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Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Louis HachEtte Group SA is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · FR · ISIN FR001400TL40

LH Some data Sep 20, 2026

Louis HachEtte Group SA

ALHG · PA

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value €2.51 · Undervalued (+40%)
!Quality 39/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +9.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·3.34% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Narrow moat 31/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range €1.19 to €4.41
!Weak on future: 23 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€1.90 €1.15 Fair Value €2.51 Dec 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range €1.15 – €1.90 · fair‑value band €1.19 – €4.41 · the €1.80 price screens below the €2.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 20, 2026.

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Company profile

Louis Hachette Group S.A. engages in the publishing and travel retail and media businesses.

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Louis Hachette Group S.A. engages in the publishing and travel retail and media businesses. It publishes and distributes books, including general literature, textbooks, children and young adult books, comics and manga, tourism, fine art, and dictionaries; offers a range of convenience and specialty items, fashion gallery, cosmetics, alcohol, tobacco, and fragrances through retail stores; and operates full-service bars and restaurants, and souvenir stores, as well as coffee/tea shops and fast-food options. The company also offers magazine publishing; advertising; and digital audio content services; and Prismashop, a magazine e-commerce site. In addition, it publishes newspaper under the Le Journal du Dimanche, Le JDNews, Elle, and Le JDMag names through print and digital channels; and operates radio stations under the Europe 1, Europe 2, and RFM names. Further, the company manages concert and entertainment venues; produces live shows and concerts; hosts WTA 125, a one-week international women tournament; operates sports club; and provides hosting and local promotional services for French and international productions. The company has operations in France, rest of European Union, the United States, the United Kingdom, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and other European countries. The company was founded in 1826 and is based in Paris, France.

Stock analysis

Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG) currently trades at €1.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.51, implying the stock looks roughly 28.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €18.20 per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the €1.80 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €0.4900, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €1.19 (bear) to €4.41 (bull), the price of €1.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Louis HachEtte Group SA reported revenue of €9.6B in FY2025 versus €5.4B in FY2021, a compound +15.3%/yr. Reported net income was €22.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €2.0B · P/E ratio 89.8 · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) €0.0200 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 0.2% · Return on equity 3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades near its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 40%, ALHG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €1.19 Fair Value €2.51 Bull €4.41
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV €2.93 €3.47 €3.93 74
FCF DCF €13.68 €20.47 €40.77 71
Growth DCF €12.75 €22.83 €38.66 71
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €13.68 €20.47 €40.77 71
Owner Earnings €8.22 €18.20 €36.71 66
5Y Revenue Exit €7.53 €12.30 €22.17 65
5Y EBITDA Exit €13.24 €23.84 €44.60 67
5Y P/E Exit €3.91 €6.02 €8.21 66
10Y Revenue Exit €9.45 €18.44 €23.10 62
10Y EBITDA Exit €13.46 €29.66 €57.41 60
10Y P/E Exit €7.24 €11.34 €16.57 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.1500 €1.05 €1.48 59
Lynch FV €0.5400 €0.7800 €1.01 57
PEG = 1.0 €0.5400 €0.7800 €1.01 53
EPV €2.93 €3.47 €3.93 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.4600 €0.8300 €1.15 63
DDM Multi-Stage €0.4600 €0.7600 €0.8900 63
Multiples
P/E Multiple €0.3700 €0.4900 €0.6100 63
P/S Multiple €0.2800 €0.3800 €0.4700 58
P/B Multiple €0.2800 €0.3800 €0.4700 55
EV/EBIT €5.81 €8.11 €10.41 66
EV/EBITDA €12.79 €17.42 €22.04 67
EV/Revenue €4.15 €6.39 €8.63 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.11 €1.49 €2.22 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €12.75 €22.83 €38.66 71
Rev-Margin DCF €8.33 €14.25 €26.73 65
Economic Profit
Residual Income €1.44 €1.33 €0.8900 71
ROIC Compounder €3.61 €5.25 €6.49 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €0.7200 €1.03 €1.34 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 24
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−29.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−32.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 6%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 244 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +42% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.78× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 89.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.91× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.21× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.4× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)86 · sector 38
FUTURE (revenue growth)23 · sector 27
PAST (return on equity)16 · sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)61 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)67 · sector 52

