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China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (0916) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · HK · Market cap HK$41.8B (≈ $5.3B) · ISIN CNE100000HD4

What is China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd really worth?

CL China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd 0916 · HK
PriceHK$5.35
Fair ValueHK$9.90
Upside+85.2%
Quality47/100

Below-average quality, trading 46% below our fair value of HK$9.90.

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Strengths

✓Solidly profitable · 14.5% net margin
✓Ranks above peers (12/14)

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.2 %/yr)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Moderate moat 59/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 24 out of 100

For context

·6.71% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range HK$7.89 – HK$12.87

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −4.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$7.89). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$17.07 HK$4.02 Fair Value HK$9.90 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$4.02 – HK$17.07 · fair‑value band HK$7.89 – HK$12.87 · the HK$5.35 price screens below the HK$9.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (0916) currently trades at HK$5.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$9.90, implying the stock looks roughly 46.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$9.20 per share, and 9 of the 13 models we run sit above the HK$5.35 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$3.06, and 4 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd generated revenue of HK$30.0B at a net margin of 14.5%. Revenue declined 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at HK$109B. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$7.89 (bear case) to HK$12.87 (bull case); at HK$5.35, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 85%, 0916 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence HK$7.08 HK$7.31 HK$7.42 75
EPV — HK$0.8100 HK$2.26 67
ROIC Compounder — HK$0.8100 HK$2.26 66
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$3.68 HK$10.49 HK$13.83 62
Lynch FV HK$2.15 HK$3.06 HK$3.98 58
PEG = 1.0 HK$2.15 HK$3.06 HK$3.98 55
EPV — HK$0.8100 HK$2.26 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$7.31 HK$9.75 HK$12.18 61
P/S Multiple HK$6.79 HK$9.05 HK$11.31 56
P/B Multiple HK$6.90 HK$9.20 HK$11.51 53
EV/EBIT HK$3.15 HK$7.79 HK$12.43 60
EV/EBITDA HK$10.14 HK$17.11 HK$24.08 64
EV/Revenue — — HK$0.9900 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$4.49 HK$6.01 HK$8.97 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence HK$7.08 HK$7.31 HK$7.42 75
ROIC Compounder — HK$0.8100 HK$2.26 66
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$5.96 HK$8.51 HK$11.07 66

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$9.20) versus Economic Profit (HK$0.8100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 8.5 as of Jul 2, 2026
P/S ratio 1.27 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$0.3306 price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.5
Dividend yield 6.7% payout 108%
Net margin 15.0% FY2025
Return on equity 5.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 40.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$30.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −3.6% 3y avg −8.8%
EPS growth (YoY) −14.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −HK$2.1B FY2025
Net debt HK$109B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in new energy power generation in the Chinese Mainland, Canada, South Africa, and Ukraine.

Full company description

China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in new energy power generation in the Chinese Mainland, Canada, South Africa, and Ukraine. China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited was formerly known as China Longyuan Electric Power Group Corporation and changed its name to China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited in July 2009. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Beijing, China. China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited is a subsidiary of Chnenergy Investment Group Co.,LTD.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd reported revenue of 30.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 37.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.0%/yr. Reported net income was 4.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding −11.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$30.3B
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (18Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+4.0% (−2.7 + 6.7)
Revenue −5.0%/yr
FY21 37.2B CNY
FY22 39.9B CNY
FY23 37.6B CNY
FY24 37.1B CNY
FY25 30.3B CNY
Net income −11.6%/yr
FY21 7.4B CNY
FY22 5.1B CNY
FY23 6.4B CNY
FY24 6.3B CNY
FY25 4.5B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +7.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.1 %

of which total revenue +6.6 % · buybacks/dilution −0.5 %

EBIT margin +2.6 %
Tax rate −0.8 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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HK$9.90 +46%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0916

Peer Group

Utilities - Renewable · 213 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Above median
Fair Value upside +85% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 41% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.23× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.56× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.40× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.43× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 6
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST24 · sector 14
HEALTH39 · sector 68
DIVIDEND100 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

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Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,319 ₹169.61 −87%
AXIA Energia SA AXIAP $10.74 $9.49 −12%
VERBUND AG OEWA €57.00 €66.19 +16%
BEP BEP $31.27 $70.40 +125%
BEPUN BEPUN C$45.05 C$42.83 −5%
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Frequently asked questions

Is China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (0916) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$9.90 versus a price of HK$5.35, about +85% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0916?
Our model-based fair value for China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd is HK$9.90 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$5.35.
What is the quality score of 0916?
China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd (0916)?
China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$30.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0916?
The net profit margin of China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd is about 14.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd pay a dividend?
China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.71% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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