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Fresenius Medical Care Corporation (FMS) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $12.7B · ISIN US3580291066

What is Fresenius Medical Care Corporation really worth?

FM Fresenius Medical Care Corporation logo Fresenius Medical Care Corporation FMS · US
Price$22.47
Fair Value$46.42
Upside+106.6%
Quality64/100

A solid business, trading 52% below our fair value of $46.42.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/15)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.9% net margin
!Moderate moat 47/100

For context

·6.63% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $27.85 – $58.02

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 19, 2026, revised from $46.23 to $46.42 (+0.4%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −6.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($27.85). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($27.85 to $58.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$36.37 $11.33 Fair Value $46.42 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.33 – $36.37 · fair‑value band $27.85 – $58.02 · the $22.47 price screens below the $46.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Fresenius Medical Care Corporation (FMS) currently trades at $22.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $46.42, implying the stock looks roughly 51.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $40.71 per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the $22.47 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $9.62, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Fresenius Medical Care Corporation generated revenue of $19.4B at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue declined 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at $9.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $27.85 (bear case) to $58.02 (bull case); at $22.47, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at 107%, FMS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.2775 per share, which is 0.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $27.14 $44.56 $70.29 79
Growth DCF $27.95 $43.72 $65.81 78
Residual Income $21.52 $22.61 $24.02 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $27.14 $44.56 $70.29 79
Owner Earnings $23.22 $38.68 $61.51 75
5Y Revenue Exit $23.60 $40.46 $61.50 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $40.69 $71.66 $107.14 74
5Y P/E Exit $21.84 $37.23 $52.87 70
10Y Revenue Exit $23.67 $39.18 $59.04 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $35.37 $60.56 $93.10 67
10Y P/E Exit $23.47 $36.96 $52.60 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $12.39 $33.95 $44.54 65
Lynch FV $6.73 $9.62 $12.50 61
PEG = 1.0 $6.73 $9.62 $12.50 57
EPV $19.08 $23.53 $27.42 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.94 $14.42 $22.88 66
DDM Multi-Stage $6.94 $10.88 $15.05 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $30.05 $40.07 $50.09 63
P/S Multiple $23.22 $30.97 $38.71 58
P/B Multiple $23.22 $30.97 $38.71 55
EV/EBIT $35.74 $50.20 $64.65 65
EV/EBITDA $55.57 $76.63 $97.70 67
EV/Revenue $23.33 $36.59 $49.86 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.30 $17.82 $26.59 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $27.95 $43.72 $65.81 78
Rev-Margin DCF $23.60 $40.71 $59.77 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $21.52 $22.61 $24.02 76
ROIC Compounder $19.08 $23.53 $28.20 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $23.73 $33.90 $44.07 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($40.71) versus Earnings-Based ($9.62). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 11.8
P/S ratio 0.59 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.90 price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.8
Dividend yield 6.6% payout 78.4%
Net margin 5.0% FY2025
Return on equity 7.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 8.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $19.4B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −5.5% 3y avg +0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) −17.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $1.7B FY2025
Net debt $9.2B FY2025 · ≈ 5.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Fresenius Medical Care AG provides dialysis and related services for individuals with renal diseases in Germany, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Fresenius Medical Care AG provides dialysis and related services for individuals with renal diseases in Germany, the United States, and internationally. The company offers dialysis treatment and related laboratory and diagnostic services through a network of outpatient dialysis clinics; materials, training, and patient support services comprising clinical monitoring, follow-up assistance, and arranging for delivery of the supplies to the patient's residence; and dialysis services under contract to hospitals in the United States for the hospitalized end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients and for patients suffering from acute kidney failure. The company operates through Care Delivery and Care Enablement segments. It also develops, manufactures, and distributes various health care products, including hemodialysis machines, peritoneal dialysis cyclers, peritoneal dialysis solutions, hemodialysis concentrates, solutions and granulates, bloodlines, renal pharmaceuticals, systems for water treatment, and acute cardiopulmonary and apheresis products. In addition, the company develops, acquires, and in-licenses renal pharmaceuticals; offers renal medications and supplies to patients at homes or to dialysis clinics; and provides vascular specialty, ambulatory surgery center, physician nephrology practice management, pharmacy and other services. The company sells its products to dialysis clinics, hospitals, and specialized treatment clinics, as well as through local sales forces, independent distributors, dealers, and sales agents. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Bad Homburg, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Fresenius Medical Care Corporation reported revenue of €19.6B in FY2025 versus €17.6B in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was €978M in FY2025, compounding +0.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$19.6B
Latest YoY
+1.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+10.8% (4.2 + 6.6)
Revenue +2.7%/yr
FY21 €17.6B
FY22 €19.4B
FY23 €19.5B
FY24 €19.3B
FY25 €19.6B
Net income +0.2%/yr
FY21 €969M
FY22 €673M
FY23 €499M
FY24 €538M
FY25 €978M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −3.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.3 %

of which total revenue +2.9 % · buybacks/dilution +0.5 %

EBIT margin −6.3 %
Tax rate +0.8 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fresenius Medical Care Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FMS

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Medical Care Facilities · 256 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +107% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Revenue growth −6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.40× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.89× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.66× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 7.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.84× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 23
FUTURE0 · sector 26
PAST31 · sector 30
HEALTH80 · sector 90
DIVIDEND100 · sector 43

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA $417.82 $547.67 +31%
Fresenius SE FRE €45.25 €32.15 −29%
Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 241.00 SAR 112.37 SAR −53%
IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F 2.67 SGD 1.44 SGD −46%
Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC $266.80 $330.25 +24%
DaVita Inc DVA $180.68 $186.49 +3%
Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP ₹8,818 ₹2,955 −66%
Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 ¥8.25 ¥7.67 −7%
Max Healthcare Institute Limited MAXHEALTH ₹1,005 ₹284.87 −72%
Encompass Health Corporation EHC $120.31 $109.77 −9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fresenius Medical Care Corporation (FMS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $46.42 versus a price of $22.47, about +107% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FMS?
Our model-based fair value for Fresenius Medical Care Corporation is $46.42 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $22.47.
What is the quality score of FMS?
Fresenius Medical Care Corporation has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fresenius Medical Care Corporation (FMS)?
Fresenius Medical Care Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $19.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FMS?
The net profit margin of Fresenius Medical Care Corporation is about 4.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Fresenius Medical Care Corporation pay a dividend?
Fresenius Medical Care Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.63% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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