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Cowell e Holdings (1415) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$20.8B

CE Cowell e Holdings 1415 · HK
PriceHK$22.42
Fair ValueHK$6.32
Upside-71.8%
Quality66/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.17% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range HK$4.73 – HK$14.90 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$4.54 to HK$6.32 (+39.2%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 72% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$14.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$4.73 to HK$14.90). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$40.48 HK$4.01 Fair Value HK$6.32 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$4.01 – HK$40.48 · fair‑value band HK$4.73 – HK$14.90 · the HK$22.42 price screens above the HK$6.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Cowell e Holdings (1415) currently trades at HK$22.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.32, implying the stock looks roughly 71.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cowell e Holdings generated revenue of HK$3.5B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue grew 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.1%. Net debt stands at HK$18.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$4.73 (bear case) to HK$14.90 (bull case); at HK$22.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -72%, 1415 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$4.47 HK$8.82 HK$15.95 80
Residual Income HK$1.59 HK$2.18 HK$14.95 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.71 HK$6.50 HK$12.33 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$4.75 HK$7.44 HK$16.02 38
Owner Earnings HK$3.46 HK$7.81 HK$16.94 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$3.38 HK$5.68 HK$10.51 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.93 HK$8.83 HK$16.48 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$4.94 HK$11.06 HK$19.41 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.72 HK$7.83 HK$10.36 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.97 HK$11.18 HK$22.06 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$4.98 HK$11.19 HK$21.45 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$1.54 HK$10.76 HK$15.09 54
Lynch FV HK$5.56 HK$7.94 HK$10.32 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$5.56 HK$7.94 HK$10.32 46
EPV HK$2.37 HK$2.76 HK$3.09 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$4.76 HK$6.35 HK$7.94 63
P/S Multiple HK$2.89 HK$3.86 HK$4.82 58
P/B Multiple HK$2.89 HK$3.86 HK$4.82 55
EV/EBIT HK$5.03 HK$6.69 HK$8.35 53
EV/EBITDA HK$4.81 HK$6.39 HK$7.98 54
EV/Revenue HK$2.57 HK$3.65 HK$4.73 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4200 HK$0.5600 HK$0.8400 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$4.47 HK$8.82 HK$15.95 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.71 HK$6.50 HK$12.33 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.59 HK$2.18 HK$14.95 76
ROIC Compounder HK$3.17 HK$4.98 HK$7.16 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$8.02 HK$11.46 HK$14.90 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$11.46) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.5600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$3.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.1%
Net margin 5.6%
Return on equity 31.1%
Free cash flow HK$242M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.9 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 6.6%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0800
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +27.1%
Net debt HK$18.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 77
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cowell e Holdings Inc., an investment holding company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells modules and system integration products for smartphones, multimedia tablets and other mobile devices. The company also designs, develops, manufactures and sells optical components used for consumer electronics products.

Full company description

Cowell e Holdings Inc., an investment holding company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells modules and system integration products for smartphones, multimedia tablets and other mobile devices. The company also designs, develops, manufactures and sells optical components used for consumer electronics products. In addition, it provides camera modules for mobile device manufacturers; and optical components to subsidiaries or affiliates of electronics companies. Further, the company is involved in trading of camera module and optical products; and provision of technical consultancy services. It operates in the People's Republic of China, India, the Republic of Korea, and Vietnam. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Dongguan, the People's Republic of China. Cowell e Holdings Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Luxvisions Innovation Technology Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cowell e Holdings reported revenue of HK$3.5B in FY2025 versus HK$799M in FY2021, a compound +44.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$197M in FY2025, compounding +41.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$3.5B
Latest YoY
+40.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+46.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+36.1%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.0%
Revenue +44.7%/yr
FY21 HK$799M
FY22 HK$1.1B
FY23 HK$924M
FY24 HK$2.5B
FY25 HK$3.5B
Net income +41.0%/yr
FY21 HK$49.8M
FY22 HK$84.3M
FY23 HK$46.6M
FY24 HK$119M
FY25 HK$197M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +9.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.4 pp

of which total revenue +10.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.3 pp

EBIT margin −0.2 pp
Tax rate +1.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

1415 screens 72% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cowell e Holdings · Fair Value
HK$6.32 −72%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cowell e Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1415

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 647 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −72% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 3.66× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 11.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 4.13× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 61 · sector 36
PAST 100 · sector 24
HEALTH 93 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 3 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 -31%
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Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 -90%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥143.23 ¥36.30 -75%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥385.80 ¥125.52 -67%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$238.60 HK$75.68 -68%
Kingboard Laminates Holdings 1888 HK$38.70 HK$8.95 -77%
Asia Vital Components Co 3017 2,910 TWD 1,369 TWD -53%
Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation 8046 1,215 TWD 1,768 TWD +46%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cowell e Holdings (1415) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$6.32 versus a price of HK$22.42, about −72% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1415?
Our model-based fair value for Cowell e Holdings is HK$6.32 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$22.42.
What is the quality score of 1415?
Cowell e Holdings has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cowell e Holdings (1415)?
Cowell e Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1415?
The net profit margin of Cowell e Holdings is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cowell e Holdings pay a dividend?
Cowell e Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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