Vodafone Group (VOD) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · GB · Market cap 22.5B GBX
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from £1.13 to £0.5000 (−55.8%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +2.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£1.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (£0.5000 to £1.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.5459 – £1.23 · fair‑value band £0.5000 – £1.10 · the £1.20 price screens above the £0.5000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Vodafone Group (VOD) currently trades at £1.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.5000, implying the stock looks roughly 58.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Vodafone Group generated revenue of £40.5B at a net margin of -1.0%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. Net debt stands at £43.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.5000 (bear case) to £1.10 (bull case); at £1.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at -58%, VOD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£4.25) versus Dividend Discount (£0.7100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vodafone Group Public Limited Company provides telecommunication services in Germany, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Turkey, and South Africa. It offers mobile and fixed services; connectivity business solutions, such as digital services, the Internet of Things (IoT) and financial services; and IoT platforms.
Full company description
Vodafone Group Public Limited Company provides telecommunication services in Germany, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Turkey, and South Africa. It offers mobile and fixed services; connectivity business solutions, such as digital services, the Internet of Things (IoT) and financial services; and IoT platforms. The company also provides cloud, multi-cloud, and edge computing solutions; M-PESA, an African mobile money platform to make payments and offer financial services; and international voice and roaming services. In addition, it offers unified communications, mobile connectivity, IoT connectivity, cloud and edge, E2E solutions, and security services; leases fibre and other fixed connectivity services; and engages in infrastructure assets, shared operations, growth platforms, retail, and service operations. The company serves private and public sector customers in health, banking and finance, transport and logistics, retail, utilities, and agriculture industries. Vodafone Group Public Limited Company was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Newbury, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Vodafone Group reported revenue of £40.1B in FY2026 versus £45.6B in FY2022, a compound −3.2%/yr. Reported net income was −£393M in FY2026.
VOD screens 58% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Vodafone sheds 1,200 jobs in Europe amid £1.7 billon cost-cutting drive
- Vodafone earnings boosted as cost-cutting leads to 1,200 job losses in Europe
- Niel family’s Vega to acquire 16.2% Vodafone stake from e& for $5.95bn
- Why Vodafone Stock Rocketed Almost 13% Higher Today
Peer Group
Telecom Services · 253 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 25/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥96.11 | ¥109.88 | +14% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,945 | ₹941.55 | -52% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.43 | ¥8.36 | +30% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMXB | 23.07 MXN | 30.35 MXN | +32% |
| Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC | 374.00 THB | 286.77 THB | -23% |
| Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 | 136.00 TWD | 100.00 TWD | -26% |
| Telefónica, S.A TEFN | 75.67 MXN | 108.96 MXN | +44% |
| TLKM TLKM | 2,590 IDR | 3,898 IDR | +50% |
| PT Indoritel Makmur Internasional Tbk., DNET | 9,500 IDR | 1,503 IDR | -84% |
| SK Telecom Co 017670 | 91,100 KRW | 41,693 KRW | -54% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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