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Cencora Inc. (COR) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $58.8B · ISIN US03073E1055

What is Cencora Inc. really worth?

CI Cencora Inc. logo Cencora Inc. COR · US
Price$337.22
Fair Value$211.07
Upside−37.4%
Quality58/100

A solid business, but trading 60% above our fair value of $211.07.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +11.1 %/yr)

Risks

!Thin margins · 0.8% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Moderate moat 46/100
!Weak on future: 19 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 14 out of 100

For context

·0.68% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $137.95 – $284.19

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +10.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($284.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($137.95 to $284.19) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$373.25 $106.95 Fair Value $211.07 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $106.95 – $373.25 · fair‑value band $137.95 – $284.19 · the $337.22 price screens above the $211.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Cencora Inc. (COR) currently trades at $337.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $211.07, implying the stock looks roughly 59.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $346.97 per share, and 4 of the 25 models we run sit above the $337.22 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $36.16, and 21 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cencora Inc. generated revenue of $329B at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue grew 3.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 107.1%. Net debt stands at $6.4B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $137.95 (bear case) to $284.19 (bull case); at $337.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at −37%, COR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $10.01 per share, which is 4.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $194.33 $360.63 $647.18 77
Growth DCF $193.18 $346.97 $605.63 76
EPV $128.57 $152.70 $173.81 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $194.33 $360.63 $647.18 77
Owner Earnings $110.98 $211.43 $384.52 73
5Y Revenue Exit $165.63 $297.21 $474.41 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $209.74 $387.49 $609.43 73
5Y P/E Exit $133.86 $232.18 $342.27 70
10Y Revenue Exit $167.78 $295.77 $488.89 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $202.73 $361.65 $601.14 66
10Y P/E Exit $152.57 $248.31 $379.04 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $54.32 $245.72 $336.96 64
Lynch FV $64.19 $91.70 $119.21 61
PEG = 1.0 $64.19 $91.70 $119.21 57
EPV $128.57 $152.70 $173.81 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $20.63 $42.89 $68.04 66
DDM Multi-Stage $20.63 $36.16 $45.01 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $131.80 $175.74 $219.67 63
P/S Multiple $101.85 $135.80 $169.75 58
P/B Multiple $26.16 $34.88 $43.60 55
EV/EBIT $222.86 $302.54 $382.22 66
EV/EBITDA $237.40 $321.93 $406.45 67
EV/Revenue $154.43 $227.54 $300.66 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.88 $5.19 $7.75 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $193.18 $346.97 $605.63 76
Economic Profit
Residual Income $46.60 $83.24 $2,244 64
ROIC Compounder $139.27 $178.24 $221.84 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $106.72 $152.46 $198.20 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($346.97) versus Asset-Based ($5.19). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 25.8
P/S ratio 0.12 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $13.08 price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.8
Dividend yield 0.7% payout 17.6%
Net margin 0.5% FY2025
Return on equity 107% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 1.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $329B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.8% 3y avg +10.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +128%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $3.2B FY2025
Net debt $6.4B FY2025 · ≈ 2.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Cencora, Inc. sources and distributes pharmaceutical products in the United States and internationally. The company's U.S.

Full company description

Cencora, Inc. sources and distributes pharmaceutical products in the United States and internationally. The company's U.S. Healthcare Solutions segment distributes generic and injectable pharmaceuticals, over-the-counter healthcare products, home healthcare supplies and equipment, and related services to acute care hospitals and health systems, independent and chain retail pharmacies, mail order pharmacies, medical clinics, long-term care and alternate site pharmacies, and other customers; distributes plasma and other blood products, vaccines, and other specialty pharmaceutical products; provides pharmacy management, staffing, and other consulting services; supply management software to retail and institutional healthcare providers; packaging solutions to institutional and retail healthcare providers; clinical trial support, product post-approval, and commercialization support services; data analytics, outcomes research, and other services for biotechnology and pharmaceutical manufacturers; pharmaceuticals, vaccines, parasiticides, diagnostics, micro feed ingredients, and other products to the companion animal and production animal markets; sales force services to manufacturers; and offers other services to physicians who specialize in various disease states, such as oncology, as well as to other healthcare providers, including hospitals and dialysis clinics. Its International Healthcare Solutions segment provides international pharmaceutical wholesale and related service, and global commercialization services; distributes pharmaceuticals, other healthcare products, and related services to pharmacies, doctors, health centers, and hospitals; and offers specialty transportation and logistics services for the biopharmaceutical industry. The company was formerly known as AmerisourceBergen Corporation and changed its name to Cencora, Inc. in August 2023. Cencora, Inc. was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in Conshohocken, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cencora Inc. reported revenue of $321B in FY2025 versus $214B in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.6B in FY2025, compounding +0.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 83/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$321B
Latest YoY
+9.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+7.6% (6.9 + 0.7)
Revenue +10.7%/yr
FY21 $214B
FY22 $239B
FY23 $262B
FY24 $294B
FY25 $321B
Net income +0.2%/yr
FY21 $1.5B
FY22 $1.7B
FY23 $1.7B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $1.6B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +9.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.9 %

of which total revenue +9.1 % · buybacks/dilution +1.6 %

EBIT margin −0.4 %
Tax rate −1.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

COR screens 60% overvalued. Compare with McKesson Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cencora Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COR

Peer Group

Medical Distribution · 78 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −37% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 107% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 5.00× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 39.02× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.18× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 18.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.64× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 26
FUTURE19 · sector 14
PAST100 · sector 22
HEALTH0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND14 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McKesson Corporation MCK $906.77 $819.31 −10%
Cardinal Health, Inc CAH $234.55 $141.77 −40%
Henry Schein, Inc HSIC $88.46 $71.70 −19%
Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding 601607 ¥16.37 ¥33.96 +107%
Sinopharm Group 1099 HK$16.75 HK$58.67 +250%
Galenica AG GALE CHF 80.85 CHF 61.79 −24%
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings 600332 ¥21.03 ¥28.65 +36%
Jointown Pharmaceutical Group 600998 ¥5.04 ¥9.84 +95%
Asker Healthcare Group ASKER kr 74.40 kr 28.26 −62%
China National Medicines Corporation 600511 ¥26.84 ¥58.22 +117%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cencora Inc. (COR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $211.07 versus a price of $337.22, about −37% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of COR?
Our model-based fair value for Cencora Inc. is $211.07 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $337.22.
What is the quality score of COR?
Cencora Inc. has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cencora Inc. (COR)?
Cencora Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $329B (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of COR?
The net profit margin of Cencora Inc. is about 0.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cencora Inc. pay a dividend?
Cencora Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.68% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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