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CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $4.9B · ISIN US1251411013

What is CECO Environmental Corp. really worth?

CE CECO Environmental Corp. logo CECO Environmental Corp. CECO · US
Price$74.35
Fair Value$15.19
Upside−79.6%
Quality48/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 389% above our fair value of $15.19.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +19.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.7% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Weak on past: 22 out of 100
Evidence: High Range $6.11 – $20.23

Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +5.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($20.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($6.11 to $20.23). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$99.67 $4.25 Fair Value $15.19 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.25 – $99.67 · fair‑value band $6.11 – $20.23 · the $74.35 price screens above the $15.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

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Analysis

CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO) currently trades at $74.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.19, implying the stock looks roughly 389.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $28.98 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the $74.35 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $1.62, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, CECO Environmental Corp. generated revenue of $804M at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 16.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $8.3M. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.11 (bear case) to $20.23 (bull case); at $74.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 186% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −80%, CECO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.2582 per share, which is 1.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($0.1700 to $36.99). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV $0.9900 $1.62 $2.17 72
Owner Earnings $12.31 $28.98 $61.06 71
ROIC Compounder $0.9900 $1.62 $2.17 71
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $12.31 $28.98 $61.06 71
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.83 $36.99 $51.69 63
Lynch FV $10.69 $15.27 $19.85 61
PEG = 1.0 $10.69 $15.27 $19.85 57
EPV $0.9900 $1.62 $2.17 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1000 $0.2000 $0.3000 67
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1000 $0.1700 $0.2100 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $13.50 $18.00 $22.50 63
P/S Multiple $10.93 $14.57 $18.21 58
P/B Multiple $10.93 $14.57 $18.21 55
EV/EBIT $8.25 $12.01 $15.78 65
EV/EBITDA $9.75 $14.01 $18.27 67
EV/Revenue $5.02 $8.47 $11.93 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.72 $3.64 $5.44 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.49 $7.65 $27.69 64
ROIC Compounder $0.9900 $1.62 $2.17 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.17 $21.68 $28.18 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($28.98) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1700). Highest evidence: EPV (72).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 195.7
P/S ratio 12.6 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.3800 price ÷ EPS = P/E 195.7
Dividend yield 0.0% payout 4.6%
Net margin 6.5% FY2025
Return on equity 5.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 5.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $804M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.5% 3y avg +22.4%
EPS growth (YoY) −41.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$5.5M FY2025
Net cash $8.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 83
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 13
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 61
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

CECO Environmental Corp. provides critical solutions in industrial air quality, industrial water treatment, and energy transition solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, China, and internationally. It operates through Engineered Systems and Industrial Process Solutions segments.

Full company description

CECO Environmental Corp. provides critical solutions in industrial air quality, industrial water treatment, and energy transition solutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, China, and internationally. It operates through Engineered Systems and Industrial Process Solutions segments. The company offers emissions management, fluid bed cyclones, thermal acoustics, and separation and filtration solutions; engineering services and environmental systems; and industrial exhaust air contamination treatment and control systems, solutions, and services, as well as intelligent control solutions. It also provides engineered and configured products and solutions, including dampers and diverters, expansion joints, selective catalytic reduction systems, severe-service and industrial cyclones, dust collectors, thermal oxidizers, filtration systems, wet and dry scrubbers, separators and coalescers, water treatment packages, metallic and non-metallic pumps, industrial silencers, and fluid handling equipment, as well as plant engineering services and engineered design build fabrication services. In addition, the company offers solutions for air pollution and contamination control, fluid handling, and process filtration in various applications, such as aluminum beverage can production, automobile production, food and beverage processing, semiconductor fabrication, electronics production, steel and aluminum mill processing, wood manufacturing, desalination, and aquaculture markets, as well as it provides engineered industrial process heating solutions for process industries. It markets its power generation, hydrocarbon processing, water/wastewater treatment, oily water separation and treatment, marine and naval vessels, and midstream oil and gas sectors. CECO Environmental Corp. was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Addison, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CECO Environmental Corp. reported revenue of $774M in FY2025 versus $324M in FY2021, a compound +24.3%/yr. Reported net income was $50.1M in FY2025, compounding +143.4%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$774M
Latest YoY
+38.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (36Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+42.7% (42.7 + 0.0)
Revenue +24.3%/yr
FY21 $324M
FY22 $423M
FY23 $545M
FY24 $558M
FY25 $774M
Net income +143.4%/yr
FY21 $1.4M
FY22 $17.4M
FY23 $12.9M
FY24 $13.0M
FY25 $50.1M

CECO screens 389% overvalued. Compare with Veralto Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CECO Environmental Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CECO

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Pollution & Treatment Controls · 93 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.66× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Pollution & Treatment Controls median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 195.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 15.38× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.08× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 58.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE83 · sector 7
PAST22 · sector 18
HEALTH67 · sector 95
DIVIDEND0 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Pollution & Treatment Controls stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Veralto Corporation VLTO $97.68 $67.62 −31%
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation ZWS $51.02 $24.92 −51%
Canmax Technologies Co 300390 ¥61.99 ¥10.07 −84%
Fujian Longking Co 600388 ¥17.41 ¥15.59 −10%
Munters Group MTRS kr 183.90 kr 48.58 −74%
China Conch Venture Holdings 0586 HK$8.50 HK$10.70 +26%
Mega Union Technology Inc 6944 716.00 TWD 415.06 TWD −42%
MayAir Technology (China) Co 688376 ¥71.82 ¥18.80 −74%
Jingjin Equipment Inc 603279 ¥12.41 ¥18.97 +53%
Zhongyuan Environmental Protection Co 000544 ¥7.33 ¥13.38 +83%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.19 versus a price of $74.35, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CECO?
Our model-based fair value for CECO Environmental Corp. is $15.19 (as of Aug 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $74.35.
What is the quality score of CECO?
CECO Environmental Corp. has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CECO Environmental Corp. (CECO)?
CECO Environmental Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $804M (latest available figure, as of Aug 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CECO?
The net profit margin of CECO Environmental Corp. is about 1.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CECO Environmental Corp. pay a dividend?
CECO Environmental Corp. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.02% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 17, 2026).
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