EN DE
STOCK COMPARISON

Target vs Walmart: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Target (TGT) and Walmart (WMT) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Target as the less overvalued of the two: Target trades at $164 versus a fair value of $117 (-29%), while Walmart trades at $106 versus $47.80 (-55%).
Target
TGT · USD · Consumer Staples
-29%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$164
Fair Value$117
Quality60/100
Walmart
WMT · USD · Consumer Staples
-55%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$106
Fair Value$47.80
Quality63/100
Get comparisons like this free by email every month: the most undervalued quality stocks.

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

TargetWalmart
Valuation
18.5×P/E (TTM)39.5×
0.60×P/S (TTM)1.25×
3.94×P/B9.10×
8.7×EV/EBITDA20.8×
2.57×PEG4.30×
−28.7%Fair value upside−54.9%
2.8%Dividend yield0.9%
$4.54Dividend per share$0.95
Profitability
5%Operating margin4%
0.70×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.05×
22%Return on equity24%
6%Return on assets7%
Growth
7%Revenue growth (YoY)7%
-1.3%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)5.3%
2.3%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)5.0%
+1.6%Value creation/yr+12.7%
Balance & size
11.5×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)10.7×
0.89×Debt / equity0.35×
$64BMarket cap$906B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy

Target leads: 9 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Targetof which business quality 58 · market factors 86 Walmartof which business quality 61 · market factors 50
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
68
71
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
31
38
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
39
37
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
58
62
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
70
78
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
64
84
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
92
35
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
100
37
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
92
89

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyTargetPrice $164WalmartPrice $106
DCF Models-29%below the price$116-57%below the price$45.47
Earnings-Based-51%below the price$79.74-77%below the price$23.95
Multiples-5%close to the price$155-51%below the price$52.27
Asset-Based-85%below the price$23.85-92%below the price$8.39
Growth DCF-40%below the price$98.37-64%below the price$38.48
Economic Profit-51%below the price$81.08-71%below the price$30.59
Growth Earnings-14%close to the price$141-52%below the price$50.80
Minimum-85%below the price$23.85-92%below the price$8.39
Maximum-5%close to the price$155-51%below the price$52.27
Median-40%below the price$98.37-64%below the price$38.48
Geometric mean-47%below the price$87.25-71%below the price$31.16

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Target: 19 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Walmart: 24 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Target
Bear $65.90Fair Value $117Bull $184
$164 = current price (white tick)
Walmart
Bear $27.51Fair Value $47.80Bull $72.21
$106 = current price (white tick)

Compare two other stocks

Tap a field and type again, ticker or company name.

Free, no sign-up

Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Target · Consumer Staples

Quality score60 · above median
Fair value upside-29% · below median

Walmart · Consumer Staples

Quality score63 · above median
Fair value upside-55% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Target as the less overvalued of the two: Target trades at $164 versus a fair value of $117 (-29%), while Walmart trades at $106 versus $47.80 (-55%).

Walmart has the higher quality score (63/100).

See the full analysis →
Target · Walmart

More comparisons

Popular match-ups from the same sectors, all with fair value and quality score.

Related to Target

Altria vs WalmartCostco Wholesale vs AltriaCoca-Cola vs AltriaAltria vs Procter & Gamble

Related to Walmart

Altria vs Philip Morris InternationalAlphabet Inc Class C vs Verizon CommunicationsAlphabet Inc Class C vs At&tAlphabet Inc Class C vs NetEase
Free · Top-25 report

See the undervalued quality stocks every month

Just your email for the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks, with fair value, quality and price target. Plus 14 days of Pro to try, no card.

Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click. Not financial advice.

A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.