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JGC Holdings (JGCCY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $4.2B

JH JGC Holdings logo JGC Holdings JGCCY · US
Price$28.01
Fair Value$48.54
Upside+73.3%
Quality69/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.20% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range $36.98 – $60.67 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $47.77 to $48.54 (+1.6%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +5.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 73% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($36.98). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$34.95 $10.71 Fair Value $48.54 Jun 2019 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.71 – $34.95 · fair‑value band $36.98 – $60.67 · the $28.01 price screens below the $48.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

JGC Holdings (JGCCY) currently trades at $28.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $48.54, implying the stock looks roughly 73.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, JGC Holdings generated revenue of $745B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue declined 29.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $367B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $36.98 (bear case) to $60.67 (bull case); at $28.01, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 73%, JGCCY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $57.79 $72.33 $91.37 80
Rev-Margin DCF $43.75 $53.73 $64.67 74
ROIC Compounder $28.41 $30.31 $32.25 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $56.84 $72.63 $94.24 38
Owner Earnings $41.83 $51.33 $64.32 31
5Y Revenue Exit $43.75 $53.12 $64.34 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $47.08 $59.05 $72.20 41
5Y P/E Exit $53.22 $69.99 $86.61 38
10Y Revenue Exit $47.99 $57.20 $68.10 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $50.52 $61.12 $73.71 37
10Y P/E Exit $54.27 $68.35 $83.99 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $15.72 $37.34 $48.12 54
PEG = 1.0 $6.49 $9.27 $12.05 46
EPV $28.07 $29.47 $30.69 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $36.41 $48.54 $60.68 63
P/S Multiple $29.47 $39.29 $49.12 58
P/B Multiple $29.47 $39.29 $49.12 55
EV/EBIT $44.11 $52.43 $60.74 53
EV/EBITDA $44.35 $52.73 $61.12 54
EV/Revenue $36.98 $44.60 $52.23 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.23 $15.05 $22.47 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $57.79 $72.33 $91.37 80
Rev-Margin DCF $43.75 $53.73 $64.67 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $19.59 $21.77 $33.20 61
ROIC Compounder $28.41 $30.31 $32.25 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $27.64 $39.48 $51.33 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($59.05) versus Asset-Based ($15.05). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $745B
Revenue growth (YoY) -29.7%
Net margin 5.6%
Return on equity 10.2%
Free cash flow $71.1B FY2026
P/E ratio 13.0
More key figures
Operating margin 4.9%
EPS (TTM) $2.16
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +234%
Net cash $367B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

JGC Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineering, procurement, and construction services. It operates in two segments, Comprehensive Engineering, and Functional Materials Manufacturing.

Full company description

JGC Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineering, procurement, and construction services. It operates in two segments, Comprehensive Engineering, and Functional Materials Manufacturing. The Total Engineering segment is involved in the planning, design, procurement, construction, and commissioning services of machinery, facilities and plants for petroleum, petroleum refining, petrochemicals, gas, liquefied natural gas, etc. The Functional Materials Manufacturing segment manufacture and distributes products in catalyst, nanoparticle technology, hygiene and safety, electronic materials, and high-performance ceramic, and next generation energy sectors. In addition, the company provides consulting, real estate management, and water desalination, as well as sells oil and gas. It serves in Japan, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa, North America, and internationally. The company was formerly known as JGC Corporation and changed its name to JGC Holdings Corporation in October 2019. JGC Holdings Corporation was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Yokohama, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

JGC Holdings reported revenue of $790B in FY2026 versus $428B in FY2022, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was $44.4B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$790B
Latest YoY
−7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.7%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Revenue +16.5%/yr
FY22 $428B
FY23 $607B
FY24 $833B
FY25 $858B
FY26 $790B
Net income
FY22 −$35.6B
FY23 $30.7B
FY24 −$7.8B
FY25 −$398M
FY26 $44.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JGC Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JGCCY

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +73% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth -30% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.0× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 14
FUTURE 0 · sector 15
PAST 41 · sector 26
HEALTH 96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 44 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,020 ₹1,994 -50%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 357,500 KRW 261,411 KRW -27%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 113,700 KRW 61,453 KRW -46%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 49,300 KRW 43,624 KRW -12%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹230.00 ₹48.92 -79%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 18,400 KRW 6,507 KRW -65%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 99,800 KRW 19,346 KRW -81%
GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 35,200 KRW 23,135 KRW -34%
DL E&C Co 375500 73,500 KRW 148,433 KRW +102%
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 45,400 KRW 43,924 KRW -3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is JGC Holdings (JGCCY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $48.54 versus a price of $28.01, about +73% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JGCCY?
Our model-based fair value for JGC Holdings is $48.54 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $28.01.
What is the quality score of JGCCY?
JGC Holdings has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of JGC Holdings (JGCCY)?
JGC Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $745B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JGCCY?
The net profit margin of JGC Holdings is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does JGC Holdings pay a dividend?
JGC Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.20% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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