FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · MX · Market cap 128B MXN
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 46.89 MXN to 46.02 MXN (−1.9%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price −4.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (57.43 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 26.33 MXN – 86.01 MXN · fair‑value band 34.43 MXN – 57.43 MXN · the 76.48 MXN price screens above the 46.02 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
FIBRA Prologis (FIBRAPL14) currently trades at 76.48 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 46.02 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 39.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, FIBRA Prologis generated revenue of 714M MXN at a net margin of 89.1%. Revenue grew 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. Net debt stands at 41.9B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 34.43 MXN (bear case) to 57.43 MXN (bull case); at 76.48 MXN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -40%, FIBRAPL14 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (885.97 MXN) versus Dividend Discount (19.43 MXN). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
FIBRA Prologis is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in and manages Class A industrial properties in Mexico. As of December 31, 2025, Its portfolio comprised 518 investment properties, totaling 87.4 million square feet (8.1 million square meters).
Full company description
FIBRA Prologis is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in and manages Class A industrial properties in Mexico. As of December 31, 2025, Its portfolio comprised 518 investment properties, totaling 87.4 million square feet (8.1 million square meters). This includes 350 strategically located logistics and manufacturing buildings in six major industrial markets in Mexico, comprising 65.9 million square feet (6.1 million square meters) of Gross Leasable Area (GLA), and 168 buildings with 21.5 million square feet (1.9 million square meters) of non-strategic assets in other markets. FIBRA Prologis was established on August 13, 2013 and incorporated in Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
FIBRA Prologis reported revenue of 692M MXN in FY2025 versus 4.9B MXN in FY2021, a compound −38.7%/yr. Reported net income was 617M MXN in FY2025, compounding −50.1%/yr from FY2021.
FIBRAPL14 screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- FIBRA Prologis Declares Quarterly Distribution
- FIBRA Prologis Announces Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Results
- FIBRA Prologis Announces Upcoming Ordinary Holders' Meeting and Incentive Fee Payment to Sponsor
- FIBRA Prologis Announces Changes to its Technical Committee
Peer Group
REIT - Industrial · 58 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prologis, Inc PLD | $140.73 | $61.28 | -56% |
| Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA | $323.58 | $162.43 | -50% |
| Extra Space Storage Inc EXR | $147.71 | $78.38 | -47% |
| EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP | $203.45 | $81.41 | -60% |
| Lineage, Inc LINE | $41.50 | $47.91 | +15% |
| CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U | 2.44 SGD | 2.00 SGD | -18% |
| CubeSmart CUBE | $41.22 | $25.06 | -39% |
| First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR | $63.34 | $20.72 | -67% |
| Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR | $36.39 | $20.69 | -43% |
| STAG Industrial, Inc STAG | $36.94 | $21.64 | -41% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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