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POCO Holding (300811) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 38.8B CNY

PH POCO Holding 300811 · SHE
Price¥74.79
Fair Value¥16.37
Upside-78.1%
Quality50/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 22.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.16% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range ¥11.21 – ¥22.39 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −11.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 78% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥22.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥11.21 to ¥22.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥107.18 ¥8.62 Fair Value ¥16.37 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.62 – ¥107.18 · fair‑value band ¥11.21 – ¥22.39 · the ¥74.79 price screens above the ¥16.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

POCO Holding (300811) currently trades at ¥74.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.37, implying the stock looks roughly 78.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, POCO Holding generated revenue of 1.9B CNY at a net margin of 22.7%. Revenue grew 27.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.1%. Net debt stands at 304M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥11.21 (bear case) to ¥22.39 (bull case); at ¥74.79, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 160% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -78%, 300811 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥5.01 to ¥48.86). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥4.14 ¥6.91 ¥12.52 80
Residual Income ¥7.25 ¥9.19 ¥23.31 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.67 ¥10.89 ¥20.77 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.34 ¥6.31 ¥12.57 38
Owner Earnings ¥11.85 ¥25.81 ¥55.12 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.62 ¥9.64 ¥18.11 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.58 ¥19.68 ¥37.57 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥11.77 ¥27.69 ¥49.81 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.13 ¥11.51 ¥15.99 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.96 ¥22.19 ¥46.35 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥9.82 ¥24.75 ¥50.29 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.01 ¥48.86 ¥68.57 54
Lynch FV ¥18.67 ¥26.67 ¥34.68 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥18.67 ¥26.67 ¥34.68 46
EPV ¥11.39 ¥13.14 ¥14.66 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥13.14 ¥17.52 ¥21.89 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.00 ¥6.66 ¥8.33 58
P/B Multiple ¥13.14 ¥17.52 ¥21.89 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.75 ¥18.03 ¥22.31 53
EV/EBITDA ¥12.47 ¥16.33 ¥20.18 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.57 ¥7.57 ¥9.57 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.74 ¥5.01 ¥7.47 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.14 ¥6.91 ¥12.52 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.67 ¥10.89 ¥20.77 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.25 ¥9.19 ¥23.31 76
ROIC Compounder ¥14.57 ¥21.48 ¥26.18 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥22.01 ¥31.44 ¥40.87 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥31.44) versus Asset-Based (¥5.01). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +27.7%
Net margin 22.7%
Return on equity 15.1%
Free cash flow 82.7M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 69.9
More key figures
Operating margin 22.3%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.07
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.4%
Net debt 304M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 10
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 81
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 53
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

POCO Holding Co., Ltd. develops, produces, and sells alloy soft magnetic powder, and alloy soft magnetic core and chip inductance components for the downstream users of electricity electronic equipment.

Full company description

POCO Holding Co., Ltd. develops, produces, and sells alloy soft magnetic powder, and alloy soft magnetic core and chip inductance components for the downstream users of electricity electronic equipment. Its products are used in photovoltaic power generation, new energy vehicles and charging piles, data centers (UPS, server power supply, GPU chip power supply), AI, intelligent driving, energy storage, communication power supply, variable frequency air conditioner, consumer electronics, power quality control, rail transit, and other areas. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

POCO Holding reported revenue of ¥1.8B in FY2025 versus ¥726M in FY2021, a compound +25.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥418M in FY2025, compounding +36.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.8B CNY
Latest YoY
+8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.4%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.7%
Revenue +25.5%/yr
FY21 ¥726M
FY22 ¥1.1B
FY23 ¥1.2B
FY24 ¥1.7B
FY25 ¥1.8B
Net income +36.5%/yr
FY21 ¥120M
FY22 ¥193M
FY23 ¥256M
FY24 ¥376M
FY25 ¥418M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2024) +23.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +22.1 pp

of which total revenue +29.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −7.5 pp

EBIT margin +0.9 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

300811 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "POCO Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300811

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 647 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 69.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 12.80× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 20.33× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 69.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 62.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 36
PAST 61 · sector 24
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 3 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,790 TWD 602.37 TWD -66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 -31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW -88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 -90%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥143.23 ¥36.30 -75%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥385.80 ¥125.52 -67%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$238.60 HK$75.68 -68%
Kingboard Laminates Holdings 1888 HK$38.70 HK$8.95 -77%
Asia Vital Components Co 3017 2,910 TWD 1,369 TWD -53%
Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation 8046 1,215 TWD 1,768 TWD +46%

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Frequently asked questions

Is POCO Holding (300811) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.37 versus a price of ¥74.79, about −78% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300811?
Our model-based fair value for POCO Holding is ¥16.37 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥74.79.
What is the quality score of 300811?
POCO Holding has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of POCO Holding (300811)?
POCO Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300811?
The net profit margin of POCO Holding is about 22.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does POCO Holding pay a dividend?
POCO Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.16% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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