Unilever PLC (ULVR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · GB · Market cap 99.0B GBX
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price +0.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- A fairly wide model range (£25.12 to £57.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £30.51 – £54.15 · fair‑value band £25.12 – £57.74 · the £45.90 price screens above the £38.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Unilever PLC (ULVR) currently trades at £45.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £38.13, implying the stock looks roughly 16.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Unilever PLC generated revenue of £50.5B at a net margin of 18.8%. Revenue declined 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.0%. Net debt stands at £25.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £25.12 (bear case) to £57.74 (bull case); at £45.90, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -17%, ULVR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (£44.17) versus Asset-Based (£4.84). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Unilever PLC operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through four segments: Beauty & Wellbeing, Personal Care, Home Care, and Foods.
Full company description
Unilever PLC operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company in the Asia Pacific, Africa, the Americas, and Europe. It operates through four segments: Beauty & Wellbeing, Personal Care, Home Care, and Foods. The Beauty & Wellbeing segment offers hair care, such as shampoo, conditioner, and styling; face, hand, and body moisturizer skin care products; and Prestige Beauty and Wellbeing products. The Personal Care segment provides soap and shower skin cleansing products; and deodorant and oral care, including toothpaste, toothbrush, and mouthwash products. The Home Care segment offers washing powders and liquids, and rinse conditioner fabric care products; and a range of home and hygiene cleaning products. The Foods segment provides cooking aids and mini meals comprising soups, bouillons, and seasonings, as well as mayonnaise and ketchup condiments; and Unilever food solutions. The company provides its products under the AXE, Clear, Cif, Closeup, Comfort, Dermalogica, Domestos, Dove, Dove Men+Care, Hellmann's, Horlicks, Knorr, LUX, Lifebuoy, Liquid I.V., Nexxus, Nutrafol, OMO, Pond's, Paula's Choice, Pepsodent, Radiant, Rexona, Sunlight, Sunsilk, Surf, TRESemmé, and Vaseline brand names. Unilever PLC was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Unilever PLC reported revenue of £50.5B in FY2025 versus £52.4B in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was £6.0B in FY2025, compounding −0.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +1.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +2.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ULVR screens 17% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Unilever (LSE:ULVR) Could Be 12% Below Fair Value On Its Premium Brand Narrative
- Unilever hails best sales in more than a decade ahead of food business spin-off
- McCormick plans to add London listing amid Unilever food merger
- Is Unilever (LSE:ULVR) Fully Valued As It Reshapes Its Portfolio Around Core Brands?
Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 251 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Procter & Gamble Company PG | $146.80 | $108.16 | -26% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,063 | ₹789.46 | -62% |
| Essity AB ESSITYA | kr 276.50 | kr 250.02 | -10% |
| Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP | ₹936.90 | ₹367.64 | -61% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹855.00 | ₹233.05 | -73% |
| APR Co 278470 | 397,000 KRW | 137,521 KRW | -65% |
| Dabur India Limited DABUR | ₹411.25 | ₹175.59 | -57% |
| PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR | 1,760 IDR | 1,928 IDR | +10% |
| Amorepacific Corporation 090430 | 135,700 KRW | 84,785 KRW | -38% |
| Colgate-Palmolive (India) Limited COLPAL | ₹2,005 | ₹945.90 | -53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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