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Poco Holding Co Ltd (300811) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 38.8B CNY (≈ $5.8B) · ISIN CNE100003R31

What is Poco Holding Co Ltd really worth?

PH Poco Holding Co Ltd 300811 · SHE
Price¥72.46
Fair Value¥16.37
Upside−77.4%
Quality50/100

A solid business, but trading 343% above our fair value of ¥16.37.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 22.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 70/100

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +29.4 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Weak on dividend: 4 out of 100

For context

·0.20% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥11.21 – ¥22.39

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Share price +13.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥22.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥11.21 to ¥22.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥107.18 ¥8.86 Fair Value ¥16.37 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.86 – ¥107.18 · fair‑value band ¥11.21 – ¥22.39 · the ¥72.46 price screens above the ¥16.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Poco Holding Co Ltd (300811) currently trades at ¥72.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.37, implying the stock looks roughly 342.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥31.44 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥72.46 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥5.01, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Poco Holding Co Ltd generated revenue of 1.9B CNY at a net margin of 22.7%. Revenue grew 27.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.1%. Net debt stands at 304M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥11.21 (bear case) to ¥22.39 (bull case); at ¥72.46, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 152% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −77%, 300811 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.6273 per share, which is 3.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥5.01 to ¥48.86). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence ¥4.34 ¥6.31 ¥12.57 77
Growth DCF ¥4.14 ¥6.91 ¥12.52 75
EPV ¥11.39 ¥13.14 ¥14.66 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence ¥4.34 ¥6.31 ¥12.57 77
Owner Earnings ¥11.85 ¥25.81 ¥55.12 71
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.62 ¥9.64 ¥18.11 69
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.58 ¥19.68 ¥37.57 71
5Y P/E Exit ¥11.77 ¥27.69 ¥49.81 67
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.13 ¥11.51 ¥15.99 66
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.96 ¥22.19 ¥46.35 63
10Y P/E Exit ¥9.82 ¥24.75 ¥50.29 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.01 ¥48.86 ¥68.57 63
Lynch FV ¥18.67 ¥26.67 ¥34.68 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥18.67 ¥26.67 ¥34.68 57
EPV ¥11.39 ¥13.14 ¥14.66 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥13.14 ¥17.52 ¥21.89 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.00 ¥6.66 ¥8.33 58
P/B Multiple ¥13.14 ¥17.52 ¥21.89 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.75 ¥18.03 ¥22.31 66
EV/EBITDA ¥12.47 ¥16.33 ¥20.18 67
EV/Revenue ¥5.57 ¥7.57 ¥9.57 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.74 ¥5.01 ¥7.47 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.14 ¥6.91 ¥12.52 75
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.67 ¥10.89 ¥20.77 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.25 ¥9.19 ¥23.31 68
ROIC Compounder ¥14.57 ¥21.48 ¥26.18 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥22.01 ¥31.44 ¥40.87 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥31.44) versus Asset-Based (¥5.01). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 67.7
P/S ratio 15.7 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥1.07 price ÷ EPS = P/E 67.7
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 13.4%
Net margin 23.2% FY2025
Return on equity 15.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 11.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 22.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.9B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +27.7% 3y avg +19.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 82.7M CNY FY2025
Net debt 304M CNY FY2024 · ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 10
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 53
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

POCO Holding Co., Ltd. develops, produces, and sells alloy soft magnetic powder, and alloy soft magnetic core and chip inductance components for the downstream users of electricity electronic equipment.

Full company description

POCO Holding Co., Ltd. develops, produces, and sells alloy soft magnetic powder, and alloy soft magnetic core and chip inductance components for the downstream users of electricity electronic equipment. Its products are used in photovoltaic power generation, new energy vehicles and charging piles, data centers (UPS, server power supply, GPU chip power supply), AI, intelligent driving, energy storage, communication power supply, variable frequency air conditioner, consumer electronics, power quality control, rail transit, and other areas. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Poco Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 726M CNY in FY2021, a compound +25.5%/yr. Reported net income was 418M CNY in FY2025, compounding +36.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.8B CNY
Latest YoY
+8.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+27.5% (27.3 + 0.2)
Revenue +25.5%/yr
FY21 726M CNY
FY22 1.1B CNY
FY23 1.2B CNY
FY24 1.7B CNY
FY25 1.8B CNY
Net income +36.5%/yr
FY21 120M CNY
FY22 193M CNY
FY23 256M CNY
FY24 376M CNY
FY25 418M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2024) +23.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +22.1 %

of which total revenue +29.6 % · buybacks/dilution −5.8 %

EBIT margin +0.9 %
Tax rate +0.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

300811 screens 343% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Poco Holding Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300811

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 638 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 67.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 12.80× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 20.33× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 70.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 62.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 40
PAST61 · sector 25
HEALTH99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND4 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amphenol Corporation APH $157.74 $97.19 −38%
Corning Incorporated GLW CHF 134.64 CHF 35.18 −74%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,750 TWD 602.37 TWD −66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 −31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW −88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 −90%
TE Connectivity plc TEL $202.66 $144.42 −29%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.80 ¥36.30 −73%
Flex Ltd FLEX $124.53 $48.10 −61%
Celestica Inc CLS $298.70 $113.54 −62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Poco Holding Co Ltd (300811) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.37 versus a price of ¥72.46, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300811?
Our model-based fair value for Poco Holding Co Ltd is ¥16.37 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥72.46.
What is the quality score of 300811?
Poco Holding Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Poco Holding Co Ltd (300811)?
Poco Holding Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300811?
The net profit margin of Poco Holding Co Ltd is about 22.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Poco Holding Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Poco Holding Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.20% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 27, 2026).
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