Asian Paints Limited (ASIANPAINT) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹2.6T (≈ $27.3B) · ISIN INE021A01026
What is Asian Paints Limited really worth?
A solid business, but trading 280% above our fair value of ₹664.51.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹668.81 to ₹664.51 (−0.6%) since Jul 20, 2026. Share price −8.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹930.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range (₹490.45 to ₹930.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹2,091 – ₹3,430 · fair‑value band ₹490.45 – ₹930.02 · the ₹2,527 price screens above the ₹664.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Asian Paints Limited (ASIANPAINT) currently trades at ₹2,527, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹664.51, implying the stock looks roughly 280.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹1,010 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹2,527 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹149.37, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Asian Paints Limited generated revenue of ₹356B at a net margin of 12.2%. Revenue grew 11.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.9%. Net debt stands at ₹32.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹490.45 (bear case) to ₹930.02 (bull case); at ₹2,527, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −74%, ASIANPAINT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹8.64 per share, which is 1.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹1,010) versus Asset-Based (₹149.37). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Asian Paints Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, distribution, and sale of paints, coatings, and products related to home decoration and bath fittings, kitchen, and wardrobe in India, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and the South Pacific region.
Full company description
Asian Paints Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, distribution, and sale of paints, coatings, and products related to home decoration and bath fittings, kitchen, and wardrobe in India, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and the South Pacific region. The company offers wall coverings, waterproofing products, adhesives; and bath fittings and sanitaryware, modular kitchens and wardrobes, fabric, furnishings, rugs, decorative lightings, unplasticized polyvinyl chloride windows and door systems, furniture, textures and painting aids, and mechanized tools. It also provides color consultancy, projects, home painting services, waterproofing and wood solutions, and assure services; and interior and exterior wall finishes, enamels, tools, undercoats, thinners, and varnishers. The company offers its products under the Asian Paints, SCIB Paints, Apco Coatings, Asian Paints Berger, Taubmans, Asian Paints Causeway, and Kadisco Asian Paints brand names. It serves homeowners, large projects, dealers, corporates, architects, interior designers, contractors, and influencers through multi-channel distribution network comprising wholesalers, distributors, retail outlets, and e-commerce platforms. Asian Paints Limited was founded in 1942 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Asian Paints Limited reported revenue of ₹355B in FY2026 versus ₹290B in FY2022, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹43.3B in FY2026, compounding +9.3%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +10.4 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ASIANPAINT screens 280% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 695 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $485.35 | $222.03 | −54% |
| The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW | $344.86 | $143.38 | −58% |
| Ecolab Inc ECL | $286.75 | $96.18 | −66% |
| Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD | $308.09 | $122.14 | −60% |
| Givaudan SA GIVN | CHF 3,282 | CHF 1,498 | −54% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥77.66 | ¥68.03 | −12% |
| 500820 500820 | ₹2,757 | ₹557.43 | −80% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 456.40 | kr 169.99 | −63% |
| PPG Industries, Inc PPG | $114.22 | $71.31 | −38% |
| DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR | €90.68 | €33.20 | −63% |
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