China Longyuan Power Group (0916) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · HK · Market cap HK$41.8B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +2.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 80% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$7.89). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$4.02 – HK$17.07 · fair‑value band HK$7.89 – HK$12.87 · the HK$5.49 price screens below the HK$9.90 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
China Longyuan Power Group (0916) currently trades at HK$5.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$9.90, implying the stock looks roughly 80.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China Longyuan Power Group generated revenue of HK$30.0B at a net margin of 14.5%. Revenue declined 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at HK$109B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$7.89 (bear case) to HK$12.87 (bull case); at HK$5.49, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 80%, 0916 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$9.20) versus Economic Profit (HK$0.8100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in new energy power generation in the Chinese Mainland, Canada, South Africa, and Ukraine.
Full company description
China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in new energy power generation in the Chinese Mainland, Canada, South Africa, and Ukraine. China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited was formerly known as China Longyuan Electric Power Group Corporation and changed its name to China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited in July 2009. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Beijing, China. China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited is a subsidiary of Chnenergy Investment Group Co.,LTD.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Longyuan Power Group reported revenue of HK$30.3B in FY2025 versus HK$37.2B in FY2021, a compound −5.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$4.5B in FY2025, compounding −11.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥28.02 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 148.25 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.69 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | -87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.54 | -11% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €56.80 | €66.19 | +17% |
| BEP BEP | $34.23 | $70.40 | +106% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥13.95 | ¥16.63 | +19% |
| China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 | ¥3.77 | ¥2.40 | -36% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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