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STOCK COMPARISON

Almarai vs Nestle S.A.: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Almarai (2280) and Nestle S.A. (NESN) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Almarai as the less overvalued of the two: Almarai trades at SAR 47.44 versus a fair value of SAR 38.91 (-18%), while Nestle S.A. trades at CHF 78.31 versus CHF 57.26 (-27%).
Almarai
2280.SR · SAR · Consumer Staples
-18%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceSAR 47.44
Fair ValueSAR 38.91
Quality48/100
Nestle S.A.
NESN.SW · CHF · Consumer Staples
-27%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceCHF 78.31
Fair ValueCHF 57.26
Quality69/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

AlmaraiNestle S.A.
Valuation
19.3×P/E (TTM)23.9×
0.55×P/S (TTM)2.96×
0.62×P/B8.12×
4.2×EV/EBITDA18.4×
—PEG2.31×
−18.0%Fair value upside−26.9%
2.4%Dividend yield4.0%
SAR 1.15Dividend per shareCHF 3.10
Profitability
14%Operating margin15%
0.57×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.91×
12%Return on equity27%
5%Return on assets7%
Growth
11%Revenue growth (YoY)-2%
5.6%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-1.9%
7.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)1.1%
+8.6%Value creation/yr−0.0%
Balance & size
4.3×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)8.5×
0.53×Debt / equity1.34×
$13BMarket cap$266B
expensiveGrowth qualityweak

Almarai leads: 10 to 5 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Almaraiof which business quality 48 · market factors 62 Nestle S.A.of which business quality 64 · market factors 61
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
42
60
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
22
43
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
51
67
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
50
42
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
42
94
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
92
92
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
49
46
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
51
52
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
78
94

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyAlmaraiPrice SAR 47.44Nestle S.A.Price CHF 78.31
DCF Models-53%below the priceSAR 22.42-39%below the priceCHF 47.70
Earnings-Based-61%below the priceSAR 18.33-57%below the priceCHF 33.53
Dividend Discount-64%below the priceSAR 17.26-55%below the priceCHF 34.87
Multiples-18%below the priceSAR 38.77-15%close to the priceCHF 66.73
Asset-Based-71%below the priceSAR 13.84-89%below the priceCHF 8.55
Growth DCFn/a-42%below the priceCHF 45.56
Economic Profit-65%below the priceSAR 16.44-58%below the priceCHF 32.75
Growth Earnings0%close to the priceSAR 47.21-29%below the priceCHF 55.79
Minimum-71%below the priceSAR 13.84-89%below the priceCHF 8.55
Maximum0%close to the priceSAR 47.21-15%close to the priceCHF 66.73
Median-61%below the priceSAR 18.33-49%below the priceCHF 40.21
Geometric mean-52%below the priceSAR 22.54-54%below the priceCHF 35.72

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Almarai: 19 of 22 models see the stock below the current price.

Nestle S.A.: 23 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Almarai
Bear SAR 28.94Fair Value SAR 38.91Bull SAR 72.18
SAR 47.44 = current price (white tick)
Nestle S.A.
Bear CHF 35.23Fair Value CHF 57.26Bull CHF 81.98
CHF 78.31 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Almarai · Consumer Staples

Quality score48 · below median
Fair value upside-18% · below median

Nestle S.A. · Consumer Staples

Quality score69 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-27% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Almarai as the less overvalued of the two: Almarai trades at SAR 47.44 versus a fair value of SAR 38.91 (-18%), while Nestle S.A. trades at CHF 78.31 versus CHF 57.26 (-27%).

Nestle S.A. has the higher quality score (69/100).

See the full analysis →
Almarai · Nestle S.A.

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.