Telecom Italia S.p.A. (TIT) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · IT · Market cap €17.1B · ISIN IT0003497168
What is Telecom Italia S.p.A. really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 172% above our fair value of €2.85.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 18 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +1.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€3.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.71 – €8.14 · fair‑value band €2.30 – €3.01 · the €7.75 price screens above the €2.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
Telecom Italia S.p.A. (TIT) currently trades at €7.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.85, implying the stock looks roughly 172.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €3.85 per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the €7.75 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €0.8800, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Telecom Italia S.p.A. generated revenue of €13.9B at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue grew 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.1%. Net debt stands at €8.2B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.30 (bear case) to €3.01 (bull case); at €7.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at −63%, TIT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €0.1218 per share, which is 4.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 18 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€3.85) versus Earnings-Based (€0.8800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Telecom Italia S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the fixed and mobile telecommunications services and products for individuals, households, and supports small and medium-sized enterprises in Italy and internationally. It operates through Domestic, Brazil, and Other Operations segments.
Full company description
Telecom Italia S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the fixed and mobile telecommunications services and products for individuals, households, and supports small and medium-sized enterprises in Italy and internationally. It operates through Domestic, Brazil, and Other Operations segments. The company offers telephone and internet services, as well as products managed and developed in landline and mobile for individuals and families; voice, data, and internet services and products; and information and communications technology solutions for top, public sector and large account customers. It also provides connectivity services; mobile phone services and fiber optic data transmission using IP technology and residential broadband services; and internet of things services. Telecom Italia S.p.A. was incorporated in 1908 and is headquartered in Rome, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Telecom Italia S.p.A. reported revenue of €13.7B in FY2025 versus €15.3B in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was €297M in FY2025.
TIT screens 172% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Telecom Italia SpA (TIIAY) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Underlying Growth and ...
- Telecom Italia reports growth in second quarter earnings
- Is Telecom Italia (BIT:TIT) Pricing In Restructuring Hopes Or Still Offering Value At €0.73?
Peer Group
Telecom Services · 248 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥96.11 | ¥109.88 | +14% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $177.75 | $172.67 | −3% |
| Verizon Communications Inc VZ | $49.43 | $64.43 | +30% |
| AT&T Inc T | $26.01 | $43.97 | +69% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,935 | ₹941.48 | −51% |
| Comcast Corporation CMCSA | $26.41 | $95.42 | +261% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.43 | ¥8.36 | +30% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMX | $23.50 | $39.45 | +68% |
| Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z77 | 4.29 SGD | 3.03 SGD | −29% |
| Swisscom AG SCMN | CHF 627.50 | CHF 463.92 | −26% |
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