Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $30.0B · ISIN US5184391044
What is Estee Lauder Companies Inc really worth?
Estee Lauder Companies Inc
EL · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 229% above our fair value of $30.64.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +16.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($52.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($13.10 to $52.51). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $49.08 – $346.04 · fair‑value band $13.10 – $52.51 · the $100.86 price screens above the $30.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) currently trades at $100.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.64, implying the stock looks roughly 229.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $48.09 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the $100.86 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $10.47, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Estee Lauder Companies Inc generated revenue of $14.8B at a net margin of −1.7%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −6.0%. Net debt stands at $6.5B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $13.10 (bear case) to $52.51 (bull case); at $100.86, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −70%, EL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($48.09) versus Asset-Based ($10.47). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products worldwide.
Full company description
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products worldwide. The company offers skin care products, including moisturizers, serums, cleansers, toners, eye care, body care, exfoliators, acne care and oil correctors, facial masks, and sun care products; and makeup products, such as foundations, powders, concealers and setting sprays, lipsticks, lip liners and lip glosses, mascaras, and eyeshadows and eyeliners, as well as compacts, brushes, and other makeup tools. It also provides fragrance products in various forms comprising parfum, eau de parfum, eau de toilette, eau de cologne, and body spray, as well as lotions, creams, powders, candles and soaps; and hair care products, including shampoos, conditioners, styling products, treatment, finishing sprays, and hair colour products, as well as sells ancillary products and services. The company offers its products under the La Mer, Jo Malone London, TOM FORD, AERIN Beauty, Le Labo, Editions de Parfums Frédéric Malle, KILIAN PARIS, BALMAIN Beauty, Estée Lauder, Clinique, M·A·C, The Ordinary, Aveda, Bobbi Brown Cosmetics, Too Faced, Dr.Jart+, Bumble and bumble, Editions de Parfums Frédéric Malle, Smashbox, Darphin Paris, Lab Series, NIOD, Aramis, and GLAMGLOW brands. It sells its products through department stores, duty-free retailers, specialty multi retailers, online pure players, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and top-tier salons and spas, as well as direct-to-consumer businesses across freestanding stores, and brand websites and third-party online platforms. The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Estee Lauder Companies Inc reported revenue of $14.3B in FY2025 versus $16.2B in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.1B in FY2025.
of which total revenue +4.3 % · buybacks/dilution +0.8 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
EL screens 229% overvalued. Compare with L'Oréal S.A →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Estée Lauder (EL) Stock Looks Undervalued On Cash Flow Yet Fair On Sales
- The Estee Lauder Companies Inc's Dividend Analysis
- Estée Lauder (EL)’s China Bet Just Paid Off. Its Makeup Business Still Hasn’t Caught Up
Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| L'Oréal S.A LORL | C$24.76 | C$22.64 | −9% |
| Unilever PLC UNA | €55.92 | €40.47 | −28% |
| Colgate-Palmolive Company CL | $90.75 | $55.28 | −39% |
| 500696 500696 | ₹2,093 | ₹641.55 | −69% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,015 | ₹789.46 | −61% |
| Kenvue Inc KVUE | $18.95 | $10.97 | −42% |
| Kimberly-Clark Corporation KMB | $109.55 | $79.71 | −27% |
| Henkel AG HEN3 | €75.82 | €85.95 | +13% |
| Church & Dwight Co CHD | $101.26 | $65.12 | −36% |
| Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft, BEI | €80.42 | €68.36 | −15% |
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