Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Target (TGT) and Walmart (WMT) compare, as of Aug 14, 2026.
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Target as the less overvalued of the two: Target trades at $156 versus a fair value of $117 (-25%), while Walmart trades at $116 versus $47.80 (-59%).
Target
TGT · USD · Consumer Staples
-25%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$156
Fair Value$117
Quality60/100
Walmart
WMT · USD · Consumer Staples
-59%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$116
Fair Value$47.80
Quality63/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
TargetWalmart
Valuation
18.5×P/E (TTM)39.5×
0.60×P/S (TTM)1.25×
3.94×P/B9.10×
8.7×EV/EBITDA20.8×
2.57×PEG4.30×
3.3%Dividend yield0.9%
$4.54Dividend per share$0.95
Profitability
3%Net margin3%
5%Operating margin4%
22%Return on equity24%
6%Return on assets7%
Growth
7%Revenue growth (YoY)7%
-1.3%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)5.3%
2.3%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)5.0%
Balance & size
0.89×Debt / equity0.35×
$64BMarket cap$906B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy
Target leads: 8 to 6 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Targetof which business quality 58 · market factors 80Walmartof which business quality 61 · market factors 54
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
68
71
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
31
38
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
70
78
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
64
86
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
82
35
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
96
50
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
92
89
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Target
DCF Models$116
Earnings-Based$79.74
Multiples$155
Asset-Based$23.85
Growth DCF$98.37
Economic Profit$81.08
Growth Earnings$141
19 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.
Walmart
DCF Models$45.47
Earnings-Based$23.95
Multiples$52.27
Asset-Based$8.39
Growth DCF$38.48
Economic Profit$30.59
Growth Earnings$50.80
24 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Target
Bear $65.90Fair Value $117Bull $184
$156 = current price (white tick)
Walmart
Bear $27.51Fair Value $47.80Bull $72.21
$116 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Target · Consumer Staples
Quality score60 · above median
Fair value upside-25% · below median
Walmart · Consumer Staples
Quality score63 · above median
Fair value upside-59% · bottom 25%
Bottom line
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Target as the less overvalued of the two: Target trades at $156 versus a fair value of $117 (-25%), while Walmart trades at $116 versus $47.80 (-59%).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
