Cowell e Holdings Inc (1415) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$20.8B (≈ $2.7B) · ISIN KYG248141163

What is Cowell e Holdings Inc really worth?

CE Cowell e Holdings Inc 1415 · HK

PriceHK$24.30

Fair ValueHK$6.32

Upside−74.0%

Quality66/100

A solid business, but trading 284% above our fair value of HK$6.32.

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Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

✓Ranks above peers (9/15)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +36.1 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 5.6% net margin

!Moderate moat 60/100

!The models disagree: range HK$4.73 to HK$14.90

!Weak on dividend: 3 out of 100

For context

·0.16% dividend yield

Evidence: High Range HK$4.73 – HK$14.90

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$4.54 to HK$6.32 (+39.2%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +5.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$14.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
The model range is unusually wide (HK$4.73 to HK$14.90). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$4.01 – HK$40.48 · fair‑value band HK$4.73 – HK$14.90 · the HK$24.30 price screens above the HK$6.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Cowell e Holdings Inc (1415) currently trades at HK$24.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.32, implying the stock looks roughly 284.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$11.46 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$24.30 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$2.18, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cowell e Holdings Inc generated revenue of HK$3.5B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue grew 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.1%. Net debt stands at HK$18.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$4.73 (bear case) to HK$14.90 (bull case); at HK$24.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −62% fair-value upside, at −74%, 1415 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.0272 per share, which is 0.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence

Highest evidence

EPV HK$2.37 HK$2.76 HK$3.09 74

FCF DCF HK$4.75 HK$7.44 HK$16.02 73

Growth DCF HK$4.47 HK$8.82 HK$15.95 72

All 24 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$4.75 HK$7.44 HK$16.02 73

Owner Earnings HK$3.46 HK$7.81 HK$16.94 68

5Y Revenue Exit HK$3.38 HK$5.68 HK$10.51 67

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.93 HK$8.83 HK$16.48 69

5Y P/E Exit HK$4.94 HK$11.06 HK$19.41 65

10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.72 HK$7.83 HK$10.36 64

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.97 HK$11.18 HK$22.06 62

10Y P/E Exit HK$4.98 HK$11.19 HK$21.45 58

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$1.54 HK$10.76 HK$15.09 61

Lynch FV HK$5.56 HK$7.94 HK$10.32 59

PEG = 1.0 HK$5.56 HK$7.94 HK$10.32 55

EPV HK$2.37 HK$2.76 HK$3.09 74

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$4.76 HK$6.35 HK$7.94 63

P/S Multiple HK$2.89 HK$3.86 HK$4.82 58

P/B Multiple HK$2.89 HK$3.86 HK$4.82 55

EV/EBIT HK$5.03 HK$6.69 HK$8.35 66

EV/EBITDA HK$4.81 HK$6.39 HK$7.98 67

EV/Revenue HK$2.57 HK$3.65 HK$4.73 53

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4200 HK$0.5600 HK$0.8400 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$4.47 HK$8.82 HK$15.95 72

Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.71 HK$6.50 HK$12.33 67

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$1.59 HK$2.18 HK$14.95 61

ROIC Compounder HK$3.17 HK$4.98 HK$7.16 68

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$8.02 HK$11.46 HK$14.90 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$11.46) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.5600). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 13.9 as of Jul 2, 2026

P/S ratio 0.78 P/E × margin

EPS (TTM) HK$0.0800 price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.9

Dividend yield 0.2% payout 50.0%

Net margin 5.6% FY2025

Return on equity 31.1% TTM

More key figures

Profitability

Return on assets (EBIT) 12.0% avg 5y

Operating margin 6.6% TTM

Growth

Revenue (TTM) HK$3.5B TTM

Revenue growth (YoY) +12.1% 3y avg +46.4%

EPS growth (YoY) +27.1%

Balance sheet & cash flow

Free cash flow HK$242M FY2025

Net debt HK$18.0M FY2025 · ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 68

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 77

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 56

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 78

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 33

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 61

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 22

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 10

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 76

Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Full company description

Cowell e Holdings Inc., an investment holding company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells modules and system integration products for smartphones, multimedia tablets and other mobile devices. The company also designs, develops, manufactures and sells optical components used for consumer electronics products. In addition, it provides camera modules for mobile device manufacturers; and optical components to subsidiaries or affiliates of electronics companies. Further, the company is involved in trading of camera module and optical products; and provision of technical consultancy services. It operates in the People's Republic of China, India, the Republic of Korea, and Vietnam. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Dongguan, the People's Republic of China. Cowell e Holdings Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Luxvisions Innovation Technology Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cowell e Holdings Inc reported revenue of $3.5B in FY2025 versus $799M in FY2021, a compound +44.7%/yr. Reported net income was $197M in FY2025, compounding +41.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 82/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Latest Revenue (FY 2025)

HK$3.5B

Latest YoY

+40.3%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+46.4%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+36.1%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

−13.0%

Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.

+34.3% (34.1 + 0.2)

Revenue +44.7%/yr

FY21 $799M

FY22 $1.1B

FY23 $924M

FY24 $2.5B

FY25 $3.5B

Net income +41.0%/yr

FY21 $49.8M

FY22 $84.3M

FY23 $46.6M

FY24 $119M

FY25 $197M

Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +9.6 % p.a.

Revenue per share +9.4 %

of which total revenue +10.7 % · buybacks/dilution −1.2 %

EBIT margin −0.2 %

Tax rate +1.1 %

Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.6 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

1415 screens 284% overvalued. Compare with Amphenol Corporation →

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Cowell e Holdings Inc · Fair Value
HK$6.32 −284%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1415" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Cowell e Holdings Inc · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$6.32</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−284%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:#7BB290;font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cowell e Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1415

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 638 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%

Return on equity (TTM) 31% · Top 25%

Return on assets 10% · Top 25%

Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median

Revenue growth 12% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%

Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

P/B 3.66× · Pricier than median

P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 11.0× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 8.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

PEG 4.13× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE0 · sector 0

FUTURE61 · sector 40

PAST100 · sector 25

HEALTH93 · sector 95

DIVIDEND3 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Amphenol Corporation APH	$157.74	$97.19	−38%
Corning Incorporated GLW	CHF 134.64	CHF 35.18	−74%
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308	1,750 TWD	602.37 TWD	−66%
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Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150	1,503,000 KRW	172,954 KRW	−88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384	¥202.11	¥21.19	−90%
TE Connectivity plc TEL	$202.66	$144.42	−29%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183	¥132.80	¥36.30	−73%
Flex Ltd FLEX	$124.53	$48.10	−61%
Celestica Inc CLS	$298.70	$113.54	−62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cowell e Holdings Inc (1415) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$6.32 versus a price of HK$24.30, about −74% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 1415?

Our model-based fair value for Cowell e Holdings Inc is HK$6.32 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$24.30.

What is the quality score of 1415?

Cowell e Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the revenue of Cowell e Holdings Inc (1415)?

Cowell e Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1415?

The net profit margin of Cowell e Holdings Inc is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does Cowell e Holdings Inc pay a dividend?

Cowell e Holdings Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.16% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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