China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$19.5B (≈ $2.5B) · ISIN KYG2116J1085

What is China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$9.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$4.82 – HK$23.98 · fair‑value band HK$9.25 – HK$14.47 · the HK$7.82 price screens below the HK$10.70 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd (0586) currently trades at HK$7.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$10.70, implying the stock looks roughly 27.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$21.34 per share, and 10 of the 14 models we run sit above the HK$7.82 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$5.74, and 4 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd generated revenue of HK$6.5B at a net margin of 34.3%. Revenue grew 10.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.6%. Net debt stands at HK$27.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$9.25 (bear case) to HK$14.47 (bull case); at HK$7.82, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at 37%, 0586 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.2725 per share, which is 2.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$21.34) versus Dividend Discount (HK$5.74). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

China Conch Venture Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides various package solutions for energy conservation and environmental protection in Mainland China and the Asia-Pacific. It operates through Waste-to-energy Projects, Port Logistics Services, New Building Materials, New Energy, and Investments segments.

Full company description

China Conch Venture Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides various package solutions for energy conservation and environmental protection in Mainland China and the Asia-Pacific. It operates through Waste-to-energy Projects, Port Logistics Services, New Building Materials, New Energy, and Investments segments. The company manufactures and sells residual heat power generation, waste incineration solutions, vertical mill, and related after-sales services. It also provides port logistics services, including cargo handling, trans-shipment, and warehousing services; and alternative wall building materials, such as cellulose fiber cement sheets, and autoclaved and wood wool cement boards. In addition, the company engages in recycling of lithium batteries; offers lithium iron phosphate cathode and anode materials; waste disposal for energy and sludge treatment services; garbage disposal for sludge residue operation management technical services; designs and constructs energy preservation and environmental protection projects; designs, sells, and installs energy preservation and environmental protection equipment and after sale services; and offers construction engineering design and construction services. Further, the company provides energy saving building material; property construction and development and ancillary; resource recycling and technical consultation; kitchen waste collection and harmless disposal; and packaging container production services. China Conch Venture Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Wuhu, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Conch Venture Hldgs Ltd reported revenue of 6.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 6.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding −25.9%/yr from FY2021.

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Peer Group

Pollution & Treatment Controls · 93 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Pollution & Treatment Controls median · lower = cheaper

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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