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Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp Pref 5 (FMCKK) Fair Value & Analysis

Financials · US · Market cap $44.8B · ISIN US3134008636

What is Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp Pref 5 really worth?

FH Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp Pref 5 logo Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp Pref 5 FMCKK · US
Price$13.00
Fair Value$26.00
Upside+100.0%
Quality51/100

A solid business, trading 50% below our fair value of $26.00.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Moderate moat 49/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $19.50 – $32.50

Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −5.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($19.50). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$25.00 $2.24 Fair Value $26.00 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.24 – $25.00 · fair‑value band $19.50 – $32.50 · the $13.00 price screens below the $26.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp Pref 5 (FMCKK) currently trades at $13.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $26.00, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $28.61 per share, and 4 of the 4 models we run sit above the $13.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $13.69, and 0 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Net debt stands at $3.4T. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $19.50 (bear case) to $32.50 (bull case); at $13.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financials peers we cover trades at 73% fair-value upside, at 100%, FMCKK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $20.74 $27.45 $79.61 66
P/E Multiple $30.38 $40.50 $50.63 63
P/B Multiple $21.46 $28.61 $35.76 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $30.38 $40.50 $50.63 63
P/B Multiple $21.46 $28.61 $35.76 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.22 $13.69 $20.43 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $20.74 $27.45 $79.61 66

Widest divergence: Multiples ($28.61) versus Asset-Based ($13.69). Highest evidence: Residual Income (66).

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Key figures & financial health

Net margin 46.1% FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% avg 2y
Free cash flow $19.4B FY2025
Net debt $3.4T FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 97
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 0
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation operates in the secondary mortgage market in the United States. The company purchases residential mortgage loans originated by lenders, as well as invests in mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities. It operates in three segments: Single-family Guarantee, Multifamily, and Capital Markets.

Full company description

Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation operates in the secondary mortgage market in the United States. The company purchases residential mortgage loans originated by lenders, as well as invests in mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities. It operates in three segments: Single-family Guarantee, Multifamily, and Capital Markets. The Single-family Guarantee segment purchases, securitizes, and guarantees single-family loans; and manages single-family mortgage credit risk. This segment serves lenders, including mortgage banking companies, commercial banks, community banks, regional banks, credit unions, housing finance agencies, savings institutions, and other non-depository financial institutions. The Multifamily segment engages in the purchase, sale, securitization, and guarantee activities in multifamily loans and securities through the issuance of multifamily K and SB certificates; issuing and guarantying other securitization products; issuing other credit risk transfer products; and provision of other mortgage-related guarantees, as well as post-construction financing to apartment project operators. The Capital Markets segment invests principally in mortgage-related securities and single-family performing loans. This segment serves banks and other depository institutions, insurance companies, money managers, central banks, pension funds, state and local governments, real estate investment trusts, brokers and dealers, and lenders. Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp Pref 5 reported revenue of $23.3B in FY2025 versus $4.4B in FY2021, a compound +51.9%/yr. Reported net income was $10.7B in FY2025, compounding −3.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$23.3B
Latest YoY
−2.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+92.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+7.9% (7.9 + 0.0)
Revenue +51.9%/yr
FY21 $4.4B
FY22 $3.3B
FY23 $21.2B
FY24 $23.9B
FY25 $23.3B
Net income −3.0%/yr
FY21 $12.1B
FY22 $9.3B
FY23 $10.5B
FY24 $11.9B
FY25 $10.7B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp Pref 5 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FMCKK

Peer Group

Financials · 3318 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Banking Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +100% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 47.84× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Financials median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.64× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.3× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 26
FUTURE0 · sector 41
PAST0 · sector 38
HEALTH0 · sector 87
DIVIDEND0 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp Pref 5 (FMCKK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $26.00 versus a price of $13.00, about +100% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FMCKK?
Our model-based fair value for Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp Pref 5 is $26.00 (as of Aug 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.00.
What is the quality score of FMCKK?
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp Pref 5 has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of FMCKK?
The net profit margin of Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp Pref 5 is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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