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Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $4.6B

HL Hamilton Lane Incorporated logo Hamilton Lane Incorporated HLNE · US
Price$107.19
Fair Value$63.01
Upside-41.2%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 32.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.65% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Wide moat 87/100
Evidence: Medium Range $47.26 – $128.97 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +30.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 41% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($47.26 to $128.97). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$195.51 $53.52 Fair Value $63.01 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $53.52 – $195.51 · fair‑value band $47.26 – $128.97 · the $107.19 price screens above the $63.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE) currently trades at $107.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $63.01, implying the stock looks roughly 41.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hamilton Lane Incorporated generated revenue of $759M at a net margin of 32.8%. Revenue declined 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $7.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $47.26 (bear case) to $128.97 (bull case); at $107.19, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -41%, HLNE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $132.93 $234.91 $405.00 80
Residual Income $34.54 $43.46 $169.66 76
Rev-Margin DCF $61.57 $87.41 $119.99 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $76.36 $141.20 $255.15 31
5Y P/E Exit $80.21 $129.27 $185.27 38
10Y P/E Exit $97.88 $149.76 $222.91 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $38.78 $202.62 $280.34 54
Lynch FV $55.56 $79.38 $103.19 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $28.51 $56.80 $86.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage $28.51 $49.09 $59.96 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $55.60 $74.13 $92.66 63
P/B Multiple $21.99 $29.32 $36.65 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.47 $14.03 $20.94 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $132.93 $234.91 $405.00 80
Rev-Margin DCF $61.57 $87.41 $119.99 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $34.54 $43.46 $169.66 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($141.20) versus Asset-Based ($14.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $759M
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.2%
Net margin 32.8%
Return on equity 32.4%
Free cash flow $455M FY2026
P/E ratio 13.9 as of Jun 20, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 42.5%
EPS (TTM) $5.92
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +4.1%
Net cash $7.4M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 39
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hamilton Lane Incorporated is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in early venture, emerging growth, turnaround, middle market, mature, mid-venture, bridge, buyout, distressed/vulture, loan, mezzanine in growth capital companies.

Full company description

Hamilton Lane Incorporated is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in early venture, emerging growth, turnaround, middle market, mature, mid-venture, bridge, buyout, distressed/vulture, loan, mezzanine in growth capital companies. The firm manages alternative investment strategies like direct credit, direct, fund of fund, evergreen and real assets. For primary and secondary fund of fund investments, the firm focuses to invest in private equity, buyout, special situations, credit, growth equity, middle market, mature, turnarounds, mezzanine and venture capital funds. The firm prefers to invest in disruptive technologies and innovative companies. It prefers to invest in space, engine, alternative energy resources, environmental & facilities services, households durables, leisure products, textiles, manufacturing services, water purification, online training service, healthcare services & technology, energy, industrials, commercial services, internet software & services, consumer discretionary, health care, real estate, information technology, tech-enabled businesses, financials, utilities, and consumer services. The firm prefers to invest in Africa/Middle East, Asia/Pacific, Europe, Southeast Asia, Korea, China, India, Latin America and Caribbean, United States of America, New York, Florida, Arizona, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Washington, California and surrounding states, Australia, Japan, Brazil, United Kingdom, and Canada. The firm prefers to invest between $0.25 million and $100 million in companies with small- to mid-sized enterprise values. It prefers to take majority stake. Hamilton Lane Incorporated was founded in 1991 and is based in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania with additional offices across Europe, North America, Asia Pacific and the Middle East.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Hamilton Lane Incorporated reported revenue of $759M in FY2026 versus $368M in FY2022, a compound +19.8%/yr. Reported net income was $249M in FY2026, compounding +14.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$759M
Latest YoY
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.3%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.1%
Revenue +19.8%/yr
FY22 $368M
FY23 $529M
FY24 $554M
FY25 $713M
FY26 $759M
Net income +14.3%/yr
FY22 $146M
FY23 $109M
FY24 $141M
FY25 $217M
FY26 $249M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +5.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.1 pp

of which total revenue +16.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −13.3 pp

EBIT margin +1.0 pp
Tax rate −2.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

HLNE screens 41% overvalued. Compare with BlackRock, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hamilton Lane Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HLNE

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Asset Management · 690 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −41% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 42% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.30× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.99× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.02× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.39× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 36
FUTURE 0 · sector 14
PAST 100 · sector 24
HEALTH 85 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 53 · sector 68

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,161 $465.75 -60%
Blackstone Inc BX $146.41 $52.88 -64%
Investor AB INVEB kr 417.90 kr 835.80 +100%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 544.00 kr 375.93 -31%
ICICIAMC ICICIAMC ₹3,077 ₹1,132 -63%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹256.05 ₹171.84 -33%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 321.44 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹11,579 ₹11,257 -3%
HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC ₹2,490 ₹866.78 -65%
Nippon Life Asset Management Limited NAMINDIA ₹1,182 ₹311.00 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $63.01 versus a price of $107.19, about −41% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HLNE?
Our model-based fair value for Hamilton Lane Incorporated is $63.01 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $107.19.
What is the quality score of HLNE?
Hamilton Lane Incorporated has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE)?
Hamilton Lane Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $759M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HLNE?
The net profit margin of Hamilton Lane Incorporated is about 32.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hamilton Lane Incorporated pay a dividend?
Hamilton Lane Incorporated currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.65% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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