Man Group PLC (EMG) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · GB · Market cap 3.3B GBX · ISIN JE00BJ1DLW90
What is Man Group PLC really worth?
A solid business, but trading 101% above our fair value of £1.53.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from £2.09 to £1.53 (−26.8%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −2.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£1.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £1.35 – £3.16 · fair‑value band £1.15 – £1.92 · the £3.08 price screens above the £1.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Man Group PLC (EMG) currently trades at £3.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.53, implying the stock looks roughly 101.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of £3.16 per share, and 3 of the 12 models we run sit above the £3.08 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.9500, and 9 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Man Group PLC generated revenue of £1.4B at a net margin of 12.5%. Revenue grew 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £7.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £1.15 (bear case) to £1.92 (bull case); at £3.08, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −50%, EMG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (£3.16) versus Asset-Based (£0.9500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Man Group Limited is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides long-only and alternative investment management services worldwide.
Full company description
Man Group Limited is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides long-only and alternative investment management services worldwide. It offers a range of liquid investment products and solutions, which include quantitative, multi-manager and discretionary investment styles, and span across various asset classes, like equity, real estate, currency, credit, volatility, and commodities. The firm distributes its products and solutions directly to institutions and to private investors through a global network of intermediaries. Man Group Limited was founded in 1783 and is based in St. Helier, Jersey with an additional office in London, United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Man Group PLC reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was $179M in FY2025, compounding −22.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +1.9 % · buybacks/dilution +4.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
EMG screens 101% overvalued. Compare with Blackstone Inc →
Peer Group
Asset Management · 697 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackstone Inc BX | $142.39 | $52.88 | −63% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 417.20 | kr 824.66 | +98% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$55.74 | C$10.67 | −81% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $108.68 | $19.97 | −82% |
| Apollo Global Management, Inc APO | $135.04 | $101.04 | −25% |
| State Street Corporation STT | $193.33 | $138.33 | −28% |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP | $559.32 | $515.24 | −8% |
| Ares Management Corporation ARES | $143.10 | $30.88 | −78% |
| Northern Trust Corporation NTRS | $186.79 | $122.02 | −35% |
| Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF | $181.10 | $142.42 | −21% |
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