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Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $4.6B · ISIN US4074971064

What is Hamilton Lane Inc really worth?

HL Hamilton Lane Inc logo Hamilton Lane Inc HLNE · US
Price$103.40
Fair Value$63.01
Upside−39.1%
Quality63/100

A solid business, but trading 64% above our fair value of $63.01.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +17.3 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 32.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 87/100

Risks

!Trails peers (5/15)
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $47.26 to $128.97

For context

·2.09% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $47.26 – $128.97

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +1.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($47.26 to $128.97). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$195.51 $53.52 Fair Value $63.01 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $53.52 – $195.51 · fair‑value band $47.26 – $128.97 · the $103.40 price screens above the $63.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE) currently trades at $103.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $63.01, implying the stock looks roughly 64.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $141.20 per share, and 5 of the 13 models we run sit above the $103.40 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $14.03, and 8 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hamilton Lane Inc generated revenue of $759M at a net margin of 32.8%. Revenue declined 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $7.4M. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $47.26 (bear case) to $128.97 (bull case); at $103.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −39%, HLNE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.62 per share, which is 2.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF best evidence $132.93 $234.91 $405.00 76
Owner Earnings $76.36 $141.20 $255.15 73
Rev-Margin DCF $61.57 $87.41 $119.99 73
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $76.36 $141.20 $255.15 73
5Y P/E Exit $80.21 $129.27 $185.27 70
10Y P/E Exit $97.88 $149.76 $222.91 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $38.78 $202.62 $280.34 63
Lynch FV $55.56 $79.38 $103.19 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $28.51 $56.80 $86.02 67
DDM Multi-Stage $28.51 $49.09 $59.96 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $55.60 $74.13 $92.66 63
P/B Multiple $21.99 $29.32 $36.65 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.47 $14.03 $20.94 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF best evidence $132.93 $234.91 $405.00 76
Rev-Margin DCF $61.57 $87.41 $119.99 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $34.54 $43.46 $169.66 64

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($141.20) versus Asset-Based ($14.03). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 13.9 as of Jun 20, 2026
P/S ratio 4.56 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $5.92 price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.9
Dividend yield 2.1% payout 36.5%
Net margin 32.8% FY2026
Return on equity 32.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 17.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 42.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $759M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −2.2% 3y avg +12.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +4.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $455M FY2026
Net cash $7.4M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 39
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Hamilton Lane Incorporated is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in early venture, emerging growth, turnaround, middle market, mature, mid-venture, bridge, buyout, distressed/vulture, loan, mezzanine in growth capital companies.

Full company description

Hamilton Lane Incorporated is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in early venture, emerging growth, turnaround, middle market, mature, mid-venture, bridge, buyout, distressed/vulture, loan, mezzanine in growth capital companies. The firm manages alternative investment strategies like direct credit, direct, fund of fund, evergreen and real assets. For primary and secondary fund of fund investments, the firm focuses to invest in private equity, buyout, special situations, credit, growth equity, middle market, mature, turnarounds, mezzanine and venture capital funds. The firm prefers to invest in disruptive technologies and innovative companies. It prefers to invest in space, engine, alternative energy resources, environmental & facilities services, households durables, leisure products, textiles, manufacturing services, water purification, online training service, healthcare services & technology, energy, industrials, commercial services, internet software & services, consumer discretionary, health care, real estate, information technology, tech-enabled businesses, financials, utilities, and consumer services. The firm prefers to invest in Africa/Middle East, Asia/Pacific, Europe, Southeast Asia, Korea, China, India, Latin America and Caribbean, United States of America, New York, Florida, Arizona, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Washington, California and surrounding states, Australia, Japan, Brazil, United Kingdom, and Canada. The firm prefers to invest between $0.25 million and $100 million in companies with small- to mid-sized enterprise values. It prefers to take majority stake. Hamilton Lane Incorporated was founded in 1991 and is based in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania with additional offices across Europe, North America, Asia Pacific and the Middle East.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Hamilton Lane Inc reported revenue of $759M in FY2026 versus $368M in FY2022, a compound +19.8%/yr. Reported net income was $249M in FY2026, compounding +14.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$759M
Latest YoY
+6.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+22.1% (20.0 + 2.1)
Revenue +19.8%/yr
FY22 $368M
FY23 $529M
FY24 $554M
FY25 $713M
FY26 $759M
Net income +14.3%/yr
FY22 $146M
FY23 $109M
FY24 $141M
FY25 $217M
FY26 $249M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +5.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.1 %

of which total revenue +16.4 % · buybacks/dilution −11.4 %

EBIT margin +1.0 %
Tax rate −2.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

HLNE screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hamilton Lane Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HLNE

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Asset Management · 697 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −39% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 42% · Above median
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.30× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.99× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.02× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.39× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 40
FUTURE0 · sector 14
PAST100 · sector 24
HEALTH85 · sector 95
DIVIDEND42 · sector 81

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Blackstone Inc BX $142.39 $52.88 −63%
Investor AB INVEB kr 417.20 kr 824.66 +98%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$55.74 C$10.67 −81%
KKR & Co KKR $108.68 $19.97 −82%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $135.04 $101.04 −25%
State Street Corporation STT $193.33 $138.33 −28%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $559.32 $515.24 −8%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $143.10 $30.88 −78%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $186.79 $122.02 −35%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $181.10 $142.42 −21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $63.01 versus a price of $103.40, about −39% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HLNE?
Our model-based fair value for Hamilton Lane Inc is $63.01 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $103.40.
What is the quality score of HLNE?
Hamilton Lane Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hamilton Lane Inc (HLNE)?
Hamilton Lane Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $759M (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HLNE?
The net profit margin of Hamilton Lane Inc is about 32.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hamilton Lane Inc pay a dividend?
Hamilton Lane Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.09% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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