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Henry Schein Inc (HSIC) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $10.0B · ISIN US8064071025

What is Henry Schein Inc really worth?

HS Henry Schein Inc logo Henry Schein Inc HSIC · US
Price$90.86
Fair Value$71.70
Upside−21.1%
Quality60/100

A solid business, but trading 27% above our fair value of $71.70.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +5.4 %/yr)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 3.0% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 5 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $47.03 – $96.08

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +2.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($47.03 to $96.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$91.96 $61.89 Fair Value $71.70 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $61.89 – $91.96 · fair‑value band $47.03 – $96.08 · the $90.86 price screens above the $71.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Henry Schein Inc (HSIC) currently trades at $90.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $71.70, implying the stock looks roughly 26.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $276.77 per share, and 6 of the 26 models we run sit above the $90.86 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $19.09, and 20 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Henry Schein Inc generated revenue of $13.4B at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 6.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. Net debt stands at $3.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $47.03 (bear case) to $96.08 (bull case); at $90.86, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at −21%, HSIC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.25 per share, which is 3.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $37.83 $68.76 $115.65 78
Growth DCF $38.88 $66.39 $105.63 77
Owner Earnings $37.54 $68.31 $114.95 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $37.83 $68.76 $115.65 78
Owner Earnings $37.54 $68.31 $114.95 74
5Y Revenue Exit $38.42 $73.00 $116.95 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $57.86 $109.19 $168.91 73
5Y P/E Exit $34.24 $65.22 $97.38 69
10Y Revenue Exit $35.83 $67.30 $109.17 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $50.04 $92.36 $148.65 66
10Y P/E Exit $35.01 $61.92 $94.30 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $23.76 $72.08 $95.62 65
Lynch FV $15.41 $22.01 $28.61 61
PEG = 1.0 $15.41 $22.01 $28.61 57
EPV $33.93 $42.73 $50.44 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $169.26 $351.93 $558.30 66
DDM Multi-Stage $169.26 $276.77 $369.36 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $57.65 $76.86 $96.08 63
P/S Multiple $44.55 $59.39 $74.24 58
P/B Multiple $44.55 $59.39 $74.24 55
EV/EBIT $65.93 $94.21 $122.49 65
EV/EBITDA $79.62 $112.47 $145.31 67
EV/Revenue $41.64 $67.59 $93.54 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $14.24 $19.09 $28.49 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $38.88 $66.39 $105.63 77
Rev-Margin DCF $38.42 $73.03 $112.51 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $26.71 $31.00 $50.38 74
ROIC Compounder $35.27 $49.64 $67.63 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $47.03 $67.19 $87.34 67

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($276.77) versus Asset-Based ($19.09). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 27.5
P/S ratio 0.83 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $3.31 price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.5
Net margin 3.0% FY2025
Return on equity 8.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 5.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $13.4B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.3% 3y avg +1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +4.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $573M FY2025
Net debt $3.5B FY2025 · ≈ 6.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Henry Schein, Inc. provides health care products and services to office-based dental and medical practitioners worldwide. It operates through Global Distribution and Value-Added Services; Global Specialty Products; and Global Technology segments.

Full company description

Henry Schein, Inc. provides health care products and services to office-based dental and medical practitioners worldwide. It operates through Global Distribution and Value-Added Services; Global Specialty Products; and Global Technology segments. The Global Distribution and Value-Added Services segment distributes infection-control products, handpieces, preventatives, impression materials, composites, anesthetics, teeth, gypsum, acrylics, articulators, abrasives, PPE products, branded and generic pharmaceuticals, vaccines, surgical products, diagnostic tests, dental chairs, delivery units and lights, digital dental laboratories, X-ray supplies and equipment, and high-tech and digital restoration equipment, as well as provides equipment repair services, financial services on a non-recourse basis, continuing education services for practitioners, consulting, and other services. It also markets and sells a portfolio of consumable merchandise under its own corporate brand. The Global Specialty Products segment engage in manufacturing, marketing, and sales of dental implant and biomaterial products; and endodontic, orthodontic and orthopedic products, and other health care-related products and services. The Global Technology segment is involved in the development and distribution of practice management software, e-services, and other products which are distributed to health care providers. The company serves dental practices, laboratories, physician practices, and ambulatory surgery centers, as well as government, institutional health care clinics, home health providers, and other alternate care clinics. Henry Schein, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Henry Schein Inc reported revenue of $13.2B in FY2025 versus $12.4B in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was $398M in FY2025, compounding −10.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$13.2B
Latest YoY
+4.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+2.1% (2.1 + 0.0)
Revenue +1.5%/yr
FY21 $12.4B
FY22 $12.6B
FY23 $12.3B
FY24 $12.7B
FY25 $13.2B
Net income −10.6%/yr
FY21 $624M
FY22 $538M
FY23 $416M
FY24 $390M
FY25 $398M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +1.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.9 %

of which total revenue +1.8 % · buybacks/dilution +3.1 %

EBIT margin −2.2 %
Tax rate +1.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.6 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

HSIC screens 27% overvalued. Compare with McKesson Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Henry Schein Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HSIC

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Medical Distribution · 78 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −21% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 24.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.71× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.75× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 17.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.84× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE5 · sector 26
FUTURE32 · sector 14
PAST35 · sector 22
HEALTH64 · sector 97
DIVIDEND100 · sector 57

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McKesson Corporation MCK $906.77 $819.31 −10%
Cencora, Inc COR $330.97 $211.07 −36%
Cardinal Health, Inc CAH $234.55 $141.77 −40%
Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding 601607 ¥16.37 ¥33.96 +107%
Sinopharm Group 1099 HK$16.75 HK$58.67 +250%
Galenica AG GALE CHF 80.85 CHF 61.79 −24%
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings 600332 ¥21.03 ¥28.65 +36%
Jointown Pharmaceutical Group 600998 ¥5.04 ¥9.84 +95%
Asker Healthcare Group ASKER kr 74.40 kr 28.26 −62%
China National Medicines Corporation 600511 ¥26.84 ¥58.22 +117%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Henry Schein Inc (HSIC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $71.70 versus a price of $90.86, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HSIC?
Our model-based fair value for Henry Schein Inc is $71.70 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $90.86.
What is the quality score of HSIC?
Henry Schein Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Henry Schein Inc (HSIC)?
Henry Schein Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HSIC?
The net profit margin of Henry Schein Inc is about 3.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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