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Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc (XHR) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $2.0B · ISIN US9840171030

What is Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc really worth?

XH Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc logo Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc XHR · US
Price$18.15
Fair Value$11.54
Upside−36.4%
Quality54/100

A solid business, but trading 57% above our fair value of $11.54.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +23.9 %/yr)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 6.2% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Narrow moat 34/100
!Weak on future: 11 out of 100
!Weak on past: 23 out of 100

For context

·3.09% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $8.72 – $11.54

Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 15, 2026, revised from $11.63 to $11.54 (−0.8%) since Jul 27, 2026. Share price −11.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($11.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$21.82 $8.86 Fair Value $11.54 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.86 – $21.82 · fair‑value band $8.72 – $11.54 · the $18.15 price screens above the $11.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc (XHR) currently trades at $18.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.54, implying the stock looks roughly 57.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $13.30 per share, and 2 of the 13 models we run sit above the $18.15 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $1.34, and 11 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.72 (bear case) to $11.54 (bull case); at $18.15, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −36%, XHR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.0947 per share, which is 0.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $4.52 77
Residual Income $9.13 $9.28 $8.70 76
Growth DCF $3.10 75
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.52 77
5Y Revenue Exit $1.32 $8.38 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.13 $22.54 $40.57 70
10Y Revenue Exit $6.13 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.04 $13.30 $28.48 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.56 $8.23 $11.32 68
DDM Multi-Stage $4.56 $7.05 $8.79 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple $8.72 $11.63 $14.53 58
P/B Multiple $8.72 $11.63 $14.53 55
EV/EBIT $5.24 $11.62 $18.00 62
EV/EBITDA $18.96 $29.91 $40.86 66
EV/Revenue $1.18 $5.70 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.15 $8.24 $12.30 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.10 75
Rev-Margin DCF $1.34 $7.75 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.13 $9.28 $8.70 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($13.30) versus Growth DCF ($1.34). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 29.2 as of Jun 25, 2026
P/S ratio 1.71 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.7000 price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.2
Dividend yield 3.1% payout 80.0%
Net margin 5.8% FY2025
Return on equity 5.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 14.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.1B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.2% 3y avg +2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +40.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $89.9M FY2025
Net debt $1.3B FY2025 · ≈ 14.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. is a self-advised and self-administered REIT that invests in uniquely positioned luxury and upper upscale hotels and resorts with a focus on the top 25 lodging markets as well as key leisure destinations in the United States. The Company owns 30 hotels and resorts comprising 8,868 rooms across 14 states.

Full company description

Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. is a self-advised and self-administered REIT that invests in uniquely positioned luxury and upper upscale hotels and resorts with a focus on the top 25 lodging markets as well as key leisure destinations in the United States. The Company owns 30 hotels and resorts comprising 8,868 rooms across 14 states. Xenia's hotels are in the luxury and upper upscale segments and are operated and/or licensed by industry leaders including Marriott, Hyatt, Kimpton, Fairmont, Loews, Hilton, and Davidson. Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Orlando, United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $616M in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was $63.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.1B
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+1.8% (−1.3 + 3.1)
Revenue +15.0%/yr
FY21 $616M
FY22 $998M
FY23 $1.0B
FY24 $1.0B
FY25 $1.1B
Net income
FY21 −$144M
FY22 $55.9M
FY23 $19.1M
FY24 $16.1M
FY25 $63.1M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −10.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.9 %

of which total revenue +1.1 % · buybacks/dilution +0.8 %

EBIT margin −1.7 %
Tax rate +0.8 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −11.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

XHR screens 57% overvalued. Compare with Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XHR

Peer Group

REIT - Hotel & Motel · 35 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −36% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.26× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.76× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.84× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 22.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 6
FUTURE11 · sector 7
PAST23 · sector 5
HEALTH37 · sector 73
DIVIDEND62 · sector 89

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc HST $22.81 $15.81 −31%
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc RHP $129.33 $47.68 −63%
COVH COVH €22.50 €21.42 −5%
Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc APLE $16.36 $12.63 −23%
Park Hotels & Resorts inc. PK $14.85 $19.87 +34%
DiamondRock Hospitality Company DRH $12.36 $8.43 −32%
Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc SHO $11.01 $2.31 −79%
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust PEB $18.48 $25.37 +37%
RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) RLJ $11.46 $8.20 −28%
Service Properties Trust SVC $7.61 $2.44 −68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc (XHR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.54 versus a price of $18.15, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of XHR?
Our model-based fair value for Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc is $11.54 (as of Aug 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $18.15.
What is the quality score of XHR?
Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc (XHR)?
Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of XHR?
The net profit margin of Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc is about 6.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc pay a dividend?
Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.09% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 15, 2026).
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