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Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock (WAY) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $4.3B · ISIN US9467841055

What is Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock really worth?

WH Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock logo Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock WAY · US
Price$26.08
Fair Value$10.93
Upside−58.1%
Quality49/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 139% above our fair value of $10.93.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +16.0 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 10.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Moderate moat 52/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 14 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $8.19 – $13.66

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +9.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($13.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$45.35 $17.31 Fair Value $10.93 Jun 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

27‑month range $17.31 – $45.35 · fair‑value band $8.19 – $13.66 · the $26.08 price screens above the $10.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock (WAY) currently trades at $26.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.93, implying the stock looks roughly 138.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $21.29 per share, and 4 of the 24 models we run sit above the $26.08 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $4.05, and 20 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of 10.9%. Revenue grew 22.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. Net debt stands at $1.4B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.19 (bear case) to $13.66 (bull case); at $26.08, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −68% fair-value upside, at −58%, WAY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.4552 per share, which is 4.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence $2.50 $4.05 $5.38 72
Growth DCF $12.37 $31.86 $61.84 70
FCF DCF $13.03 $28.87 $68.38 69
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $13.03 $28.87 $68.38 69
Owner Earnings $8.94 $25.65 $57.09 66
5Y Revenue Exit $7.48 $19.63 $36.82 65
5Y EBITDA Exit $13.64 $33.48 $60.00 68
5Y P/E Exit $5.34 $14.82 $26.17 64
10Y Revenue Exit $8.70 $21.29 $41.88 59
10Y EBITDA Exit $13.28 $31.72 $62.95 61
10Y P/E Exit $7.70 $17.66 $32.81 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.97 $24.09 $33.59 61
Lynch FV $6.88 $9.83 $12.79 58
PEG = 1.0 $6.88 $9.83 $12.79 55
EPV best evidence $2.50 $4.05 $5.38 72
Multiples
P/E Multiple $9.64 $12.86 $16.07 63
P/S Multiple $7.45 $9.93 $12.42 58
P/B Multiple $7.45 $9.93 $12.42 55
EV/EBIT $10.41 $16.31 $22.21 65
EV/EBITDA $14.98 $22.40 $29.82 66
EV/Revenue $4.75 $9.91 $15.07 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.11 $13.55 $20.22 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $12.37 $31.86 $61.84 70
Rev-Margin DCF $7.48 $19.21 $35.79 65
Economic Profit
Residual Income $14.37 $13.81 $11.33 68
ROIC Compounder $2.50 $4.05 $5.38 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $10.18 $14.54 $18.91 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($21.29) versus Economic Profit ($4.05). Highest evidence: EPV (72).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 40.1
P/S ratio 4.09 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.6500 price ÷ EPS = P/E 40.1
Net margin 10.2% FY2025
Return on equity 3.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 25.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.4% 3y avg +16.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +37.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $283M FY2025
Net debt $1.4B FY2025 · ≈ 5.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 97
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 11
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Waystar Holding Corp. develops a cloud-based software solution for healthcare payments. Its platform offers financial clearance, patient financial care, claim and payer payment management, denials prevention and recovery, clinical integrity and revenue capture, and analytics and reporting solutions. It primarily serves healthcare industry.

Full company description

Waystar Holding Corp. develops a cloud-based software solution for healthcare payments. Its platform offers financial clearance, patient financial care, claim and payer payment management, denials prevention and recovery, clinical integrity and revenue capture, and analytics and reporting solutions. It primarily serves healthcare industry. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Lehi, Utah.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $579M in FY2021, a compound +17.4%/yr. Reported net income was $112M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.1B
Latest YoY
+16.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.0%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Revenue +17.4%/yr
FY21 $579M
FY22 $705M
FY23 $791M
FY24 $944M
FY25 $1.1B
Net income
FY21 −$47.1M
FY22 −$51.5M
FY23 −$51.3M
FY24 −$19.1M
FY25 $112M

WAY screens 139% overvalued. Compare with Veeva Systems Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WAY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Health Information Services · 128 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −58% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 22% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.38× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Health Information Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 40.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.10× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.68× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 15.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.7× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 33
PAST14 · sector 5
HEALTH81 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Health Information Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Veeva Systems Inc VEEV $282.13 $91.49 −68%
Pro Medicus Limited PME A$183.71 A$23.74 −87%
BrightSpring Health Services, Inc BTSG $59.68 $21.31 −64%
HealthEquity, Inc HQY $104.27 $56.63 −46%
Hinge Health, Inc HNGE $86.32 $24.03 −72%
10x Genomics, Inc TXG $55.63 $17.18 −69%
XtalPi Holdings 2228 HK$8.19 HK$1.04 −87%
Doximity, Inc DOCS $24.74 $25.91 +5%
Privia Health Group PRVA $21.07 $5.26 −75%
IKS IKS ₹1,785 ₹830.74 −53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock (WAY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.93 versus a price of $26.08, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WAY?
Our model-based fair value for Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock is $10.93 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $26.08.
What is the quality score of WAY?
Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock (WAY)?
Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WAY?
The net profit margin of Waystar Holding Corp. Common Stock is about 10.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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