Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Amgen (AMGN) and Eli Lilly and (LLY) compare, as of Aug 14, 2026.
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Amgen as the less overvalued of the two: Amgen trades at $418 versus a fair value of $252 (-40%), while Eli Lilly and trades at $1,209 versus $389 (-68%).
Amgen
AMGN · USD · Health Care
-40%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$418
Fair Value$252
Quality63/100
Eli Lilly and
LLY · USD · Health Care
-68%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$1,209
Fair Value$389
Quality69/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
AmgenEli Lilly and
Valuation
25.3×P/E (TTM)42.2×
5.27×P/S (TTM)14.67×
22.65×P/B39.94×
14.0×EV/EBITDA30.2×
2.02×PEG1.54×
2.7%Dividend yield0.5%
$9.66Dividend per share$6.23
Profitability
21%Net margin35%
34%Operating margin49%
101%Return on equity107%
8%Return on assets21%
Growth
6%Revenue growth (YoY)56%
11.8%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)31.7%
7.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)21.6%
Balance & size
5.78×Debt / equity1.54×
$196BMarket cap$1.1T
healthyGrowth qualitymixed
Eli Lilly and leads: 5 to 9 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Amgenof which business quality 60 · market factors 81Eli Lilly andof which business quality 65 · market factors 83
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
64
85
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
79
86
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
42
15
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
87
77
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
70
79
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
95
97
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
81
93
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Amgen
DCF Models$275
Earnings-Based$151
Dividend Discount$167
Multiples$249
Asset-Based$10.75
Growth DCF$214
Economic Profit$129
Growth Earnings$261
26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Eli Lilly and
DCF Models$334
Earnings-Based$239
Dividend Discount$115
Multiples$358
Asset-Based$19.94
Growth DCF$187
Economic Profit$347
Growth Earnings$375
26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Amgen
Bear $135Fair Value $252Bull $340
$418 = current price (white tick)
Eli Lilly and
Bear $216Fair Value $389Bull $582
$1,209 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Amgen · Health Care
Quality score63 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-40% · below median
Eli Lilly and · Health Care
Quality score69 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-68% · bottom 25%
Bottom line
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Amgen as the less overvalued of the two: Amgen trades at $418 versus a fair value of $252 (-40%), while Eli Lilly and trades at $1,209 versus $389 (-68%).
Eli Lilly and has the higher quality score (69/100).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
