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Privia Health Group Inc (PRVA) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $3.5B · ISIN US74276R1023

What is Privia Health Group Inc really worth?

PH Privia Health Group Inc logo Privia Health Group Inc PRVA · US
Price$20.67
Fair Value$5.26
Upside−74.6%
Quality55/100

A solid business, but trading 293% above our fair value of $5.26.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +21.0 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 14 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.56 – $5.46

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price −13.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$49.25 $16.09 Fair Value $5.26 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $16.09 – $49.25 · fair‑value band $3.56 – $5.46 · the $20.67 price screens above the $5.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Privia Health Group Inc (PRVA) currently trades at $20.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.26, implying the stock looks roughly 292.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $15.94 per share, and 4 of the 24 models we run sit above the $20.67 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $3.65, and 20 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Privia Health Group Inc generated revenue of $2.2B at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 25.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $470M. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.56 (bear case) to $5.46 (bull case); at $20.67, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −64% fair-value upside, at −75%, PRVA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.1155 per share, which is 2.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $22.69 $35.08 $69.52 76
5Y EBITDA Exit $11.71 $15.94 $23.31 75
Growth DCF $21.78 $38.12 $68.14 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $22.69 $35.08 $69.52 76
Owner Earnings $7.28 $11.81 $20.98 74
5Y Revenue Exit $11.00 $14.40 $20.53 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $11.71 $15.94 $23.31 75
5Y P/E Exit $11.24 $15.74 $20.99 71
10Y Revenue Exit $14.44 $20.37 $25.93 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $15.03 $21.68 $32.19 68
10Y P/E Exit $14.71 $20.82 $29.98 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.24 $8.63 $12.10 63
Lynch FV $2.55 $3.65 $4.74 61
PEG = 1.0 $2.55 $3.65 $4.74 57
EPV $5.00 $5.23 $5.42 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 63
P/S Multiple $2.32 $3.09 $3.86 58
P/B Multiple $2.32 $3.09 $3.86 55
EV/EBIT $7.02 $8.17 $9.33 66
EV/EBITDA $7.23 $8.46 $9.69 67
EV/Revenue $6.03 $7.09 $8.15 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.93 $3.92 $5.85 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $21.78 $38.12 $68.14 75
Rev-Margin DCF $11.00 $15.22 $21.39 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.18 $4.04 $3.36 71
ROIC Compounder $5.00 $5.23 $5.42 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3.56 $5.09 $6.61 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($15.94) versus Earnings-Based ($3.65). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 121.6
P/S ratio 1.31 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.1700 price ÷ EPS = P/E 121.6
Net margin 1.1% FY2025
Return on equity 3.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −5.6% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 1.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $2.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.8% 3y avg +16.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −33.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $162M FY2025
Net cash $470M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 44
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 41
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Privia Health Group, Inc. operates as a national physician-enablement company in the United States. The company collaborates with physician practices, health plans, and health systems.

Full company description

Privia Health Group, Inc. operates as a national physician-enablement company in the United States. The company collaborates with physician practices, health plans, and health systems. It also offers technology and population health tools to enhance providers' workflows; management services organization that enable providers to focus on their patients by reducing administrative work; and single-TIN medical group that facilitates negotiating power, clinical integration, and alignment of financial incentives. In addition, the company operates accountable care organization, which engages patients, reduce inappropriate utilization, and enhance coordination and patient quality metrics to drive value-based care; and network for purchasers and payers that enable providers to connect across platform to better understand the holistic needs of each patient and connect with other providers to address individual medical needs. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Privia Health Group Inc reported revenue of $2.1B in FY2025 versus $966M in FY2021, a compound +21.7%/yr. Reported net income was $22.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.1B
Latest YoY
+22.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−1.0% (−1.0 + 0.0)
Revenue +21.7%/yr
FY21 $966M
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $1.7B
FY24 $1.7B
FY25 $2.1B
Net income
FY21 −$188M
FY22 −$8.6M
FY23 $23.1M
FY24 $14.4M
FY25 $22.9M

PRVA screens 293% overvalued. Compare with Veeva Systems Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Privia Health Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PRVA

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Health Information Services · 128 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Health Information Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 121.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.80× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.58× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 21.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 64.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 33
PAST14 · sector 5
HEALTH98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Health Information Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Veeva Systems Inc VEEV $282.13 $91.49 −68%
Pro Medicus Limited PME A$183.71 A$23.74 −87%
BrightSpring Health Services, Inc BTSG $59.68 $21.31 −64%
HealthEquity, Inc HQY $104.27 $56.63 −46%
Hinge Health, Inc HNGE $86.32 $24.03 −72%
10x Genomics, Inc TXG $55.63 $17.18 −69%
Waystar Holding WAY $25.76 $12.86 −50%
XtalPi Holdings 2228 HK$8.19 HK$1.04 −87%
Doximity, Inc DOCS $24.74 $25.91 +5%
IKS IKS ₹1,785 ₹830.74 −53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Privia Health Group Inc (PRVA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.26 versus a price of $20.67, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PRVA?
Our model-based fair value for Privia Health Group Inc is $5.26 (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $20.67.
What is the quality score of PRVA?
Privia Health Group Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Privia Health Group Inc (PRVA)?
Privia Health Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PRVA?
The net profit margin of Privia Health Group Inc is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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