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515030 Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹41.0B (≈ $434M) · ISIN INE439A01020

What is 515030 really worth?

5 515030 515030 · BSE
Price₹955.50
Fair Value₹1,294
Upside+35.4%
Quality41/100

Below-average quality, trading 26% below our fair value of ₹1,294.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Moderate moat 60/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range ₹905.69 – ₹1,682

Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +3.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹905.69 to ₹1,682) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,066 ₹288.59 Fair Value ₹1,294 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹288.59 – ₹1,066 · fair‑value band ₹905.69 – ₹1,682 · the ₹955.50 price screens below the ₹1,294 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

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Analysis

515030 (515030) currently trades at ₹955.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,294, implying the stock looks roughly 26.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹1,367 per share, and 10 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹955.50 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹614.37, and 4 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Net debt stands at ₹18.1B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 26.7 (as of Aug 15, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹905.69 (bear case) to ₹1,682 (bull case); at ₹955.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 35%, 515030 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹4.30 per share, which is 0.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence ₹779.87 ₹848.33 ₹1,113 76
EPV ₹805.04 ₹990.23 ₹1,152 71
ROIC Compounder ₹805.04 ₹1,054 ₹1,486 71
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹546.62 ₹1,998 ₹2,697 64
Lynch FV ₹476.04 ₹680.06 ₹884.08 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹476.04 ₹680.06 ₹884.08 57
EPV ₹805.04 ₹990.23 ₹1,152 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,326 ₹1,768 ₹2,211 63
P/S Multiple ₹1,025 ₹1,367 ₹1,708 58
P/B Multiple ₹1,025 ₹1,367 ₹1,708 55
EV/EBIT ₹1,688 ₹2,352 ₹3,017 66
EV/EBITDA ₹1,622 ₹2,264 ₹2,907 67
EV/Revenue ₹654.95 ₹1,067 ₹1,479 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹458.49 ₹614.37 ₹916.98 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence ₹779.87 ₹848.33 ₹1,113 76
ROIC Compounder ₹805.04 ₹1,054 ₹1,486 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹921.71 ₹1,317 ₹1,712 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹1,367) versus Asset-Based (₹614.37). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 26.7 as of Aug 15, 2026
P/S ratio 1.87 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹6.32 price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.7
Net margin 7.0% FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT) 11.4% avg 5y
Free cash flow −₹1.6B FY2025
More key figures
Balance sheet & cash flow
Net debt ₹18.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 13
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 49
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

515030 reported revenue of ₹49.1B in FY2025 versus ₹31.7B in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.4B in FY2025, compounding 0.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹49.1B
Latest YoY
+6.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.4% (16.4 + 0.0)
Revenue +11.5%/yr
FY21 ₹31.7B
FY22 ₹40.2B
FY23 ₹43.4B
FY24 ₹45.9B
FY25 ₹49.1B
Net income 0.0%/yr
FY21 ₹3.4B
FY22 ₹3.6B
FY23 ₹3.3B
FY24 ₹3.7B
FY25 ₹3.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "515030 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/515030

Peer Group

Consumer Discretionary · 3805 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Automobiles & Auto Parts” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +38% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.40× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Automobiles & Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is 515030 overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,294 versus a price of ₹955.50, about +35% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 515030?
Our model-based fair value for 515030 is ₹1,294 (as of Aug 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹955.50.
What is the quality score of 515030?
515030 has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of 515030?
The net profit margin of 515030 is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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