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Alps Electric Co Ltd (APELY) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $2.6B · ISIN US0210902047

What is Alps Electric Co Ltd really worth?

AE Alps Electric Co Ltd logo Alps Electric Co Ltd APELY · US
Price$29.34
Fair Value$51.53
Upside+75.6%
Quality66/100

A solid business, trading 43% below our fair value of $51.53.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +8.5 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)

Risks

!Thin margins · 2.6% net margin
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 17 out of 100
!Weak on past: 25 out of 100

For context

·3.04% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $38.65 – $64.42

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +10.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($38.65). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$30.20 $12.40 Fair Value $51.53 Mar 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.40 – $30.20 · fair‑value band $38.65 – $64.42 · the $29.34 price screens below the $51.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Alps Electric Co Ltd (APELY) currently trades at $29.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $51.53, implying the stock looks roughly 43.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $55.14 per share, and 16 of the 23 models we run sit above the $29.34 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $19.45, and 7 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Alps Electric Co Ltd generated revenue of $1.0T at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue grew 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $61.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $38.65 (bear case) to $64.42 (bull case); at $29.34, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at 76%, APELY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $42.26 $56.57 $75.89 81
Growth DCF $43.25 $56.58 $73.84 80
Owner Earnings $18.16 $22.88 $29.24 78
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $42.26 $56.57 $75.89 81
Owner Earnings $18.16 $22.88 $29.24 78
5Y Revenue Exit $35.04 $47.66 $62.92 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $57.85 $87.88 $121.25 75
5Y P/E Exit $40.88 $57.94 $74.72 72
10Y Revenue Exit $36.82 $48.38 $62.17 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $51.43 $74.83 $103.39 69
10Y P/E Exit $41.09 $55.14 $70.51 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $12.51 $27.78 $35.47 66
PEG = 1.0 $4.47 $6.39 $8.30 57
EPV $21.94 $24.41 $26.54 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $38.65 $51.53 $64.41 63
P/S Multiple $23.46 $31.29 $39.11 58
P/B Multiple $23.46 $31.29 $39.11 55
EV/EBIT $57.77 $74.92 $92.08 66
EV/EBITDA $76.31 $99.64 $122.97 67
EV/Revenue $32.33 $43.48 $54.63 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $14.51 $19.45 $29.02 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $43.25 $56.58 $73.84 80
Rev-Margin DCF $35.04 $48.20 $62.25 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $22.74 $23.47 $23.79 71
ROIC Compounder $21.94 $24.41 $26.54 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $28.34 $40.49 $52.64 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($55.14) versus Asset-Based ($19.45). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 17.4
P/S ratio 0.46 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.69 price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.4
Dividend yield 3.0% payout 52.8%
Net margin 2.6% FY2026
Return on equity 6.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 3.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.0T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.4% 3y avg +5.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −89.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $55.5B FY2026
Net cash $61.6B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Alps Alpine Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells electronic components in Japan, China, the United States, South Korea, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Component, Sensor and Communication, and Module and System.

Full company description

Alps Alpine Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells electronic components in Japan, China, the United States, South Korea, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Component, Sensor and Communication, and Module and System. The company offers TACT switches, potentiometers, HAPTIC reactors, actuators, microfluidic device, and aspherical glass lens for automobiles, consumer appliances, mobile phones and video games. It also provides current, pressure, millimeter-wave, and magnetic sensors; and remote and analog meter monitoring systems, communication modules, and capacitive sensing modules for automotive, consumer, and industrial machinery markets. In addition, the company integrated displays, sound systems, electric shifters, power window switches, cabin controllers, functional surfaces, amplifiers and speakers, alpine premium sound systems, and customized car products. Further, it provides systems development, office, and financing and leasing services, as well as solution for car rental operators. The company was formerly known as Alps Electric Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Alps Alpine Co., Ltd. in January 2019. Alps Alpine Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Alps Electric Co Ltd reported revenue of $1.1T in FY2026 versus $803B in FY2022, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was $28.5B in FY2026, compounding +5.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.1T
Latest YoY
+9.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+8.2% (5.2 + 3.0)
Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY22 $803B
FY23 $933B
FY24 $964B
FY25 $990B
FY26 $1.1T
Net income +5.6%/yr
FY22 $23.0B
FY23 $11.5B
FY24 −$29.8B
FY25 $37.8B
FY26 $28.5B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) −1.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.0 %

of which total revenue +3.3 % · buybacks/dilution −0.3 %

EBIT margin −5.7 %
Tax rate −1.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alps Electric Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/APELY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 638 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +76% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.13× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 0
FUTURE17 · sector 40
PAST25 · sector 25
HEALTH94 · sector 95
DIVIDEND61 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $157.74 $97.19 −38%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 134.64 CHF 35.18 −74%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,750 TWD 602.37 TWD −66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 −31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW −88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 −90%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $202.66 $144.42 −29%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.80 ¥36.30 −73%
Flex Ltd FLEX $124.53 $48.10 −61%
Celestica Inc CLS $298.70 $113.54 −62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Alps Electric Co Ltd (APELY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $51.53 versus a price of $29.34, about +76% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of APELY?
Our model-based fair value for Alps Electric Co Ltd is $51.53 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $29.34.
What is the quality score of APELY?
Alps Electric Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Alps Electric Co Ltd (APELY)?
Alps Electric Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0T (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of APELY?
The net profit margin of Alps Electric Co Ltd is about 2.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Alps Electric Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Alps Electric Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.04% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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