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Fabrinet (FN) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $17.3B

F Fabrinet logo Fabrinet FN · US
Price$566.49
Fair Value$198.13
Upside-65.0%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range $107.19 – $245.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $157.77 to $198.13 (+25.6%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +17.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 65% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($245.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($107.19 to $245.59) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$746.47 $75.50 Fair Value $198.13 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $75.50 – $746.47 · fair‑value band $107.19 – $245.59 · the $566.49 price screens above the $198.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Fabrinet (FN) currently trades at $566.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $198.13, implying the stock looks roughly 65.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Fabrinet generated revenue of $4.2B at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue grew 39.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $297M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $107.19 (bear case) to $245.59 (bull case); at $566.49, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 145% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -65%, FN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $85.70 $150.49 $264.79 80
Residual Income $61.22 $80.65 $256.90 76
Rev-Margin DCF $90.04 $158.19 $250.16 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $87.13 $160.38 $295.01 38
Owner Earnings $109.04 $202.71 $374.88 31
5Y Revenue Exit $90.04 $160.92 $260.39 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $125.09 $236.16 $381.21 41
5Y P/E Exit $159.11 $309.21 $488.90 38
10Y Revenue Exit $85.57 $153.81 $265.22 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $112.17 $210.25 $370.47 37
10Y P/E Exit $135.11 $265.05 $464.28 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $63.11 $334.49 $463.15 54
Lynch FV $92.12 $131.60 $171.08 50
PEG = 1.0 $92.12 $131.60 $171.08 46
EPV $86.17 $99.10 $110.42 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $194.90 $259.86 $324.83 63
P/S Multiple $118.33 $157.77 $197.22 58
P/B Multiple $118.33 $157.77 $197.22 55
EV/EBIT $171.55 $225.88 $280.21 53
EV/EBITDA $150.93 $198.39 $245.85 54
EV/Revenue $90.95 $126.27 $161.59 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $27.66 $37.06 $55.31 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $85.70 $150.49 $264.79 80
Rev-Margin DCF $90.04 $158.19 $250.16 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $61.22 $80.65 $256.90 76
ROIC Compounder $98.47 $133.84 $182.17 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $159.72 $228.18 $296.63 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($228.18) versus Asset-Based ($37.06). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +39.3%
Net margin 9.9%
Return on equity 20.0%
Free cash flow $207M FY2025
P/E ratio 47.9
More key figures
Operating margin 9.9%
EPS (TTM) $11.83
EPS growth (YoY) +53.3%
Net cash $297M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 23
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Fabrinet provides optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services in North America, the Asia-Pacific, and Europe.

Full company description

Fabrinet provides optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services in North America, the Asia-Pacific, and Europe. The company offers a range of advanced optical and electro-mechanical capabilities in the manufacturing process, including process design and engineering, supply chain management, manufacturing, printed circuit board assembly, packaging, integration, final assembly, and testing. Its products include switching products, including reconfigurable optical add-drop multiplexers, optical amplifiers, modulators, and other optical components and modules that enable network managers to route voice, video, and data communications traffic through fiber optic cables at various wavelengths, speeds, and over various distances. The company's products also comprise transceivers, tunable lasers, and transponders; and active optical cables, which provide high-speed interconnect capabilities for data centers and computing clusters, as well as Infiniband, Ethernet, fiber channel, and optical backplane connectivity. In addition, it provides solid state, diode-pumped, gas, and fiber lasers used in semiconductor processing, biotechnology and medical device, metrology, and material processing industries; and differential pressure, micro-gyro, fuel, and other sensors used in automobiles, as well as non-contact temperature measurement sensors for the medical industry. Further, the company designs and fabricates application-specific crystals, lenses, prisms, mirrors, laser components, and substrates; and other custom and standard borosilicate, clear fused quartz, and synthetic fused silica glass products. It serves original equipment manufacturers of optical communication components, modules and sub-systems, industrial lasers, automotive components, medical devices, and sensors. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in George Town, the Cayman Islands.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Fabrinet reported revenue of $3.4B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was $333M in FY2025, compounding +22.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.4B
Latest YoY
+18.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.8%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.3%
Revenue +16.1%/yr
FY21 $1.9B
FY22 $2.3B
FY23 $2.6B
FY24 $2.9B
FY25 $3.4B
Net income +22.4%/yr
FY21 $148M
FY22 $200M
FY23 $248M
FY24 $296M
FY25 $333M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +17.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +15.4 pp

of which total revenue +15.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp

EBIT margin +1.2 pp
Tax rate +0.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

FN screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fabrinet Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FN

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 647 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −65% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 39% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 47.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 8.73× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.09× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 83.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 35.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.19× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 36
PAST 80 · sector 24
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,790 TWD 602.37 TWD -66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 -31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW -88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 -90%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥143.23 ¥36.30 -75%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥385.80 ¥125.52 -67%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$238.60 HK$75.68 -68%
Kingboard Laminates Holdings 1888 HK$38.70 HK$8.95 -77%
Asia Vital Components Co 3017 2,910 TWD 1,369 TWD -53%
Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation 8046 1,215 TWD 1,768 TWD +46%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fabrinet (FN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $198.13 versus a price of $566.49, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FN?
Our model-based fair value for Fabrinet is $198.13 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $566.49.
What is the quality score of FN?
Fabrinet has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fabrinet (FN)?
Fabrinet reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FN?
The net profit margin of Fabrinet is about 9.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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