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Eneva S.A (ENEV3) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · BR · Market cap R$49.1B (≈ $9.6B) · ISIN BRENEVACNOR8

What is Eneva S.A really worth?

ES Eneva S.A ENEV3 · SA
PriceR$27.64
Fair ValueR$9.26
Upside−66.5%
Quality32/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 199% above our fair value of R$9.26.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +41.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.9% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Moderate moat 52/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 29 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 10 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range R$6.94 – R$11.57

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price +1.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$11.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$27.64 R$9.55 Fair Value R$9.26 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$9.55 – R$27.64 · fair‑value band R$6.94 – R$11.57 · the R$27.64 price screens above the R$9.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

Eneva S.A (ENEV3) currently trades at R$27.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$9.26, implying the stock looks roughly 198.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$26.47 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the R$27.64 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at R$1.97, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Eneva S.A generated revenue of R$18.7B at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue grew 5.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Net debt stands at R$21.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$6.94 (bear case) to R$11.57 (bull case); at R$27.64, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 113% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −67%, ENEV3 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly R$0.4060 per share, which is 4.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income R$8.12 R$8.32 R$8.35 74
EPV R$4.92 R$7.18 R$9.14 73
ROIC Compounder R$4.92 R$7.18 R$9.14 69
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$4.11 R$28.70 R$40.27 61
Lynch FV R$14.83 R$21.18 R$27.53 59
PEG = 1.0 R$14.83 R$21.18 R$27.53 55
EPV R$4.92 R$7.18 R$9.14 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$1.12 R$2.33 R$3.70 64
DDM Multi-Stage R$1.12 R$1.97 R$2.45 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$8.17 R$10.89 R$13.61 63
P/S Multiple R$7.72 R$10.29 R$12.86 58
P/B Multiple R$7.72 R$10.29 R$12.86 55
EV/EBIT R$11.73 R$18.50 R$25.26 64
EV/EBITDA R$15.91 R$24.07 R$32.24 66
EV/Revenue R$7.84 R$14.88 R$21.93 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$5.18 R$6.94 R$10.36 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$8.12 R$8.32 R$8.35 74
ROIC Compounder R$4.92 R$7.18 R$9.14 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$18.53 R$26.47 R$34.41 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R$26.47) versus Dividend Discount (R$1.97). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 46.1
P/S ratio 2.90 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) R$0.6000 price ÷ EPS = P/E 46.1
Dividend yield 0.5% payout 23.6%
Net margin 6.3% FY2025
Return on equity 8.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 24.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) R$18.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.8% 3y avg +44.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +35.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −R$2.0B FY2025
Net debt R$21.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 27
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Eneva S.A., an integrated energy company, engages in the exploration, production, and commercialization of natural gas and liquids in Brazil. The company generates electricity through natural gas, steam, coal, and solar energy.

Full company description

Eneva S.A., an integrated energy company, engages in the exploration, production, and commercialization of natural gas and liquids in Brazil. The company generates electricity through natural gas, steam, coal, and solar energy. It also supplies natural gas solutions to the on-grid and off-grid market for thermal power plants, pipeline operators, and industrial clients; including transportation, LNG regasification, and floating storage. The company was formerly known as MPX Energia S.A. and changed its name to Eneva S.A. in October 2013. Eneva S.A. was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Eneva S.A reported revenue of R$18.4B in FY2025 versus R$5.1B in FY2021, a compound +37.7%/yr. Reported net income was R$1.2B in FY2025, compounding −0.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$18.4B
Latest YoY
+61.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+44.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+41.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+57.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in BRL) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.8% (16.3 + 0.5)
Revenue +37.7%/yr
FY21 R$5.1B
FY22 R$6.1B
FY23 R$10.1B
FY24 R$11.4B
FY25 R$18.4B
Net income −0.3%/yr
FY21 R$1.2B
FY22 R$376M
FY23 R$218M
FY24 R$42.0M
FY25 R$1.2B

ENEV3 screens 199% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Eneva S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ENEV3

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Utilities - Diversified · 52 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.94× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 46.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.63× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 24.36× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 5
FUTURE29 · sector 6
PAST35 · sector 37
HEALTH53 · sector 48
DIVIDEND10 · sector 81

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €20.28 €8.45 −58%
Enel SpA ENEL €9.42 €4.82 −49%
Engie SA ENGI €24.50 €21.15 −14%
Sempra SRE $84.57 $44.47 −47%
E.ON SE EOAN €17.83 €11.71 −34%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and RWE €59.10 €55.77 −6%
ACWA Power Company 2082 184.00 SAR 24.19 SAR −87%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN C$54.99 C$34.34 −38%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €68.60 €21.11 −69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.70 €3.81 −19%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Eneva S.A (ENEV3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$9.26 versus a price of R$27.64, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ENEV3?
Our model-based fair value for Eneva S.A is R$9.26 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$27.64.
What is the quality score of ENEV3?
Eneva S.A has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Eneva S.A (ENEV3)?
Eneva S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$18.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ENEV3?
The net profit margin of Eneva S.A is about 6.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Eneva S.A pay a dividend?
Eneva S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.51% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 30, 2026).
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