Johnson & Johnson vs Eli Lilly and: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) and Eli Lilly and (LLY) compare, as of Aug 14, 2026.
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Johnson & Johnson as the less overvalued of the two: Johnson & Johnson trades at $262 versus a fair value of $169 (-36%), while Eli Lilly and trades at $1,209 versus $389 (-68%).
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · USD · Health Care
-36%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$262
Fair Value$169
Quality81/100
Eli Lilly and
LLY · USD · Health Care
-68%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$1,209
Fair Value$389
Quality69/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Johnson & JohnsonEli Lilly and
Valuation
29.4×P/E (TTM)42.2×
6.34×P/S (TTM)14.67×
7.49×P/B39.94×
18.4×EV/EBITDA30.2×
4.95×PEG1.54×
2.0%Dividend yield0.5%
$5.20Dividend per share$6.23
Profitability
22%Net margin35%
27%Operating margin49%
26%Return on equity107%
8%Return on assets21%
Growth
10%Revenue growth (YoY)56%
5.6%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)31.7%
2.7%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)21.6%
Balance & size
0.48×Debt / equity1.54×
$611BMarket cap$1.1T
healthyGrowth qualitymixed
Eli Lilly and leads: 6 to 8 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Johnson & Johnsonof which business quality 76 · market factors 84Eli Lilly andof which business quality 65 · market factors 83
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
74
85
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
73
86
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
87
15
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
96
77
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
69
79
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
94
97
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
90
93
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Johnson & Johnson
DCF Models$171
Earnings-Based$73.34
Dividend Discount$93.41
Multiples$163
Asset-Based$22.70
Growth DCF$129
Economic Profit$102
Growth Earnings$207
26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Eli Lilly and
DCF Models$334
Earnings-Based$239
Dividend Discount$115
Multiples$358
Asset-Based$19.94
Growth DCF$187
Economic Profit$347
Growth Earnings$375
26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Johnson & Johnson
Bear $106Fair Value $169Bull $255
$262 = current price (white tick)
Eli Lilly and
Bear $216Fair Value $389Bull $582
$1,209 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Johnson & Johnson · Health Care
Quality score81 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-36% · below median
Eli Lilly and · Health Care
Quality score69 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-68% · bottom 25%
Bottom line
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Johnson & Johnson as the less overvalued of the two: Johnson & Johnson trades at $262 versus a fair value of $169 (-36%), while Eli Lilly and trades at $1,209 versus $389 (-68%).
Johnson & Johnson has the higher quality score (81/100).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
