Vodafone Group PLC (VOD) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · GB · Market cap 22.5B GBX · ISIN GB00BH4HKS39
What is Vodafone Group PLC really worth?
A solid business, trading 67% below our fair value of £3.77.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Sep 2, 2026, revised from £4.90 to £3.77 (−23.1%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +9.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (£2.16). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.5459 – £1.26 · fair‑value band £2.16 – £3.77 · the £1.26 price screens below the £3.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
Analysis
Vodafone Group PLC (VOD) currently trades at £1.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £3.77, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £4.25 per share, and 10 of the 14 models we run sit above the £1.26 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at £0.7100, and 4 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Vodafone Group PLC generated revenue of £40.5B at a net margin of −1.0%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. Net debt stands at £43.7B. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £2.16 (bear case) to £3.77 (bull case); at £1.26, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at 200%, VOD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£4.25) versus Dividend Discount (£0.7100). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Vodafone Group Public Limited Company provides telecommunication services in Germany, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Turkey, and South Africa. It offers mobile and fixed services; connectivity business solutions, such as digital services, the Internet of Things (IoT) and financial services; and IoT platforms.
Full company description
Vodafone Group Public Limited Company provides telecommunication services in Germany, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Turkey, and South Africa. It offers mobile and fixed services; connectivity business solutions, such as digital services, the Internet of Things (IoT) and financial services; and IoT platforms. The company also provides cloud, multi-cloud, and edge computing solutions; M-PESA, an African mobile money platform to make payments and offer financial services; and international voice and roaming services. In addition, it offers unified communications, mobile connectivity, IoT connectivity, cloud and edge, E2E solutions, and security services; leases fibre and other fixed connectivity services; and engages in infrastructure assets, shared operations, growth platforms, retail, and service operations. The company serves private and public sector customers in health, banking and finance, transport and logistics, retail, utilities, and agriculture industries. Vodafone Group Public Limited Company was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Newbury, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Vodafone Group PLC reported revenue of €40.1B in FY2026 versus €45.6B in FY2022, a compound −3.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€393M in FY2026.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Vodafone sheds 1,200 jobs in Europe amid £1.7 billon cost-cutting drive
- Vodafone earnings boosted as cost-cutting leads to 1,200 job losses in Europe
- Niel family’s Vega to acquire 16.2% Vodafone stake from e& for $5.95bn
- Why Vodafone Stock Rocketed Almost 13% Higher Today
Peer Group
Telecom Services · 248 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 25/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥96.11 | ¥109.88 | +14% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $177.75 | $172.67 | −3% |
| Verizon Communications Inc VZ | $49.43 | $64.43 | +30% |
| AT&T Inc T | $26.01 | $43.97 | +69% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,935 | ₹941.48 | −51% |
| Comcast Corporation CMCSA | $26.41 | $95.42 | +261% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.43 | ¥8.36 | +30% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMX | $23.50 | $39.45 | +68% |
| Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z77 | 4.29 SGD | 3.03 SGD | −29% |
| Swisscom AG SCMN | CHF 627.50 | CHF 463.92 | −26% |
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