Church & Dwight Company Inc (CHD) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $23.2B · ISIN US1713401024
What is Church & Dwight Company Inc really worth?
Church & Dwight Company Inc
CHD · US
A solid business, but trading 51% above our fair value of $65.12.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −4.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($81.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range ($44.04 to $81.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $67.58 – $111.38 · fair‑value band $44.04 – $81.63 · the $98.59 price screens above the $65.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Church & Dwight Company Inc (CHD) currently trades at $98.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $65.12, implying the stock looks roughly 51.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $66.02 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $98.59 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $11.32, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Church & Dwight Company Inc generated revenue of $6.2B at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.8%. Net debt stands at $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $44.04 (bear case) to $81.63 (bull case); at $98.59, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −34%, CHD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.23 per share, which is 1.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($66.02) versus Asset-Based ($11.32). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Church & Dwight Co., Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets household, personal care, and specialty products. It operates in three segments: Consumer Domestic, Consumer International, and Specialty Products Division.
Full company description
Church & Dwight Co., Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets household, personal care, and specialty products. It operates in three segments: Consumer Domestic, Consumer International, and Specialty Products Division. The company offers baking soda, cat litters, laundry detergents, carpet deodorizers, and other baking soda-based products under the ARM & HAMMER brand; stain removers, cleaning solutions, laundry detergents, and bleach alternatives under the OXICLEAN brand; dry shampoos under the BATISTE brand; water flossers under the WATERPIK brand; oral care products under the THERABREATH brand; acne treatment products under the HERO brand; hand sanitizers under the TOUCHLAND brand; and condoms, lubricants, and vibrators under the TROJAN brand. It also provides home pregnancy and ovulation test kits under the FIRST RESPONSE brand; depilatories under the NAIR; oral analgesics under the ORAJEL brand; laundry detergents under the XTRA brand; and cold shortening and relief products under the ZICAM brand. In addition, the company's specialty products include animal and food productivity products, such as ARM & HAMMER baking soda as a feed additive to help dairy cow; BIO-CHLOR and FERMENTEN used to reduce health issues associated with calving, as well as needed protein; CELMANAX refined functional carbohydrate, a yeast-based prebiotic; and CERTILLUS a probiotics products used in the poultry, dairy, beef, and swine industries. Additionally, it offers sodium bicarbonate; and cleaning and deodorizing products. The company sells its consumer products through supermarkets, mass merchandisers, wholesale clubs, drugstores, convenience stores, home stores, dollar and other discount stores, pet and other specialty stores, websites and other e-commerce channels; and specialty products to industrial customers and livestock producers through distributors. Church & Dwight Co., Inc. was founded in 1846 and is headquartered in Ewing, New Jersey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Church & Dwight Company Inc reported revenue of $6.2B in FY2025 versus $5.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was $737M in FY2025, compounding −2.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.6 % · buybacks/dilution +0.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
CHD screens 51% overvalued. Compare with L'Oréal S.A →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Church & Dwight (CHD) Looks Fairly Valued Following Insider Selling
- Church & Dwight EVP Sells 15,375 Shares for $1.6 Million -- Should Investors Beware?
Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| L'Oréal S.A LORL | C$24.76 | C$22.64 | −9% |
| Unilever PLC UNA | €55.92 | €40.47 | −28% |
| Colgate-Palmolive Company CL | $90.75 | $55.28 | −39% |
| 500696 500696 | ₹2,093 | ₹641.55 | −69% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,015 | ₹789.46 | −61% |
| Kenvue Inc KVUE | $18.95 | $10.97 | −42% |
| Kimberly-Clark Corporation KMB | $109.55 | $79.71 | −27% |
| Henkel AG HEN3 | €75.82 | €85.95 | +13% |
| The Estée Lauder Companies Inc ESLA | €86.54 | €18.84 | −78% |
| Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft, BEI | €80.42 | €68.36 | −15% |
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