AtkinsRéalis Group (ATRL) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CA · Market cap C$14.3B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from C$134.83 to C$49.87 (−63.0%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price −0.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 43% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$73.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (C$33.88 to C$73.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$21.65 – C$105.91 · fair‑value band C$33.88 – C$73.66 · the C$87.63 price screens above the C$49.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
AtkinsRéalis Group (ATRL) currently trades at C$87.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$49.87, implying the stock looks roughly 43.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, AtkinsRéalis Group generated revenue of C$11.5B at a net margin of 23.2%. Revenue grew 17.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 57.0%. Net debt stands at C$558M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$33.88 (bear case) to C$73.66 (bull case); at C$87.63, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Analysts expect earnings well below the last reported figure (earnings in transition, for example expiring patents or contracts); a fair value that looks fair on trailing earnings may then be too optimistic. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -43%, ATRL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$211.67) versus Asset-Based (C$22.65). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AtkinsRéalis Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional services and project management, and capital investment services in the United Kingdom, Canada, the United States, Saudi Arabia, and internationally. It operates through eight segments: Canada, UKI, USLA, AMEA, Nuclear, Linxon, LSTK Projects, and Capital.
Full company description
AtkinsRéalis Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional services and project management, and capital investment services in the United Kingdom, Canada, the United States, Saudi Arabia, and internationally. It operates through eight segments: Canada, UKI, USLA, AMEA, Nuclear, Linxon, LSTK Projects, and Capital. The company provides consultancy, strategy, advisory, engineering, design, project and program management and project delivery services for building and places, defence, industrial, power and renewables, and transportation and water markets; and operations, maintenance, and asset management solutions for various assets. It also offers services for clients across the nuclear life cycle from consultancy, engineering, procurement and construction management, field, technology, decommissioning, and waste management services, as well as spare parts; and new-build and full refurbishment services for reactors. In addition, the company is involved in installation of alternative current power substations, including expansions and electrification, notably through repetitive engineering, procurement and construction offerings for utilities, renewables and conventional generation, transportation, and data centers markets; and provision of lump-sum turnkey (LSTK) construction contracts for the mass transit projects. Further, it engages in developing projects, arranging financing, investing in equity, undertaking complex financial modeling, and managing its infrastructure investments, such as bridges and highways, mass transit systems, power facilities, energy infrastructure, water treatment plants, and social infrastructure. Additionally, it offers staff augmentation services. The company was formerly known as SNC-Lavalin Group Inc. and changed its name to AtkinsRéalis in September 2023. AtkinsRéalis Group Inc. was founded in 1911 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AtkinsRéalis Group reported revenue of C$11.0B in FY2025 versus C$7.3B in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was C$2.6B in FY2025, compounding +40.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +1.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ATRL screens 43% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- AtkinsRéalis Group (TSX:ATRL) Could Be 25% Undervalued As Earnings Land
- AtkinsRéalis Group (TSX:ATRL) Is Up 5.9% After Nuclear Backlog Surge And Aggressive Buybacks - Has The Bull Case Changed?
- AtkinsRéalis Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
- AtkinsRéalis welcomes four new ambassador organizations to Canadians for CANDU
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹4,020 | ₹1,994 | -50% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 357,500 KRW | 261,411 KRW | -27% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 113,700 KRW | 61,453 KRW | -46% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 49,300 KRW | 43,624 KRW | -12% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹230.00 | ₹48.92 | -79% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 18,400 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -65% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 99,800 KRW | 19,346 KRW | -81% |
| GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 | 35,200 KRW | 23,135 KRW | -34% |
| DL E&C Co 375500 | 73,500 KRW | 148,433 KRW | +102% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 | 45,400 KRW | 43,924 KRW | -3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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