹155.32 ₹201.17 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹29.66 ₹39.74 ₹59.32 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹123.64 ₹219.91 ₹392.83 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹113.18 ₹194.99 ₹300.07 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹66.17 ₹85.73 ₹259.24 76
ROIC Compounder ₹107.96 ₹148.89 ₹205.27 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹113.18 ₹161.68 ₹210.19 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹201.39) versus Asset-Based (₹39.74). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹119B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.1%
Net margin 9.5%
Return on equity 17.2%
Free cash flow ₹10.5B FY2026
P/E ratio 56.4
More key figures
Operating margin 13.3%
EPS (TTM) ₹9.66
EPS growth (YoY) +27.7%
Net debt ₹3.3B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 67
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Berger Paints India Limited manufactures and sells paints for home, professional, and industrial users in India and internationally.

Full company description

Berger Paints India Limited manufactures and sells paints for home, professional, and industrial users in India and internationally. The company offers interior wall coatings, including designer finishes, interior emulsions, and ceiling paints; exterior wall coatings comprising exterior emulsions and textures, and roof and floor coatings; specialty industrial coatings; putty and cement paints; solvent, interior, exterior, metal, and wood primers; waterproofing solutions; wood finishes; enamels; aerosol spray paints, and DIY kits and stickers. It also provides automotive, fireproof, protective, floor, and powder coatings; road markings; construction chemicals, flooring compounds, bitumen and coal tar-based products, sealants and adhesives, and anti-corrosive coatings; lacquers; and various sanitization products. In addition, the company offers acrylic, silicate, and mineral plasters; thermal insulation adhesives; mortars; ready to use coat, wood effect, ribbed effect, concrete effect, and 3D effect; gel adhesives; and coil coating solutions. The company was formerly known as British Paints (India) Limited and changed its name to Berger Paints India Limited in December 1983. The company was incorporated in 1923 and is based in Kolkata, India. Berger Paints India Limited is a subsidiary of U. K. Paints India Private Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Berger Paints India Limited reported revenue of ₹119B in FY2026 versus ₹87.6B in FY2022, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹11.3B in FY2026, compounding +7.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹119B
Latest YoY
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.7%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.3%
Revenue +7.9%/yr
FY22 ₹87.6B
FY23 ₹106B
FY24 ₹112B
FY25 ₹115B
FY26 ₹119B
Net income +7.9%/yr
FY22 ₹8.3B
FY23 ₹8.6B
FY24 ₹11.7B
FY25 ₹11.8B
FY26 ₹11.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +13.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +11.4 pp

of which total revenue +11.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −2.3 pp
Tax rate +1.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

BERGEPAINT screens 72% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Berger Paints India Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BERGEPAINT

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 670 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −72% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 56.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 8.40× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.89× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 31.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 31 · sector 19
PAST 69 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 16 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,756 ₹664.51 -76%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,730 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,702 ₹351.84 -79%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 2,160 IDR 2,322 IDR +8%
Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited FLUOROCHEM ₹4,566 ₹836.47 -82%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Berger Paints India Limited (BERGEPAINT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹154.46 versus a price of ₹545.10, about −72% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BERGEPAINT?
Our model-based fair value for Berger Paints India Limited is ₹154.46 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹545.10.
What is the quality score of BERGEPAINT?
Berger Paints India Limited has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Berger Paints India Limited (BERGEPAINT)?
Berger Paints India Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹119B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BERGEPAINT?
The net profit margin of Berger Paints India Limited is about 9.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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