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Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd (600332) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 34.8B CNY (≈ $5.2B) · ISIN CNE000001733

What is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd really worth?

GB Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd 600332 · SHG
Price¥20.24
Fair Value¥32.21
Upside+59.1%
Quality51/100

A solid business, trading 37% below our fair value of ¥32.21.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 18 out of 100

For context

·4.20% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range ¥25.43 – ¥39.50

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 19, 2026, revised from ¥28.65 to ¥32.21 (+12.4%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −5.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥25.43). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥35.92 ¥19.77 Fair Value ¥32.21 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥19.77 – ¥35.92 · fair‑value band ¥25.43 – ¥39.50 · the ¥20.24 price screens below the ¥32.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd (600332) currently trades at ¥20.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥32.21, implying the stock looks roughly 37.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥55.25 per share, and 14 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥20.24 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥14.89, and 3 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd generated revenue of 78.5B CNY at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.4%. Net debt stands at 5.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥25.43 (bear case) to ¥39.50 (bull case); at ¥20.24, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 59%, 600332 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.6496 per share, which is 2.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence ¥22.39 ¥23.99 ¥26.82 76
Owner Earnings ¥33.64 ¥55.25 ¥93.64 74
EPV ¥25.12 ¥27.91 ¥30.35 74
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥33.64 ¥55.25 ¥93.64 74
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥14.43 ¥70.50 ¥97.15 64
Lynch FV ¥18.92 ¥27.03 ¥35.14 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥18.92 ¥27.03 ¥35.14 57
EPV ¥25.12 ¥27.91 ¥30.35 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥8.49 ¥17.66 ¥28.02 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥8.49 ¥14.89 ¥18.54 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥35.01 ¥46.68 ¥58.35 63
P/S Multiple ¥27.05 ¥36.07 ¥45.09 58
P/B Multiple ¥27.05 ¥36.07 ¥45.09 55
EV/EBIT ¥36.50 ¥45.88 ¥55.25 66
EV/EBITDA ¥38.67 ¥48.78 ¥58.88 67
EV/Revenue ¥28.45 ¥37.05 ¥45.66 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥13.44 ¥18.01 ¥26.88 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence ¥22.39 ¥23.99 ¥26.82 76
ROIC Compounder ¥25.12 ¥29.26 ¥35.36 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥30.03 ¥42.89 ¥55.76 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥55.25) versus Dividend Discount (¥14.89). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.0 as of Jun 15, 2026
P/S ratio 0.46 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥1.81 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.0
Dividend yield 4.2% payout 47.0%
Net margin 3.9% FY2025
Return on equity 7.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 9.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 78.5B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.6% 3y avg +3.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −2.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −980M CNY FY2025
Net debt 5.7B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited engages in the pharmaceutical and healthcare industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through Modern Chinese Medicine Business, Chemical Pharmaceutical Technology Business, Natural Beverage Business, Pharmaceutical Commercial Business, and Other segments.

Full company description

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited engages in the pharmaceutical and healthcare industry in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through Modern Chinese Medicine Business, Chemical Pharmaceutical Technology Business, Natural Beverage Business, Pharmaceutical Commercial Business, and Other segments. It is involved in the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of chemical drugs, chemical raw materials, and chemical raw material intermediates; and research, development, production, and sale of health products; and wholesale, retail, and import export of Western medicines, traditional Chinese medicines, and medical devices. The company also offers bio-innovation, consumer health, and medical services; Xiaochaihu granules; Qingkailing and Baoji, Xia Sangju product series; Angong Niuhuang, Zishen Yutai, Xiaoke, Huatuo Zaizao, Zhuangyao Jianshen, and Shujin Jianyao pills; compound Danshen and Naoxinqing tablet series; Banlangen, Compound Banlangen, and Dashen Kouyanqing granules series; and honey-processed Chuanbei and Shedan Chuanbei loquat syrup. In addition, it provides antibacterial and anti-inflammatory drugs, andrological drugs, and analgesics and antipyretics; Wanglaoji herbal tea, Ciningji series, Lixiaoji series, and Yerou coconut milk; and advertising services. Further, the company engages in the medical research industry; technology services industry; leasing and business services; and scientific research and technical services industry. It operates through hospitals, community healthcare facilities, and retail outlets through distributors and agents. The company was formerly known as Guangzhou Pharmaceutical Company Limited and changed its name to Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited in August 2013. Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Guangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of 77.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 69.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.9%/yr. Reported net income was 3.0B CNY in FY2025, compounding −5.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 36/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
77.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+3.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+2.9% (−1.3 + 4.2)
Revenue +2.9%/yr
FY21 69.0B CNY
FY22 70.8B CNY
FY23 75.5B CNY
FY24 75.0B CNY
FY25 77.4B CNY
Net income −5.4%/yr
FY21 3.7B CNY
FY22 4.0B CNY
FY23 4.1B CNY
FY24 2.8B CNY
FY25 3.0B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +8.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +13.8 %

of which total revenue +16.4 % · buybacks/dilution −2.2 %

EBIT margin −3.7 %
Tax rate +0.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.6 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600332

Peer Group

Medical Distribution · 78 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +59% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.92× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.44× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.93× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 26
FUTURE18 · sector 14
PAST30 · sector 22
HEALTH96 · sector 97
DIVIDEND84 · sector 57

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McKesson Corporation MCK $906.77 $819.31 −10%
Cencora, Inc COR $330.97 $211.07 −36%
Cardinal Health, Inc CAH $234.55 $141.77 −40%
Henry Schein, Inc HSIC $88.46 $71.70 −19%
Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding 601607 ¥16.37 ¥33.96 +107%
Sinopharm Group 1099 HK$16.75 HK$58.67 +250%
Galenica AG GALE CHF 80.85 CHF 61.79 −24%
Jointown Pharmaceutical Group 600998 ¥5.04 ¥9.84 +95%
Asker Healthcare Group ASKER kr 74.40 kr 28.26 −62%
China National Medicines Corporation 600511 ¥26.84 ¥58.22 +117%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd (600332) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥32.21 versus a price of ¥20.24, about +59% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600332?
Our model-based fair value for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd is ¥32.21 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥20.24.
What is the quality score of 600332?
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd (600332)?
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 78.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600332?
The net profit margin of Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.20% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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