Sinopharm Group (1099) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$49.6B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price −1.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 250% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$44.00). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$12.35 – HK$23.87 · fair‑value band HK$44.00 – HK$73.33 · the HK$16.74 price screens below the HK$58.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sinopharm Group (1099) currently trades at HK$16.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$58.67, implying the stock looks roughly 250.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sinopharm Group generated revenue of HK$574B at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. Net debt stands at HK$47.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$44.00 (bear case) to HK$73.33 (bull case); at HK$16.74, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 250%, 1099 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$100.68) versus Asset-Based (HK$18.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sinopharm Group Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale and retail of pharmaceutical and healthcare products, and medical devices in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Pharmaceutical Distribution, Medical Devices Distribution, Retail Pharmacy, and Other Business.
Full company description
Sinopharm Group Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale and retail of pharmaceutical and healthcare products, and medical devices in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Pharmaceutical Distribution, Medical Devices Distribution, Retail Pharmacy, and Other Business. The Pharmaceutical Distribution segment distributes pharmaceutical products to hospitals, other distributors, retail pharmacy stores, and clinics. This segment also offers distribution, logistics, and other value-added services for domestic and international pharmaceutical and healthcare products manufacturers, and other suppliers. The Medical Devices Distribution segment distributes medical devices, as well as provides installation and maintenance services. The Retail Pharmacy segment operates and franchises a network of retail drug stores. The Other Business segment engages in the distribution of laboratory supplies; manufacture and distribution of chemical reagents; and production and sale of pharmaceutical products. The company rents and manages properties; distributes medical instruments and equipment, Chinese herbal medicines, antibiotics, and biological products; and offers information technology, investment, goods and technology import and export, business consulting, health consultation, medical consulting, market information consulting and investigation, and convention and exhibition services. It also manages medical project investment, consulting, and technology training activities; and manufactures medicines. Sinopharm Group Co. Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China. Sinopharm Group Co. Ltd. is a subsidiary of Sinopharm Industrial Investment Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sinopharm Group reported revenue of HK$575B in FY2025 versus HK$521B in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$7.2B in FY2025, compounding −2.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +11.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Medical Distribution · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McKesson Corporation MCK | $878.73 | $819.31 | -7% |
| Cencora, Inc COR | $314.17 | $211.07 | -33% |
| Cardinal Health, Inc CAH | $234.16 | $141.77 | -39% |
| Henry Schein, Inc HSIC | $90.74 | $71.70 | -21% |
| Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding 601607 | ¥16.56 | ¥33.96 | +105% |
| Galenica AG GALE | CHF 80.85 | CHF 61.79 | -24% |
| Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings 600332 | ¥21.49 | ¥28.65 | +33% |
| Jointown Pharmaceutical Group 600998 | ¥5.04 | ¥9.84 | +95% |
| Asker Healthcare Group ASKER | kr 80.00 | kr 28.26 | -65% |
| China National Medicines Corporation 600511 | ¥27.35 | ¥58.22 | +113% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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