Americold Realty Trust (COLD) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $4.0B · ISIN US03064D1081
What is Americold Realty Trust really worth?
Americold Realty Trust
COLD · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 13% above our fair value of $12.48.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −0.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($5.54 to $19.42). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.75 – $33.34 · fair‑value band $5.54 – $19.42 · the $14.11 price screens above the $12.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
Americold Realty Trust (COLD) currently trades at $14.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.48, implying the stock looks roughly 13.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $14.96 per share, and 2 of the 4 models we run sit above the $14.11 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $6.77, and 2 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Americold Realty Trust generated revenue of $2.6B at a net margin of −4.3%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −3.7%. Net debt stands at $4.4B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.54 (bear case) to $19.42 (bull case); at $14.11, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −12%, COLD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($14.96) versus Asset-Based ($6.77). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (66).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Americold Realty Trust, Inc. is a global leader in temperature-controlled logistics and real estate, supporting the safe, efficient movement of food worldwide.
Full company description
Americold Realty Trust, Inc. is a global leader in temperature-controlled logistics and real estate, supporting the safe, efficient movement of food worldwide. With 230 operating facilities across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and South America totaling approximately 1.4 billion refrigerated cubic feet we connect producers, processors, distributors, and retailers. Leveraging deep industry expertise, advanced technology, and sustainable practices, Americold delivers reliable cold storage and transportation solutions that create lasting value for customers and communities. Americold Realty Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 1903 in Maryland and is based in Atlanta, Georgia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Americold Realty Trust reported revenue of $2.6B in FY2025 versus $2.7B in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$115M in FY2025.
COLD screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Americold Realty Trust, Inc. Declares Third Quarter 2026 Dividend
- Is Americold Realty Trust (COLD) Fairly Valued Following Its New Cold Chain Expansion?
- Americold’s Secret to Surviving Power Outages
- Americold Realty Trust (COLD): Why Was This Position Liquidated?
Peer Group
REIT - Industrial · 56 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prologis, Inc PLD | $140.70 | $61.28 | −56% |
| Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA | $311.20 | $162.43 | −48% |
| Extra Space Storage Inc EXR | $140.12 | $78.38 | −44% |
| EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP | $198.47 | $81.41 | −59% |
| Lineage, Inc LINE | $39.32 | $47.91 | +22% |
| CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U | 2.44 SGD | 2.00 SGD | −18% |
| CubeSmart CUBE | $39.73 | $25.06 | −37% |
| First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR | $62.39 | $20.72 | −67% |
| Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR | $36.39 | $20.69 | −43% |
| STAG Industrial, Inc STAG | $37.18 | $21.64 | −42% |
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