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Cintas Corporation CTAS $198.95 $172.92 −13%
RELX PLC RELX $33.80 $32.33 −4%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$134.93 C$97.63 −28%
Copart, Inc CPRT $31.04 $34.14 +10%
Global Payments Inc GPN $86.49 $69.00 −20%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$117.97 C$129.77 +10%
Brambles Limited BXB A$18.84 A$16.90 −10%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $64.15 $24.75 −61%
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL €66.24 €101.27 +53%
Aramark ARMK $57.61 $13.18 −77%

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Louis HachEtte Group SA · Fair Value
€2.51 +28%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Louis HachEtte Group SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALHG

Frequently asked questions

Is Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.51 versus a price of €1.80, about +40% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ALHG?
Our model-based fair value for Louis HachEtte Group SA is €2.51 (as of Sep 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.80.
What is the quality score of ALHG?
Louis HachEtte Group SA has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.51 (as of Sep 20, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.19, optimistic scenario €4.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Louis HachEtte Group SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.51, about +40% upside versus a price of €1.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €1.19, optimistic scenario €4.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG)?
Louis HachEtte Group SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €9.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 20, 2026).
Does Louis HachEtte Group SA pay a dividend?
Louis HachEtte Group SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.34% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 20, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Louis HachEtte Group SA it is €2.51 per share (as of Sep 20, 2026), against a price of €1.80. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Louis HachEtte Group SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 20, 2026, ALHG trades below its calculated fair value: price €1.80, fair value €2.51, a gap of about +40% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALHG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.51). For Louis HachEtte Group SA the two are €0.7130 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Louis HachEtte Group SA worth?
The market values Louis HachEtte Group SA at about €2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 20, 2026). Per share that is €1.80; our models calculate a fair value of €2.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALHG?
Our models span a range for Louis HachEtte Group SA: cautious scenario €1.19, base €2.51, optimistic €4.41 per share (as of Sep 20, 2026, price €1.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALHG?
Louis HachEtte Group SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 89.8 (as of Sep 20, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €2.51 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 3.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Louis HachEtte Group SA (as of Sep 20, 2026): return on equity 3.9%, debt of 0.78 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALHG from its 52-week high?
Louis HachEtte Group SA trades at €1.80, about 4% below its 52-week high of €1.73 and 34% above the low of €1.33 (as of Sep 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Louis HachEtte Group SA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, RELX PLC, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Louis HachEtte Group SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 20, 2026: price €1.80, calculated fair value €2.51 (+40%), Quality Score 39/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALHG calculated?
We run Louis HachEtte Group SA through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €2.51, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Louis HachEtte Group SA currently trades 40 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was €1.80. Our model-based fair value is €2.51, about +40% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Louis HachEtte Group SA right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (€1.19 to €4.41). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Louis HachEtte Group SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG)?
The market capitalisation of Louis HachEtte Group SA is €2.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Louis HachEtte Group SA is 0.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG)?
Earnings per share at Louis HachEtte Group SA are €0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 89.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG)?
The dividend yield of Louis HachEtte Group SA is 3.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG)?
The net margin of Louis HachEtte Group SA is 0.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Louis HachEtte Group SA is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Louis HachEtte Group SA is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG)?
The operating margin of Louis HachEtte Group SA is 7.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG)?
Revenue at Louis HachEtte Group SA is growing +4.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG)?
Earnings per share at Louis HachEtte Group SA are growing −25.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG) generate?
The free cash flow of Louis HachEtte Group SA is €1.1B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Louis HachEtte Group SA (ALHG) carry?
The net debt of Louis HachEtte Group SA is €4.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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